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Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Binghamton, NY
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FNUS71 KBGM 241028
FWSBGM

Spot Forecast for SGL 119 Woods...PA Game Commission
National Weather Service Binghamton NY
628 AM EDT Wed Apr 24 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0500 EDT on April 25.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

A strong surface high pressure system moves in from the northwest
tonight with light winds and cold temperatures. Given the
efficient cooling overnight, there will likely be some weak
downslope flow down Little Nescopeck Creek into Thursday morning. Skies
Thursday will be clear with little to no wind in the lowest 5000
feet of the atmosphere so with day time heating, predominant wind
direction will likely be up valley especially in the mid to late
morning. Winds will become light and variable in the afternoon
around and after peak heating. Afternoon RH will likely fall below
30% even at elevations above 2000 feet. Thursday night will be
similar to Wednesday night with light down valley wind as there
will be efficient cooling again with clear skies. Friday the high
pressure center moves east with weak southerly flow developing in
the lower atmosphere. With very dry air above the mixed layer and
strong solar heating, RH will likely fall back down under 30% in
the afternoon.


.REST OF TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Clear (0-5 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Min temperature.....Around 25.
Max humidity........72 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Northeast winds around 5 to 7 mph.
Mixing height.......600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North around 12 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
SUNRISE.............6:07 am
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................8.

TIME (EDT)      5AM
Sky (%).........2
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0
LAL.............1
Temp............26
RH..............68
20 FT wind dir..NE
20 FT wind spd..5
20 FT wind gust.8
Mix hgt (kft)...0.6
Transp wind dir.N
Transp wind spd.12
LVORI...........3
ADI.............8
Haines index....5

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max temperature.....Around 53.
Min humidity........26 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......North winds 6 to 9 mph.
Mixing height.......6200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 6 to 12 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
SUNSET..............7:57 pm
LVORI...............2.
ADI.................11 to 43.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........2   2   4   3   2   2   2   2   2   3   3   3
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............27  27  31  34  40  42  46  48  51  51  51  52
RH..............65  65  53  49  39  36  32  30  27  27  27  26
20 FT wind dir..N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
20 FT wind spd..9   9   8   7   7   6   6   6   6   6   6   6
20 FT wind gust.14  14  12  10  10  10  9   9   9   9   9   9
Mix hgt (kft)...0.7 1.0 1.4 1.8 2.4 3.1 4.0 4.8 5.5 6.0 6.2 5.7
Transp wind dir.N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   NW  NW  N   N
Transp wind spd.12  10  10  9   8   7   6   6   6   6   6   6
LVORI...........3   3   2   2   2   2   1   1   1   1   1   1
ADI.............11  15  19  22  25  28  32  36  39  42  43  40
Haines index....5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5

.THURSDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Min temperature.....Around 32.
Max humidity........72 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......North winds around 6 mph shifting to the
                    northeast 5 to 6 mph late in the evening, then
                    becoming light early in the morning.
Mixing height.......0 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 6 to 7 mph shifting to the east 5 to 6
                    mph overnight.
Haines Index........4 to 5 or low to moderate potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.
SUNRISE.............6:05 am
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................0 to 29.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM      9 PM      MIDNGT    3 AM
Sky (%).........3         12        5         4
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0         0         0         0
LAL.............1         1         1         1
Temp............50        43        37        34
RH..............29        43        56        64
20 FT wind......N 6G9     N 6G9     NE 6G8    NE 5G7
Mix hgt (ft)....4100      BLW100    400       300
Transport wind..N 6       N 7       NE 7      E 6
LVORI...........2         2         3         3
ADI.............29        0         3         2
Haines index....5         5         5         4

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max temperature.....Around 57.
Min humidity........30 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Light winds becoming east 5 to 6 mph early in
                    the morning, then shifting to the south 6 to 9
                    mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Mixing height.......6900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 5 to 6 mph shifting to the south 6 to 10
                    mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low to low potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.
SUNSET..............7:58 pm
LVORI...............2.
ADI.................1 early in the morning increasing to 73 in the
                    afternoon.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM         10 AM        2 PM
Sky (%).........2            4            10
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE         NONE         NONE
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0            0            0
LAL.............1            1            1
Temp............34           46           55
RH..............69           47           35
20 FT wind......E 3G6        SE 6G9       S 8G13
Mix hgt (ft)....300          3800         6600
Transport wind..E 5          S 6          S 8
LVORI...........3            1            0
ADI.............1            29           58
Haines index....4            4            3

$$
Forecaster...Gill
Requested by...Brian Williamson
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2412033.0/BGM
.DELDT 04/24/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL brianwilli@pa.gov
National Weather Service Weather Forecast Office
