Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook) Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI
000
FNUS53 KAPX 190700
FWFAPX
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
300 AM EDT Tue Mar 19 2024
...Occasional snow showers and brisk winds continue...
.DISCUSSION...A clipper system passes by to our north today with
pretty widespread snow this morning with the bulk of accumulation
expected near and north of M-32. Southwest winds this morning veer
west-northwesterly this afternoon, occasionally breezy at times.
Those winds increase tonight through Wednesday with gustiness
diminishing Wednesday night. Lake effect snow showers to follow this
system as well, primarily tonight through Wednesday.
MIZ016-017-021>023-099-192000-
Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency
Counties-
300 AM EDT Tue Mar 19 2024
.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Chance of snow showers
until 1200, then slight chance of snow showers.
Max Temperature.....34-39.
24 HR Trend......6 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........48-53 percent.
24 HR Trend......6 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 15 mph with occasional gusts
up to 24 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (914).
Mixing Height.......3900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 18 to 24 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.09 in .
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of snow
showers.
Min Temperature.....20-25.
24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........81-86 percent...except 70-75 percent along the
coast.
24 HR Trend......2 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds 15 to 20 mph with occasional
gusts up to 28 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Fair (275).
Mixing Height.......1300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 24 to 27 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.08 in .
.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Patchy blowing
snow. Chance of snow showers.
Max Temperature.....26-31.
24 HR Trend......9 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........41-46 percent.
24 HR Trend......2 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 20 mph with occasional
gusts up to 32 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (1606).
Mixing Height.......5300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest around 30 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.02- 0.13 in.
$$
MIZ018-024-030-036-042-192000-
Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac
Counties...including Eastern Huron NF-
300 AM EDT Tue Mar 19 2024
.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Chance of snow showers
until 1200, then slight chance of snow showers.
Max Temperature.....37-42.
24 HR Trend......5 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........43-48 percent.
24 HR Trend......3 percent wetter...except 11 percent wetter
along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 15 mph with occasional
gusts up to 24 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (974).
Mixing Height.......4300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West around 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.09 in .
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Slight chance of
snow showers.
Min Temperature.....21-26.
24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........81-86 percent...except 67-72 percent along the
coast.
24 HR Trend......1 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 15 mph with occasional gusts
up to 28 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Fair (280).
Mixing Height.......1400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 21 to 24 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.03 in .
.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent).
Max Temperature.....29-34.
24 HR Trend......8 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........38-43 percent.
24 HR Trend......6 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 20 mph with occasional
gusts up to 32 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (1922).
Mixing Height.......6300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest around 30 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.05 in .
$$
MIZ020-025>027-192000-
Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska
Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL-
300 AM EDT Tue Mar 19 2024
.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent) until 1200, then partly
sunny (65-75 percent). Chance of snow showers
until 1200.
Max Temperature.....37-42.
24 HR Trend......8 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........44-49 percent.
24 HR Trend......18 percent drier...except 13 percent drier
along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 15 mph with occasional gusts
up to 24 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (1108).
Mixing Height.......4400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 21 to 24 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.04 in .
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of snow
showers. Patchy blowing snow after 2400.
Min Temperature.....19-24...except 26-31 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......4 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........79-84 percent...except 67-72 percent along the
coast.
24 HR Trend......4 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 15 mph with occasional
gusts up to 28 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Fair (262).
Mixing Height.......1400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 21 to 24 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.10 in .
.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Patchy blowing
snow. Chance of snow showers.
Max Temperature.....26-31.
24 HR Trend......11 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........44-49 percent.
24 HR Trend......6 percent wetter...except 1 percent drier along
the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 20 mph with occasional
gusts up to 32 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (1542).
Mixing Height.......5200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest around 30 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.14 in .
$$
MIZ031>033-192000-
Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the
northern quarter of Manistee NF-
300 AM EDT Tue Mar 19 2024
.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of snow
showers until 1200.
Max Temperature.....38-43.
24 HR Trend......8 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........41-46 percent.
24 HR Trend......17 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 15 mph with occasional gusts
up to 24 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (1187).
Mixing Height.......4500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 21 to 24 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in .
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of snow
showers.
Min Temperature.....19-24.
24 HR Trend......5 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........76-81 percent...except 67-72 percent along the
coast.
24 HR Trend......7 percent wetter...except unchanged along the
coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 15 mph with occasional
gusts up to 24 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Fair (240).
Mixing Height.......1400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 21 to 24 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.06 in .
.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of snow
showers until 1200.
Max Temperature.....27-32.
24 HR Trend......12 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........39-44 percent.
24 HR Trend......2 percent wetter...except 5 percent drier along
the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds 15 to 20 mph with occasional
gusts up to 28 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (1629).
Mixing Height.......5500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest around 30 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.06 in .
$$
MIZ028-029-034-035-041-192000-
Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin
Counties...including Western Huron NF-
300 AM EDT Tue Mar 19 2024
.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Chance of snow showers
until 1200, then slight chance of snow showers.
Max Temperature.....37-42.
24 HR Trend......6 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........42-47 percent.
24 HR Trend......7 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 15 mph with occasional gusts
up to 24 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (1189).
Mixing Height.......4500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 21 to 24 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.03 in .
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of snow
showers.
Min Temperature.....21-26.
24 HR Trend......4 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........81-86 percent.
24 HR Trend......7 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 15 mph with occasional
gusts up to 24 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Fair (277).
Mixing Height.......1500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest around 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.06 in .
.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Patchy blowing
snow after 1200.
Max Temperature.....27-32.
24 HR Trend......10 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........36-41 percent.
24 HR Trend......2 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds 15 to 20 mph with occasional
gusts up to 28 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (1821).
Mixing Height.......5800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest around 30 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.11 in .
$$
.EXTENDED...
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 15. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
20S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 15 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS AROUND 17.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S. EAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS AROUND 19.
HIGHS AROUND 30. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 13. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S.
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...NOT AS COOL. MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS, SNOW
SHOWERS AND LIGHT FREEZING RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN
THE MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 20 MPH.
$$
MJG