Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Miami, FL

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790
FNUS72 KMFL 010753
FWSMFL

Spot Forecast for Dupuis BU-20...South Florida Water Management District
National Weather Service Miami FL
353 AM EDT Wed May 1 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0700 EDT on May 01.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (305) 229-4522, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...
Light and variable winds at the burn site this morning will
increase out of the east southeast in the afternoon. Scattered
showers and thunderstorms will be possible mainly during the
afternoon and early evening hours. Maximum dispersion values this
afternoon will remain poor to fair at the burn site.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (35-45 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms early in the
                    afternoon. Chance of showers and thunderstorms
                    late in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms until 1400, then 9-15 strikes.
Max temperature.....Around 86.
Min humidity........63 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming south around 5 mph late in
                    the morning, then becoming light early in the
                    afternoon becoming south 5 to 6 mph early in
                    the afternoon shifting to the east 7 to 8 mph.
                    Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......4200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 5 to 8 mph shifting to the east
                    around 9 mph late in the afternoon.
Dispersion index....5 increasing to 30.
LVORI...............6.

TIME (EDT)      7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........34  33  37  42  46  48  49  48  47  46  46
Weather cov.....                    SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....                    RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                    SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).10  10  10  10  10  20  20  30  40  40  40
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   3   3   3   3
Temp............67  71  74  80  83  84  83  84  84  83  84
RH..............100 93  90  74  65  63  65  65  65  67  65
20 FT wind dir..E   SE  S   S   S   S   S   SE  E   E   E
20 FT wind spd..3   3   3   3   5   3   5   6   7   8   8
20 FT wind gust.6   6   7   6   6   7   9   10  13  15  14
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.4 1.5 2.6 3.7 3.9 4.1 4.2 3.7 3.3 2.8
Transp wind dir.SE  SE  S   S   S   SE  SE  E   E   E   E
Transp wind spd.5   5   5   5   5   6   6   7   8   9   9
Dispersion idx..2   4   8   14  20  26  29  33  34  34  32
LVORI...........10  8   6   4   3   3   2   2   3   3   2

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms early in the evening.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
LAL.................9-15 strikes until 2000, then No Tstms.
Min temperature.....Around 67.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 5 to 8 mph in the evening and
                    overnight becoming light. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms early in the
                    evening.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 6 to 10 mph.
Dispersion index....22 decreasing to 6 early in the evening.
LVORI...............6.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........46  45  42  38  33  29  28  28  29  27  25  24
Weather cov.....SCH SCH
Weather type....RW  RW
Tstm cov........SCH SCH
Chc of pcpn (%).20  20  10  10  10  10  10  0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............3   3   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............82  81  79  75  74  73  72  71  71  70  69  69
RH..............69  69  74  84  87  90  93  93  93  97  97  100
20 FT wind dir..E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  E   E
20 FT wind spd..8   8   8   7   7   6   5   5   5   5   3   3
20 FT wind gust.14  14  14  12  10  10  9   9   8   8   7   6
Mix hgt (kft)...2.0 1.2 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
Transp wind dir.E   E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
Transp wind spd.10  10  10  10  9   8   7   7   7   6   6   6
Dispersion idx..26  18  9   7   5   4   3   3   3   3   3   2
LVORI...........3   3   4   5   6   6   7   7   7   8   8   9

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (30-40 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms late in the
                    afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms until 1400, then 1-8 strikes.
Max temperature.....Around 86.
Min humidity........61 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming east 5 to 8 mph in the
                    late morning and afternoon. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms late in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......5300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 5 to 10 mph.
Dispersion index....4 increasing to 52.
LVORI...............6.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........23     24     25     33     42     46
Weather cov.....                            S CHC  S CHC
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........                            S CHC  S CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).0      10     10     10     20     20
LAL.............1      1      1      1      2      2
Temp............69     70     79     82     84     84
RH..............100    100    77     69     63     61
20 FT wind dir..E      E      E      E      E      E
20 FT wind spd..3      3      5      8      8      8
20 FT wind gust.7      7      8      10     14     15
Mix hgt (ft)....500    500    2800   4400   5300   4700
Transport wind..SE 5   E 5    E 7    E 9    E 9    E 10
Dispersion idx..2      5      23     42     54     49
LVORI...........10     8      3      2      1      1

$$
Forecaster...Caracozza
Requested by...james schuette
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2412872.0/MFL
.DELDT 05/01/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0