Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS State College, PA

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FNUS71 KCTP 280942
FWSCTP

Spot Forecast for Bonnell Flats...DCNR Forestry
National Weather Service State College PA
542 AM EDT Thu Mar 28 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0600 EDT on March 28.

If conditions become unrepresentative, or if you have questions or
concerns with this forecast, contact the National Weather Service
in State College.


.DISCUSSION...
The overnight passage of a cold front will bring cooler and drier
weather to the region today. Expect partly sunny skies with
relative humidity dipping to around 30 percent in the afternoon.
Friday will feature sunny skies, gusty winds and relative humidity
dipping to near 30 percent in the afternoon.


.TODAY...

Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent).
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max Temperature.....Around 49.
Min Humidity........31 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 6 to 8 mph.
Mixing Height.......5300 ft AGL.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 9 to 13 mph.
Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low to low potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................22 to 40.

TIME (EDT)          6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%)...........  89  87  86  87  89  90  84  78  71  72  73  74
Weather Cov.......
Weather Type......
Tstm Cov..........
LAL...............  1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp..............  40  40  39  39  39  40  41  43  45  46  47  48
RH................  82  79  76  73  70  64  57  49  41  38  34  31
20 FT Wind Dir....  N   N   N   N   N   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT Wind Spd....  7   7   8   7   6   6   6   6   6   6   7   7
20 FT Wind Gust...  11  11  11  10  8   8   8   8   8   10  10  10
Mix Hgt (kft).....  0.9 0.9 1.9 1.9 2.3 2.8 3.0 3.8 4.1 4.5 5.0 5.3
Transp Wind Dir...  N   N   N   N   N   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  N
Transp Wind Spd...  9   10  12  12  10  9   9   10  10  12  12  13
LVORI.............  4   4   3   3   3   2   2   2   2   1   1   1
ADI...............  22  22  22  22  22  22  29  29  29  40  40  40
Haines Index......  3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   4   4   4   4

.TONIGHT...

Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent) then becoming
                    mostly clear (20-30 percent).
LAL.................No Tstms.
Min Temperature.....Around 30.
Max Humidity........58 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 7 to 11 mph.
Mixing Height.......600 ft AGL.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 12 to 16 mph.
Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low to low potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................8 to 17.

TIME (EDT)          6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%)...........  67  60  52  43  33  24  12  7   2   5   8   11
Weather Cov.......
Weather Type......
Tstm Cov..........
LAL...............  1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp..............  47  45  43  41  39  37  36  34  33  32  32  32
RH................  32  36  39  41  44  46  47  51  53  56  58  58
20 FT Wind Dir....  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT Wind Spd....  8   8   10  10  10  11  11  10  10  9   8   7
20 FT Wind Gust...  10  10      11  14  14  12  12  12  11  10  10
Mix Hgt (kft).....  4.5 1.2 0.8 0.7 0.8 0.9 0.8 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.6
Transp Wind Dir...  N   N   N   N   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
Transp Wind Spd...  13  12  12  12  14  16  16  15  16  13  12  12
LVORI.............  2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   3   3
ADI...............  17  17  17  14  14  14  14  14  14  8   8   8
Haines Index......  4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   3   3   3   3

.FRIDAY...

Sky/Weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max Temperature.....Around 49.
Min Humidity........31 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 7 to 16 mph increasing to
                    around 17 mph with gusts to around 26 mph late
                    in the afternoon.
Mixing Height.......5600 ft AGL.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 10 to 13 mph increasing to 20 to 28
                    mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
LVORI...............2.
ADI.................20 early in the morning increasing to 87 in the
                    afternoon.

TIME (EDT)          6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%)...........  10  8   7   12  18  23  22  22  21  18  16  13
Weather Cov.......
Weather Type......
Tstm Cov..........
LAL...............  1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp..............  31  31  32  35  37  39  41  44  46  47  48  48
RH................  61  63  61  54  50  44  41  36  34  32  31  31
20 FT Wind Dir....  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT Wind Spd....  7   8   9   10  12  13  14  16  17  17  17  17
20 FT Wind Gust...  10  12  13  14  17  18  19  20  21  23  25  26
Mix Hgt (kft).....  0.6 0.6 1.4 2.8 4.2 4.9 5.2 5.4 5.6 5.6 5.5 5.4
Transp Wind Dir...  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
Transp Wind Spd...  10  12  13  20  23  24  24  25  25  26  26  28
LVORI.............  2   2   2   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
ADI...............  20  20  20  74  74  74  82  82  82  87  87  87
Haines Index......  3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3

$$
Forecaster...Fitzgerald
Requested by...Eric Fritzinger
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2408691.0/CTP
.DELDT 03/28/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL Efritzinge@pa.gov


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