Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Bismarck, ND
Issued by NWS Bismarck, ND
475
FNUS73 KBIS 110934
FWSBIS
Spot Forecast for Kruger...USFWS
National Weather Service Bismarck ND
434 AM CDT Sat May 11 2024
Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 CDT on May 11.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.
.DISCUSSION...
Mainly clear skies will become partly cloudy through the day. High temperatures
will warm into the mid to upper 70s, bringing afternoon humidity values near 28
percent. Light west southwest winds this morning will become a breezy west wind
this afternoon, with gusts up to 25 mph. Partly cloudy skies will remain tonight.
Humidity will recover to near 70 percent. West winds will diminish to a light
southwest wind after sunset, becoming a light northwest wind shortly before
sunrise Sunday morning. This northwest wind will then become north throughout
the day Sunday, with gusts up to 20 mph in the afternoon. Temperatures will
slightly cool Sunday, although humidity values will be near 25 percent in the
afternoon. Chances for showers and thunderstorms across the fire area are generally
10 percent or less through the weekend.
.REST OF TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny becoming partly cloudy.
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 77.
Min humidity........28 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West southwest winds 6 to 12 mph becoming west 9 to 16 mph with gusts
up to 25 mph in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......8800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 15 to 25 mph with a few higher gusts in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (18400 knot-ft) early in the morning
increasing to good (95600 knot-ft) in the
afternoon increasing to very good (146900
knot-ft) early in the morning increasing to
excellent (162700 knot-ft) in the afternoon in
the afternoon.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
TIME (CDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........18 30 41 54 60 65 63 57
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Temp............64 68 71 73 76 76 76 77
RH..............52 45 39 35 31 30 28 28
20 FT wind dir..W W W W W W W W
20 FT wind spd..9 10 12 14 16 15 15 15
20 FT wind gust.14 15 19 20 24 22 22 22
Mix hgt (kft)...1.3 2.2 5.0 7.3 8.0 8.6 8.8 8.7
Transp wind dir.W W W W W W W W
Transp wind spd.16 18 22 23 23 22 21 21
Haines index....5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5
Dispr kt-ft/1K..18 36 96 147 160 163 158 157
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy.
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 51.
Max humidity........69 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 6 to 12 mph in the evening, becoming
southwest 5 to 10 mph after sunset, then northwest
6 to 12 mph shortly before sunrise.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 10 to 20 mph shifting to the northwest 10
to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (152600 knot-ft) early in the evening
decreasing to good (75300 knot-ft) late in the
night decreasing to poor (4000 knot-ft) early
in the evening.
Haines Index........5 to 6 or moderate to high potential for large
plume dominated fire growth.
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........54 49 48 48 46 43 36 38 34 31 33 33
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Chc of pcpn (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 10 5 5 5 5 5
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Temp............76 75 70 66 62 60 59 58 56 54 54 53
RH..............28 29 38 43 50 53 53 55 59 64 64 66
20 FT wind dir..W W SW SW SW SW SW SW W W W NW
20 FT wind spd..13 11 8 7 7 8 9 9 9 8 7 6
20 FT wind gust.20 17 13 12 12 13 14 14 14 13 12 10
Mix hgt (kft)...8.5 5.0 0.7 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
Transp wind dir.W W W SW SW SW SW SW W NW NW N
Transp wind spd.21 17 12 10 12 13 15 15 15 14 12 12
Haines index....5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 6 6 6
Dispr kt-ft/1K..153 75 7 4 5 5 6 6 6 5 4 4
.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny to partly cloudy.
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 73.
Min humidity........25 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 6 to 12 mph shifting to the
north 7 to 14 mph in the late morning. Wind gusts
up to 20 mph in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......6100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 10 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (3700 knot-ft) early in the morning
increasing to good (79000 knot-ft) in the
afternoon.
Haines Index........5 to 6 or moderate to high potential for large
plume dominated fire growth.
TIME (CDT) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM
Sky (%).........32 25 25 15
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE NONE NONE NONE
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0 0 0 0
Chc of pcpn (%).10 10 10 5
LAL.............1 1 1 1
Temp............52 60 69 72
RH..............66 55 33 26
20 FT wind......NW 6G10 N 7G11 N 10G13 N 11G13
Mix hgt (ft)....400 1000 4100 5700
Transport wind..N 12 N 12 N 15 N 16
Haines index....6 6 5 5
Dispr kt-ft/1K..4 10 54 77
$$
Forecaster...ANGLIN
Requested by...Dustin Mireles
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2413753.0/BIS
.DELDT 05/11/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL dustin_mireles@fws.gov