Marine/Aviation Tropical Cyclone Advisory
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000
WTPA22 PHFO 271724
TCMCP2

TROPICAL STORM ULIKA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP192016
1500 UTC TUE SEP 27 2016

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.4N 140.0W AT 27/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  35 DEGREES AT   4 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  999 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE  60SE  30SW  30NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE  60SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.4N 140.0W AT 27/1500Z
AT 27/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.2N 140.2W

FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 12.9N 139.7W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  50SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 13.8N 139.3W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  50SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 14.7N 139.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 80NE  70SE  50SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 15.6N 139.1W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  40SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 16.8N 141.1W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 01/1200Z 17.0N 144.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 02/1200Z 17.0N 149.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.4N 140.0W

THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC
HURRICANE CENTER ON ULIKA.  FUTURE INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM
CAN BE FOUND IN FORECAST ADVISORIES ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER BEGINNING AT 27/2100 UTC...UNDER AWIPS HEADER
MIATCMEP4...WMO HEADER WTPZ24 KNHC.

$$
FORECASTER JELSEMA



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