Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI
Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI
108 FNUS53 KGRR 020811 FWFGRR Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southwest Lower Michigan National Weather Service Grand Rapids MI 411 AM EDT Thu May 2 2024 ...On and off rain chances later today into Friday... .DISCUSSION... Today will start out dry for all areas, however rain chances will increase a bit this afternoon. The best chance of rain will be the further North and West you go. On and off rain showers with scattered storms can be expected from this afternoon into Friday. MIZ037>039-043>045-022015- Mason-Lake-Osceola-Oceana-Newaygo-Mecosta- Including the cities of Ludington, Baldwin, Reed City, Hart, Fremont, and Big Rapids 411 AM EDT Thu May 2 2024 .TODAY... Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (65-75 percent). Chance of rain showers after 11 AM. Slight chance of thunderstorms after 5 PM. Chance of pcpn......30 percent. Max temperature.....70-75. 24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer. Min humidity........36-41 percent. 24 hr trend......4 percent wetter. 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 7 to 12 mph. Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......2900-3400 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and 4100-4600 ft AGL Inland. Transport winds.....Southeast 10 to 15 mph. Headline Smoke dispersal.....470-780 (good to excellent). Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.03 in. .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of rain showers until 11 PM. Chance of thunderstorms. Rain showers after 11 PM. Chance of pcpn......80 percent. Min temperature.....47-52. 24 hr trend......12 degrees warmer. Max humidity........95-100 percent. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 7 to 12 mph. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......700-1200 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Southeast 10 to 15 mph. Smoke dispersal.....110-190 (poor to fair). Pcpn Amount.........0.07-0.53 in. .FRIDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Rain showers likely until 2 PM. Chance of rain showers after 2 PM. Chance of pcpn......60 percent. Max temperature.....66-71. 24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler. Min humidity........49-54 percent near Lake Michigan and 40-45 percent Inland. 24 hr trend......13 percent wetter near Lake Michigan and 4 percent wetter Inland. 20-foot winds.......West winds around 7 mph shifting to the north in the afternoon. Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......1200-1700 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and 3000-3500 ft AGL Inland. Transport winds.....West around 10 mph shifting to the north in the afternoon. Smoke dispersal.....280-510 (fair to good). Pcpn Amount.........0.03-0.34 in. $$ MIZ040-046-022015- Clare-Isabella- Including the cities of Clare and Mount Pleasant 411 AM EDT Thu May 2 2024 .TODAY... Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Chance of rain showers after 5 PM. Chance of pcpn......30 percent late in the day. Max temperature.....67-72. 24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler. Min humidity........38-43 percent. 24 hr trend......11 percent wetter. 20-foot winds.......East winds 6 to 11 mph. Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......3800-4300 ft AGL. Transport winds.....East around 5 mph increasing to southeast around 15 mph in the afternoon. Smoke dispersal.....340-670 (good to excellent). Pcpn Amount.........None. .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Chance of pcpn......50 percent. Min temperature.....49-54. 24 hr trend......7 degrees warmer. Max humidity........91-96 percent. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 6 to 11 mph. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......700-1200 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Southeast 10 to 15 mph. Smoke dispersal.....100-190 (poor to fair). Pcpn Amount.........0.08-0.16 in. .FRIDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Rain showers likely. Chance of pcpn......70 percent. Max temperature.....Around 70. 24 hr trend......1 degree cooler. Min humidity........47-52 percent. 24 hr trend......9 percent wetter. 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 6 mph shifting to the north around 7 mph in the afternoon. Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......3100-3600 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 mph shifting to the northwest in the afternoon. Smoke dispersal.....260-490 (fair to good). Pcpn Amount.........0.08-0.20 in. $$ MIZ050-056-064-071-022015- Muskegon-Ottawa-Allegan-Van Buren- Including the cities of Muskegon, Grand Haven, Jenison, Holland, and South Haven 411 AM EDT Thu May 2 2024 .TODAY... Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Chance of rain showers after 10 AM. Slight chance of thunderstorms after 2 PM. Chance of pcpn......30 percent. Max temperature.....76-81. 24 hr trend......10 degrees warmer. Min humidity........37-42 percent. 24 hr trend......5 percent wetter. 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 8 to 13 mph. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......3900-4400 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Southeast around 15 mph. Smoke dispersal.....510-770 (good to excellent). Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.04 in. .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of rain showers until 5 AM. Chance of thunderstorms. Rain showers likely after 5 AM. Chance of pcpn......60 percent. Min temperature.....50-55. 24 hr trend......10 degrees warmer. Max humidity........95-100 percent. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. 20-foot winds.......South winds 6 to 11 mph. