Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
407 FNUS74 KEPZ 302102 FWSEPZ Spot Forecast for Collins Park RX...GILA NATIONAL FOREST National Weather Service El Paso Tx/Santa Teresa NM 302 PM MDT Tue Apr 30 2024 Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 MDT on May 01. If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather Service. .DISCUSSION... Not much change tomorrow from Tuesday`s weather with the exception of somewhat stronger winds. The region continues under a deep and dry westerly flow pattern, that will keep the region warm, very dry, with light AM winds and breezy and gusty PM winds. Temperatures will run warmer than normal. RH will fall into the low teens and single-digits, with quite poor rates. Fire weather conditions will be elevated, but fall short of critical. Vent rate categories are expected to range from very good to excellent. .WEDNESDAY... Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent). Chance of pcpn......0 percent. LAL.................1. Max temperature.....72-75. Min humidity........9-13 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 8 to 15 mph with gusts to around 28 mph. Mixing height.......7800 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Southwest 16 to 24 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Fair (51400 knot-ft) early in the morning increasing to very good (135600 knot-ft) in the afternoon increasing to excellent (167700 knot-ft) late in the afternoon. Haines Index........2 to 5 or very low to moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. TIME (MDT) 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM Sky (%).........1 1 5 4 4 Weather cov.....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE Weather type....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE Tstm cov........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 Temp............53 64 70 73 70 RH..............28 16 13 10 13 20 ft wind......SW 8 SW 8 SW 13 SW 15 SW 15 20 ft wind gust.20 20 25 28 28 Mix hgt (ft)....3700 7100 7100 7800 7800 Transport wind..W 16 SW 21 SW 21 SW 24 SW 24 Haines index....2 4 5 4 4 Vrate kt-ft/1K..51 136 136 168 168 Ventrate Cat....FAIR VYGD VYGD EXNT EXNT .WEDNESDAY NIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (0-10 percent). Chance of pcpn......0 percent. LAL.................1. Min temperature.....40-44. Max humidity........43-48 percent. Wind (20 ft)........West winds 5 to 14 mph with gusts to around 28 mph in the evening and overnight becoming light. Mixing height.......500 ft AGL. Transport winds.....West 12 to 20 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Very good (140300 knot-ft) decreasing to poor (5600 knot-ft) in the late evening and overnight. Haines Index........2 to 4 or very low to low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. TIME (MDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM Sky (%).........5 5 7 4 4 6 Weather cov.....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE Weather type....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE Tstm cov........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 Temp............67 57 51 47 43 40 RH..............13 22 28 32 39 44 20 ft wind......W 14 W 14 W 9 W 5 W 5 W 4 20 ft wind gust.28 28 21 10 10 9 Mix hgt (ft)....7000 7000 500 500 500 500 Transport wind..W 20 W 20 W 14 W 14 W 12 W 12 Haines index....4 3 2 2 2 2 Vrate kt-ft/1K..140 140 6 6 6 6 Ventrate Cat....VYGD VYGD POOR POOR POOR POOR .THURSDAY... Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent). Chance of pcpn......0 percent. LAL.................1. Max temperature.....70-73. Min humidity........11-14 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming west 6 to 12 mph in the late morning and afternoon. Mixing height.......10400 ft AGL. Transport winds.....West 9 to 15 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Poor (35800 knot-ft) early in the morning increasing to very good (106300 knot-ft) in the afternoon increasing to very good (139500 knot-ft) late in the afternoon. Haines Index........2 to 5 or very low to moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. TIME (MDT) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM Sky (%).........7 2 5 12 Weather cov.....NONE NONE NONE NONE Weather type....NONE NONE NONE NONE Tstm cov........NONE NONE NONE NONE Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 LAL.............1 1 1 1 Temp............40 52 65 70 RH..............46 32 16 12 20 FT wind......W 3G7 NW 6G13 W 9G18 W 12G22 Mix hgt (ft)....4000 4000 9100 10400 Transport wind..NW 9 NW 9 W 12 W 15 Haines index....2 2 4 5 Vrate kt-ft/1K..36 36 106 140 Ventrate Cat....POOR POOR VYGD VYGD .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .FRIDAY... Clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs around 70. Southwest winds around 7 mph. .SATURDAY... Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the lower 70s. Southwest winds around 9 mph. .SUNDAY... Mostly clear. Lows around 40. Highs around 70. Southwest winds around 12 mph. $$ Forecaster...BIRD Requested by...Silver City Dispatch Type of request...PRESCRIBED .TAG 2412708.1/EPZ .DELDT 04/30/24 .FormatterVersion 2.0.0 .EMAIL nmsdc@firenet.gov