661
FXUS66 KHNX 070738
AFDHNX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Hanford CA
1238 AM PDT Tue May 7 2024

.KEY MESSAGES...
1. Damaging northwest wind gusts are expected in the Mojave
Desert Slopes this afternoon into tonight.

2. A warming trend is anticipated today through Sunday.

3. By Sunday afternoon, high temperatures throughout Central
California will be around ten degrees above normal for this time
of year.

4. Dry weather will persist for the next several days.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Broad cyclonic flow aloft will prevail today and tonight.
Strong, gusty northwest winds in the Mojave Desert Slopes this
morning will become more intense this afternoon. There is an 86
percent chance of wind gusts of 58 mph or higher at Mojave this
evening. A Wind Advisory is in effect for the Mojave Desert
slopes until 2 PM PDT this afternoon. A High Wind Warning is in
effect for the Mojave Desert Slopes from 2 PM PDT this afternoon
until 2 AM PDT early Wednesday morning.

An upper-level area of low pressure over the North Central
United States will retrograde westward Wednesday. This cyclone
aloft will settle over the Great Basin Thursday. The upper-level
area of low pressure will meander around the vicinity of Central
California Friday and Saturday, before progressing eastward
Sunday and Monday. Although thunderstorm probabilities are not
very high (less than 15 percent) in the Sierra Nevada each
afternoon Friday through Sunday, there may be just enough
atmospheric moisture available for a stray thunderstorm to
develop, especially along the crest.

A warming trend is anticipated today through Sunday. By Sunday
afternoon, high temperatures across Central California will be
around ten degrees above normal for this time of year. Here are
probabilities of maximum temperatures of 90 degrees or higher
for select locations in the San Joaquin Valley on Sunday, May
12th, 2024:

Fresno - 81%
Hanford - 81%
Lemoore - 81%
Delano - 81%
Bakersfield - 76%
Visalia - 76%
Madera - 71%
Porterville - 66%
Merced - 56%
Reedley - 56%

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR conditions will prevail across Central California for at
least the next 24 hours.

&&

.AIR QUALITY ISSUES...
None.

&&

.CERTAINTY...
The level of certainty for days 1 and 2 is high.
The level of certainty for days 3 through 7 is high.

Certainty levels include low, medium, and high. Please visit
www.weather.gov/hnx/certainty.html for additional information
and/or to provide feedback.

&&

.HNX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Wind Advisory until 2 PM PDT this afternoon for CAZ338.
High Wind Warning from 2 PM PDT this afternoon until 2 AM PDT
early Wednesday morning for CAZ338.

&&

$$

Public/Aviation/Fire Weather...BS
PIO/DSS........................EW

weather.gov/hanford