National Weather Service Text Product Display

Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX
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FXUS64 KEWX 222339
AFDEWX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
639 PM CDT WED MAY 22 2013

.AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THIS EVENING. A STEADY INFLUX OF GULF
MOISTURE WILL ENSURE THAT ANOTHER ROUND OF LOW STRATUS DEVELOPS
OVERNIGHT. CIGS COULD POTENTIALLY LOWER TO BORDERLINE MVFR/IFR
AROUND SUNRISE BUT HAVE KEPT MVFR FOR NOW AND WILL RE-ASSESS WITH
THE 06Z TAF ISSUANCE. MODEL GUIDANCE SUGGESTS PATCHY SHALLOW FOG
IN THE NEAR-DAYBREAK HOURS AT KAUS...AND COULD ALSO SEE REDUCTIONS
IN VSBYS DUE TO HAZE AT KSSF/KSAT AS SMOKE FROM FIRES ACROSS THE
YUCATAN PENINSULA DRIFTS INTO SOUTHERN TEXAS. CIGS WILL LIFT/BREAK
OUT TO VFR DURING THE LATE MORNING/EARLY AFTERNOON HOURS. SE-SLY
SFC WINDS AOB 10 KTS OVERNIGHT WILL INCREASE TO 12 TO 17 KTS
THURSDAY AFTERNOON.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 301 PM CDT WED MAY 22 2013/

SHORT TERM (TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT)...
MID TO UPPER LEVEL PATTERN IS PROGRESSING AS PREVIOUSLY
ANTICIPATED WITH TROUGH MOVING TO THE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY AND A
RIDGE MOVING ACROSS NM. THIS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE SHORT TERM
PERIOD WITH THE RIDGE BECOMING DOMINANT. AT THE SURFACE HIGH
PRESSURE IS CENTERED OVER THE CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO AND THE LOW
LEVEL WINDS ARE BECOMING SOUTHEASTERLY. THIS WILL BRING GULF
MOISTURE BACK TO THE REGION QUICKLY. THIS WILL BE A DRY PATTERN
WITH WARMING TEMPERATURES.

LONG TERM (FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY)...
THERE WILL NOT BE MUCH CHANGE IN THE LONG TERM FORECAST. THE MID
TO UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL REMAIN IN PLACE THROUGH THE WEEKEND AND
EARLY NEXT WEEK. MODELS SHOW A SHORT WAVE TROUGH MOVING THROUGH
RIDGE FRIDAY WHICH WILL MEAN A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS
DEVELOPING OVER THE MEXICAN MOUNTAINS AND MOVING INTO OUR WESTERN
AREA. HAVE INCLUDED A SMALL AREA OF SLIGHT CHANCE POPS FRIDAY AND
FRIDAY NIGHT. OTHERWISE...THERE ARE NO CHANCES FOR RAIN UNTIL THE
LAST PERIOD OF THE FORECAST WHEN AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH MOVES INTO
WESTERN TEXAS BRINGING A CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS NEXT WEDNESDAY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AUSTIN CAMP MABRY              70  95  71  94  72 /   0   0  10  10  10
AUSTIN BERGSTROM INTL AIRPORT  69  93  71  93  71 /   0   0  10  10  10
NEW BRAUNFELS MUNI AIRPORT     69  95  70  94  71 /   0   0  10  10  10
BURNET MUNI AIRPORT            68  93  69  91  70 /   0   0  10  10  10
DEL RIO INTL AIRPORT           75  99  74  96  76 /   0   0  10  20  20
GEORGETOWN MUNI AIRPORT        69  92  70  91  70 /   0   0  10  10  10
HONDO MUNI AIRPORT             71  97  72  96  73 /   0   0  10  10  10
SAN MARCOS MUNI AIRPORT        70  92  71  91  72 /   0   0  10  10  10
LA GRANGE - FAYETTE REGIONAL   73  92  74  93  74 /   0   0  10  10  10
SAN ANTONIO INTL AIRPORT       72  95  72  94  73 /   0   0  10  10  10
STINSON MUNI AIRPORT           71  94  72  94  73 /   0   0  -   10  10

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

MESOSCALE/AVIATION...25
SYNOPTIC/GRIDS...08
PUBLIC SERVICE/DATA COLLECTION...33
National Weather Service Weather Forecast Office
