Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
317 FNUS52 KILM 041857 FWFILM Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina National Weather Service Wilmington NC 257 PM EDT Sat May 4 2024 .DISCUSSION... Scattered showers and thunderstorms will occur this weekend due to several upper level disturbances, diurnal heating, and the daily sea breeze. Dry high pressure will build overhead by Wednesday with well above normal temperatures likely during the middle and late portions of next week. Rain chances increase towards the end of next week due to an approaching frontal system. Fog potential for tonight is Low. NCZ105>110-051100- Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover- Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick- Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro, Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport, and Sunset Beach 257 PM EDT Sat May 4 2024 Tonight Sun Sun Night Mon Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Pcldy Pcldy Precip Chance (%) 20 40 30 50 Precip Type Showers Tstms Tstms Tstms LAL 1 2 2 3 Min/Max Temp 64 77 64 82 Max/Min RH (%) 97 67 100 62 Wind20ft/Early (mph) SE 4 S 5 S 6 S 6 Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var S 8 S 5 S 9 G17 Precip Amount 0.01 0.09 0.02 0.09 Precip Duration 1 2 1 2 Precip Begin 1 AM Continuing Continuing Continuing Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing Continuing Inversion(Temp/Time) 2000 70/0800 2000 68/0700 Dispersion Very Poor Fair Haines Index 4 3 3 3 DSI 2 2 Mixing Hgt (ft) 2900 4700 Transport Wind (mph) S 17 SW 16 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 49300 75200 ADI Early 61 Good 44 Gen Good 40 Fair 54 Gen Good ADI Late 6 Very Poor 49 Gen Good 10 Poor 58 Gen Good Max LVORI Early 6 6 6 8 Max LVORI Late 6 3 8 2 Min VSBY Early 7 7 7 Min VSBY Late 7 7 7 Turner Stability E B D C Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. .TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 63 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. .TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 96 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 54 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 91 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. .THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 52 percent. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph. .THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 93 percent. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph. .FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 60 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 90 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph. .SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 45 percent. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph. $$ NCZ087-096-099-051100- Robeson-Bladen-Columbus- Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro, Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw 257 PM EDT Sat May 4 2024 Tonight Sun Sun Night Mon Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Pcldy Pcldy Precip Chance (%) 30 60 50 70 Precip Type Showers Tstms Tstms Tstms LAL 2 2 2 3 Min/Max Temp 65 79 64 83 Max/Min RH (%) 99 66 100 59 Wind20ft/Early (mph) SE 4 S 4 S 6 S 6 Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var S 7 S 5 SW 8 Precip Amount 0.02 0.16 0.03 0.19 Precip Duration 1 5 2 4 Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing Continuing Continuing Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing Continuing Inversion(Temp/Time) 2000 69/0900 2000 67/0700 Dispersion Very Poor Fair Haines Index 4 3 3 3 DSI 2 2 Mixing Hgt (ft) 3000 4400 Transport Wind (mph) S 16 SW 15 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 48000 66000 ADI Early 58 Gen Good 39 Fair 47 Gen Good 46 Gen Good ADI Late 7 Poor 51 Gen Good 10 Poor 55 Gen Good Max LVORI Early 6 8 7 8 Max LVORI Late 7 3 8 2 Min VSBY Early 7 6 Rain 6 Rain Min VSBY Late 7 6 Rain 7 Turner Stability E C D C Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 57 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 96 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 47 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 88 percent. Southwest winds around 10 mph. .THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 44 percent. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph. .THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 91 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. .FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 55 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 87 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph. .SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 41 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph. $$ SCZ054>056-058-059-051100- Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry- Northern Horry- Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee, North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris, Green Sea, and Aynor 257 PM EDT Sat May 4 2024 Tonight Sun Sun Night Mon Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Pcldy Pcldy Precip Chance (%) 40 50 40 50 Precip Type Showers Tstms Tstms Tstms LAL 2 2 2 3 Min/Max Temp 66 78 64 83 Max/Min RH (%) 98 68 100 62 Wind20ft/Early (mph) SE 4 S 4 S 5 S 5 Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var S 6 S 4 S 8 Precip Amount 0.07 0.20 0.03 0.12 Precip Duration 1 2 1 2 Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing Continuing Continuing Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing Continuing Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 70/0900 2000 68/0700 Dispersion Poor Fair Haines Index 4 3 3 3 DSI 2 2 Mixing Hgt (ft) 2900 4400 Transport Wind (mph) S 14 S 15 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 40600 66000 ADI Early 45 Gen Good 33 Fair 43 Gen Good 47 Gen Good ADI Late 6 Very Poor 45 Gen Good 9 Poor 52 Gen Good Max LVORI Early 6 7 8 8 Max LVORI Late 7 3 8 2 Min VSBY Early 7 7 7 Min VSBY Late 7 6 Rain 7 Turner Stability E C E C Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 62 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. .TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 97 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 53 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 91 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. .THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 49 percent. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph. .THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 93 percent. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph. .FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 60 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 90 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph. .SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 48 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph. $$ SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-051100- Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg- Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville, Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree 257 PM EDT Sat May 4 2024 Tonight Sun Sun Night Mon Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Pcldy Pcldy Precip Chance (%) 50 60 50 70 Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms Tstms LAL 2 2 2 3 Min/Max Temp 64 80 63 83 Max/Min RH (%) 99 65 100 61 Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var S 4 S 5 S 5 Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var S 5 S 4 SW 7 Precip Amount 0.10 0.15 0.05 0.18 Precip Duration 2 5 2 4 Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing Continuing Continuing Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing Continuing Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 69/0900 2000 70/0900 Dispersion Very Poor Fair Haines Index 3 3 3 3 DSI 2 2 Mixing Hgt (ft) 3500 4800 Transport Wind (mph) S 13 SW 14 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 45500 67200 ADI Early 26 Fair 36 Fair 39 Fair 44 Gen Good ADI Late 5 Very Poor 40 Fair 9 Poor 56 Gen Good Max LVORI Early 7 9 8 8 Max LVORI Late 8 3 8 2 Min VSBY Early 6 Rain 7 6 Rain Min VSBY Late 6 Rain 6 Rain 7 Turner Stability E C D C Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 57 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 97 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 47 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 90 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 45 percent. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph. .THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 92 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. .FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 55 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 88 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph. .SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 43 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph. $$ .OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS... Temperatures below normal. Precipitation near normal. $$ SC USERS NC USERS =================================================================== VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE =================================================================== NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759 0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499 17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999 34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999 51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999 69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER SC USERS NC USERS =================================================================== FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND =================================================================== STAGNANT NEAR CALM CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH 2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH 6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH 9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH 14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS. LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index. $$ Forecaster...VAO