Marine/Aviation Tropical Cyclone Advisory
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000
WTPZ24 KNHC 020833
TCMEP4

TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP142015
0900 UTC WED SEP 02 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.2N 115.1W AT 02/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 335 DEGREES AT   9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.2N 115.1W AT 02/0900Z
AT 02/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.8N 115.0W

FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 16.4N 115.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  70SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 17.8N 115.9W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  70SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 18.9N 115.8W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  70SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 20.0N 115.4W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 21.6N 115.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 06/0600Z 22.6N 115.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 07/0600Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.2N 115.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BERG




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