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000
FNUS73 KFGF 221414
FWSFGF

Spot Forecast for Thief Lake NE Unit...MN DNR
National Weather Service Grand Forks ND
914 AM CDT Mon Apr 22 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 CDT on April 22.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

Please call the NWS in Grand Forks at 701-795-5127 for additional
information and monitor our website (www.weather.gov/fgf) or NOAA
All-Hazards Radio for the latest updates.

.DISCUSSION...

Winds this morning will be southerly with the potential for
showers (20% chance) ahead of a wind shift late this morning into
early afternoon. Once this wind shift occurs, relative humidity
values will lower with increasing westerly winds. The expectation
is for relative humidity values to remain above 30%, however if
skies remain clear, the 20s cannot be ruled out. Wind gusts may
reach as high as 25 knots. Additional showers and thunderstorms
may develop this afternoon (20% chance again).

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers late in the morning. Slight chance
                    of showers and thunderstorms late in the
                    afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 60.
Min humidity........32 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. Gusts up to 22
                    mph late in the afternoon. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms late in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......7200 ft AGL.
Mixing winds........West 15 to 20 mph increasing to around 25 mph
                    late in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....18100 knot-ft early in the morning increasing
                    to 108200 knot-ft in the afternoon increasing
                    to (125700 knot-ft) late in the afternoon.

TIME (CDT)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........82  87  90  88  75  68  66  64
Weather cov.....SCH SCH SCH             SCH SCH
Weather type....RW  RW  RW              RW  RW
Tstm cov........                        SCH SCH
Temp............53  55  56  55  56  58  58  59
RH..............43  41  42  44  42  37  34  32
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..15  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
20 FT wind gust.19  18  14  14  16  18  19  20
Mix hgt (kft)...1.5 1.5 2.6 2.8 3.9 6.4 7.0 7.2
Mixing wind dir.SW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W
Mixing wind spd.20  15  15  15  15  20  20  25
Vrate kt-ft/1K..24  18  29  31  54  108 126 145

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms early in the evening. Chance of
                    rain showers in the evening and overnight, then
                    slight chance of rain showers after 3 am.
Min temperature.....Around 36.
Max humidity........96 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 5 to 10 mph with gusts to around 21
                    mph shifting to the northwest early in the
                    morning. Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms early in the evening.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL.
Mixing winds........West 20 to 25 mph decreasing to 10 to 15 mph
                    early in the evening.
Smoke dispersal.....106600 knot-ft early in the evening decreasing
                    to 9100 knot-ft late in the night decreasing to
                    (4300 knot-ft) in the late evening and
                    overnight.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........65     69     73     74     76     80
Weather cov.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE S CHC
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........S CHC  S CHC
Temp............58     54     46     44     42     41
RH..............36     47     71     76     89     92
20 ft wind......W 10   W 10   W 5    W 5    W 5    NW 10
20 ft wind gust.21     18     13     13     12     14
Mix hgt (ft)....5100   900    600    600    500    600
Mixing wind.....W 25   W 15   W 15   W 10   W 10   NW 15
Vrate kt-ft/1K..107    14     6      6      4      7

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent) then becoming
                    mostly sunny (25-35 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers early in the morning.
Max temperature.....Around 50.
Min humidity........35 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds 10 to 15 mph increasing to 15 to 20
                    mph early in the morning, then decreasing to
                    around 10 mph with gusts to around 19 mph late
                    in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......4800 ft AGL.
Mixing winds........North 15 to 20 mph increasing to 20 to 25 mph
                    in the late morning and early afternoon, then
                    decreasing to around 15 mph late in the
                    afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....11700 knot-ft early in the morning increasing
                    to 71400 knot-ft in the afternoon.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
Sky (%).........84        78        54        23
Weather cov.....S CHC
Weather type....RNSHWR    NONE      NONE      NONE
Tstm cov........
Temp............39        37        43        47
RH..............96        85        58        44
20 FT wind......N 10G20   N 20G26   N 15G22   N 10G18
Mix hgt (ft)....900       1900      3000      4300
Mixing wind.....N 15      NE 25     N 25      N 20
Vrate kt-ft/1K..12        40        59        69

$$
Forecaster...AP
Requested by...Kyle Arola
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2411720.0/FGF
.DELDT 04/22/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL kyle.arola@state.mn.us