Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI

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FNUS53 KAPX 170655
FWFAPX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
255 AM EDT Sun Mar 17 2024

...Colder with snow showers...

.DISCUSSION...Low pressure will continue to depart off to the
northeast today aiding to draw in a colder airmass across northern
Michigan. occasionally gusty northwest winds will remain the rule
with snow showers becoming more numerous by this afternoon through
tonight -- especially over northwest lower Michigan. After a lull
for part of Monday, snow chances return Monday night and Tuesday.


MIZ016-017-021>023-099-172015-
Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency
Counties-
255 AM EDT Sun Mar 17 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Scattered snow showers.
Max Temperature.....30-35...except 23-28 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......22 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........49-54 percent...except 61-66 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......16 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 15 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 24 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (1106).
Mixing Height.......4100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 24 to 27 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.10 in .

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Snow showers until
                    2400, then scattered snow showers.
Min Temperature.....22-27.
   24 HR Trend......6 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........81-86 percent.
   24 HR Trend......11 percent drier...except 4 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 15 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 24 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Fair (247).
Mixing Height.......1200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 18 to 24 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.02- 0.17 in.

.MONDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of snow
                    showers until 1200.
Max Temperature.....30-35.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
Min Humidity........39-44 percent...except 50-55 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......15 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 15 mph .
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (901).
Mixing Height.......4100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 18 to 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.03 in .


$$

MIZ018-024-030-036-042-172015-
Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac
Counties...including Eastern Huron NF-
255 AM EDT Sun Mar 17 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Isolated snow
                    showers.
Max Temperature.....32-37.
   24 HR Trend......20 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........44-49 percent.
   24 HR Trend......11 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 15 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 24 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (1162).
Mixing Height.......4700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 21 to 27 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.03 in .

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Scattered snow
                    showers.
Min Temperature.....23-28.
   24 HR Trend......6 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........77-82 percent...except 66-71 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged...except 8 percent drier along the
                    coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 15 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 24 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (398).
Mixing Height.......1900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 21 to 27 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.08 in .

.MONDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Scattered snow
                    showers until 1200.
Max Temperature.....33-38...except around 30 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer...except 4 degrees cooler near
                    the coast.
Min Humidity........39-44 percent.
   24 HR Trend......13 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 15 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 24 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (1010).
Mixing Height.......4600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 18 to 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in .


$$

MIZ020-025>027-172015-
Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska
Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL-
255 AM EDT Sun Mar 17 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Scattered snow showers.
Max Temperature.....28-33.
   24 HR Trend......23 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........53-58 percent.
   24 HR Trend......12 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 15 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 24 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (1006).
Mixing Height.......4200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest around 24 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.10 in .

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Snow showers.
Min Temperature.....22-27...except 29-34 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......5 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........81-86 percent...except 70-75 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......9 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 15 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 24 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Fair (270).
Mixing Height.......1400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 21 to 24 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.04- 0.18 in.

.MONDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of snow
                    showers until 1200.
Max Temperature.....30-35.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
Min Humidity........50-55 percent.
   24 HR Trend......8 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 15 mph .
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (861).
Mixing Height.......4000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.05 in .


$$

MIZ031>033-172015-
Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the
northern quarter of Manistee NF-
255 AM EDT Sun Mar 17 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Scattered snow
                    showers.
Max Temperature.....28-33.
   24 HR Trend......23 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........51-56 percent.
   24 HR Trend......8 percent wetter...except unchanged along the
                    coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 15 mph .
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (1026).
Mixing Height.......4500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 21 to 24 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.06 in .

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Numerous snow
                    showers.
Min Temperature.....22-27.
   24 HR Trend......5 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........80-85 percent.
   24 HR Trend......1 percent drier...except 9 percent wetter along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 15 mph .
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Fair (288).
Mixing Height.......1500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 18 to 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.01- 0.13 in.

.MONDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of snow
                    showers until 1200.
Max Temperature.....31-36.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer.
Min Humidity........47-52 percent.
   24 HR Trend......11 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 15 mph .
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (873).
Mixing Height.......4100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.05 in .


$$

MIZ028-029-034-035-041-172015-
Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin
Counties...including Western Huron NF-
255 AM EDT Sun Mar 17 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Isolated snow
                    showers.
Max Temperature.....32-37.
   24 HR Trend......22 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........45-50 percent.
   24 HR Trend......11 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 15 mph .
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (1169).
Mixing Height.......4600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 21 to 24 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.07 in .

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Scattered snow
                    showers.
Min Temperature.....23-28.
   24 HR Trend......5 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........75-80 percent.
   24 HR Trend......2 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 24 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (348).
Mixing Height.......1800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 21 to 24 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.08 in .

.MONDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent).
Max Temperature.....32-37.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer.
Min Humidity........40-45 percent.
   24 HR Trend......14 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph .
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (955).
Mixing Height.......4300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 18 to 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.02 in .


$$

.EXTENDED...

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 20 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 14. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
20S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 15 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 16.
HIGHS IN THE MID 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 18. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S.
NORTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.

$$

MJG


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