403
FNUS73 KFGF 011400
FWSFGF

Spot Forecast for Olson NPB...MN DNR
National Weather Service Grand Forks ND
900 AM CDT Wed May 1 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1300 CDT on May 01.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

Please call the NWS in Grand Forks at 701-795-5127 for additional
information and monitor our website (www.weather.gov/fgf) or NOAA
All-Hazards Radio for the latest updates.

.DISCUSSION...

Today will feature a break in the rainfall with mostly sunny sky
and temperatures reaching into the 60s this afternoon. Anticipate
a more or less consistent west wind 10-15 mph with gusts up to 20
mph, with a low potential for slightly stronger winds of 15-20 mph
with gusts up to 25 mph. The relative humidity forecast carries
lower confidence, most likely around 45 percent during your burn
time, but the potential does exist to be as low as 35 percent.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 63.
Min humidity........46 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 10 to 15 mph.
Mixing height.......5400 ft AGL.
Mixing winds........West 20 to 25 mph decreasing to around 15 mph
                    late in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....55600 knot-ft early in the morning increasing
                    to 87700 knot-ft in the afternoon.

TIME (CDT)      1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........19  16  20  32  47
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............56  58  59  60  60
RH..............59  53  51  47  47
20 FT wind dir..W   W   W   W   NW
20 FT wind spd..15  10  10  10  10
20 FT wind gust.20  20  18  15  14
Mix hgt (kft)...4.4 4.7 4.9 5.4 5.1
Mixing wind dir.W   W   W   W   W
Mixing wind spd.25  20  15  15  15
Vrate kt-ft/1K..88  85  74  76  56

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers after 3 am.
Min temperature.....Around 48.
Max humidity........89 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds around 5 mph shifting to the
                    south early in the evening, then shifting to
                    the southeast in the late evening and
                    overnight.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Mixing winds........Northwest around 5 mph shifting to the
                    southeast early in the evening, then increasing
                    to around 15 mph early in the morning.
Smoke dispersal.....25000 knot-ft early in the evening decreasing
                    to 2200 knot-ft late in the night.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........71     75     84     93     94     92
Weather cov.....                                   S CHC
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   RNSHWR
Tstm cov........
Temp............60     57     53     51     50     49
RH..............46     57     66     71     74     80
20 ft wind......NW 5   S 5    E 5    SE 5   SE 5   SE 5
20 ft wind gust.9             7      9      11     12
Mix hgt (ft)....4200   600    400    400    500    500
Mixing wind.....NW 5   SE 5   S 10   SE 10  SE 10  SE 10
Vrate kt-ft/1K..25     3      3      4      5      5

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Chance of rain showers
                    early in the morning, then rain showers likely.
Max temperature.....Around 54.
Min humidity........79 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds around 10 mph. Gusts up to 22 mph in
                    the late morning and early afternoon.
Mixing height.......2200 ft AGL.
Mixing winds........Southeast 15 to 20 mph shifting to the east
                    late in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....11500 knot-ft early in the morning increasing
                    to 43000 knot-ft in the afternoon.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
Sky (%).........95        97        96        96
Weather cov.....CHANCE    LIKELY    LIKELY    LIKELY
Weather type....RNSHWR    RNSHWR    RNSHWR    RNSHWR
Tstm cov........
Temp............48        48        50        51
RH..............83        89        83        80
20 FT wind......SE 10G14  E 10G18   E 10G20   E 10G18
Mix hgt (ft)....1000      2000      2200      2200
Mixing wind.....SE 15     SE 20     SE 20     E 20
Vrate kt-ft/1K..12        38        40        39

$$
Forecaster...TG
Requested by...Tyler Larson
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2412909.0/FGF
.DELDT 05/01/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL tyler.k.larson@state.mn.us