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......600-1100 ft AGL. Transport winds.....South 10 to 15 mph. Smoke dispersal.....80-120 (poor). Pcpn Amount.........0.18-0.53 in. .FRIDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Rain showers likely until 2 PM. Chance of rain showers after 2 PM. Chance of pcpn......60 percent. Max temperature.....66-71. 24 hr trend......10 degrees cooler. Min humidity........47-52 percent. 24 hr trend......10 percent wetter. 20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph. Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......1700-2200 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and 2900-3400 ft AGL Inland. Transport winds.....Northwest around 10 mph. Smoke dispersal.....220-410 (fair to good). Pcpn Amount.........0.04-0.27 in. $$ MIZ051-052-057>059-022015- Montcalm-Gratiot-Kent-Ionia-Clinton- Including the cities of Greenville, Alma, Grand Rapids, Ionia, and St. Johns 411 AM EDT Thu May 2 2024 .TODAY... Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Chance of rain showers after 5 PM. Chance of pcpn......30 percent late in the day. Max temperature.....73-78. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. Min humidity........31-36 percent. 24 hr trend......9 percent wetter. 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 7 to 12 mph. Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......4000-4500 ft AGL. Transport winds.....East around 10 mph shifting to the south in the afternoon. Smoke dispersal.....460-660 (good to excellent). Pcpn Amount.........None. .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Chance of pcpn......50 percent. Min temperature.....Around 57. 24 hr trend......9 degrees warmer. Max humidity........91-96 percent. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 7 to 12 mph. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......600-1100 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Southeast 10 to 15 mph. Smoke dispersal.....80-110 (poor). Pcpn Amount.........0.12-0.39 in. .FRIDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Rain showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms. Chance of pcpn......70 percent. Max temperature.....69-74. 24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler. Min humidity........45-50 percent. 24 hr trend......14 percent wetter. 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 7 mph shifting to the north in the afternoon. Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......2800-3300 ft AGL. Transport winds.....West around 10 mph shifting to the northwest in the afternoon. Smoke dispersal.....290-420 (fair to good). Pcpn Amount.........0.11-0.55 in. $$ MIZ065>067-072>074-022015- Barry-Eaton-Ingham-Kalamazoo-Calhoun-Jackson- Including the cities of Hastings, Charlotte, Lansing, Kalamazoo, Battle Creek, and Jackson 411 AM EDT Thu May 2 2024 .TODAY... Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Chance of rain showers after 4 PM. Slight chance of thunderstorms after 5 PM. Chance of pcpn......30 percent in the afternoon. Max temperature.....75-80. 24 hr trend......1 degree cooler. Min humidity........34-39 percent. 24 hr trend......10 percent wetter. 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 7 to 12 mph. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......4000-4500 ft AGL. Transport winds.....East around 10 mph shifting to the south in the afternoon. Smoke dispersal.....500-740 (good to excellent). Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.05 in. .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Chance of pcpn......40 percent. Min temperature.....55-60. 24 hr trend......9 degrees warmer. Max humidity........92-97 percent. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 7 to 12 mph. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......500-1000 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Southeast 10 to 15 mph. Smoke dispersal.....80-120 (poor). Pcpn Amount.........0.12-0.38 in. .FRIDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Rain showers likely until 2 PM. Chance of thunderstorms. Chance of rain showers after 2 PM. Chance of pcpn......70 percent. Max temperature.....70-75. 24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler. Min humidity........58-63 percent. 24 hr trend......24 percent wetter. 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 7 mph shifting to the north in the afternoon. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......2600-3100 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 mph shifting to the northwest in the afternoon. Smoke dispersal.....370-380 (good). Pcpn Amount.........0.11-0.85 in. $$ .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and a slight chance of thunderstorms in the evening, then a slight chance of showers overnight. Lows in the lower 50s. Northeast winds 5 to 9 mph. .SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a slight chance of showers. Highs in the mid 70s. East winds 6 to 11 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in the lower 50s. Northwest winds 6 to 11 mph. .SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Northwest winds 8 to 13 mph. .SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. North winds 6 to 11 mph shifting to the east 5 to 10 mph overnight. .MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Southeast winds 7 to 12 mph. .MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in the mid 50s. .TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Chance of showers until midday, then showers likely in the afternoon. Highs in the upper 70s. .TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of thunderstorms. Showers likely in the evening, then a chance of showers overnight. Lows in the upper 50s. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the mid 70s. $$