000
FXUS64 KEWX 191053
AFDEWX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
553 AM CDT WED JUN 19 2013

.DISCUSSION...

SEE AVIATION FOR 12Z TAFS.

&&

.AVIATION...
S AND SE SFC WINDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT...AS A SFC RIDGE
CONTINUES EAST OF SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS AND AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE
CONTINUES ACROSS WEST TEXAS. THE MID TO LATE JUNE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE
OVER SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS THROUGH TONIGHT WILL MAINTAIN STABLE
CONDITIONS FOR THE AREA. THROUGH 15Z CIGS OF 1 THSD TO 2 THSD BKN
OCNL SCT VCNTY OF KAUS TO KSAT AND KSSF...AND FEW TO SCT CLOUDS
NEAR 2 THSD FT WEST OF KSAT AND KSSF TO THE RIO GRANDE WILL BECOME
FEW TO SCT CLOUDS AT 3 THSD TO 5 THSD FT AFTER 15Z. VFR CONDITIONS
WILL CONTINUE IN THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING. MVFR CIGS ARE POSSIBLE
AGAIN LATE TONIGHT...WITH CIGS NEAR 1 THSD TO 2 THSD BKN VCNTY OF
KAUS TO KSAT AND KSSF. SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 KNOTS
DURING THE DAY WILL BE SE AT 10 TO 20 KNOTS IN THE EVENING AND
SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 KNOTS AFTER MIDNIGHT.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 316 AM CDT WED JUN 19 2013/

SHORT TERM (TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY)...
THE MID TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL MOVE OFF TO THE EAST TODAY AS A
RIDGE BUILDS ACROSS TEXAS FROM MEXICO. AT THE SURFACE...HIGH
PRESSURE WILL REMAIN IN PLACE OVER THE GULF. THIS WILL BE A DRY
PATTERN FOR SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS. SURFACE WINDS WILL REMAIN FROM
THE SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST. THIS WILL BRING MORNING CLOUDINESS TO THE
EASTERN TWO-THIRDS OF THE AREA. THESE CLOUDS WILL BURN OFF THIS
AFTERNOON FOR A MOSTLY SUNNY AFTERNOON WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES A
FEW DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL. THE NEXT 24 HOURS WILL BE ESSENTIALLY A
REPEAT WITH THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE BECOMING MORE STRONGLY
ESTABLISHED.

LONG TERM (THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY)...
LITTLE CHANGE IN THE PATTERN THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK. THE
UPPER RIDGE WILL DOMINATE AND SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN
OVER THE GULF. THIS WILL MEAN A DRY AND WARM FORECAST. SOME MINOR
CHANGES BY THE END OF THE WEEKEND. SOME MINOR HEIGHT FALLS IN THE
MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVELS WILL ALLOW A MOISTURE SURGE FROM THE GULF
TO ENTER THE SOUTHEASTERN PART OF OUR CWA. THIS WILL BRING
AFTERNOON AND EVENING CONVECTION TO THE AREA STARTING SUNDAY. ONLY
SLIGHT CHANCES FOR PRECIP EACH DAY THROUGH THE END OF THE PERIOD.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AUSTIN CAMP MABRY              97  74  98  75  97 /  -    0   0   0   0
AUSTIN BERGSTROM INTL AIRPORT  97  72  97  73  96 /  -    0   0   0   0
NEW BRAUNFELS MUNI AIRPORT     95  74  95  73  94 /  -    0   0   0   0
BURNET MUNI AIRPORT            94  72  94  73  93 /  -    0   0   0   0
DEL RIO INTL AIRPORT           96  77  98  76  96 /  -    0   0   0   0
GEORGETOWN MUNI AIRPORT        95  73  96  74  95 /  -   -    0   0   0
HONDO MUNI AIRPORT             96  74  96  73  95 /  -    0   0   0   0
SAN MARCOS MUNI AIRPORT        94  75  95  73  94 /  -    0   0   0   0
LA GRANGE - FAYETTE REGIONAL   97  77  97  76  97 /  10  -    0   0   0
SAN ANTONIO INTL AIRPORT       95  76  95  75  94 /  -    0   0   0   0
STINSON MUNI AIRPORT           94  74  94  73  93 /  -    0   0   0   0

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

MESOSCALE/AVIATION...08
SYNOPTIC/GRIDS...05
PUBLIC SERVICE/DATA COLLECTION...12