473
FNUS72 KMHX 280627
FWSMHX

Spot Forecast for C 30 Bogue Rd/Pettiford Creek...USFS
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
227 AM EDT Sun Apr 28 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 EDT on April 28.
If conditions become unrepresentative, or if you have questions
or concerns about this forecast, contact the National Weather
Service in Newport at (252)223-2328.

.DISCUSSION...
The risk of significant fire weather concerns in the burn area
today is LOW. The afternoon seabreeze will develop between 11:00 am
and 1:00 pm, with a subsequent increase in the south wind (gusts
as high as 15-20 mph). A similar scenario is expected again on
Monday. No precipitation is expected through Monday.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 75.
Min humidity........53 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 10 to 15 mph.
Mixing Height.......Max 3400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 10 to 20 mph.
Vent Rate...........Max 44850 mph-ft.
LVORI...............Max 2.
ADI.................Max 49.
Stability class.....2.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Sfc pressure........30.22 to 30.30 inHg.

TIME (EDT)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........6   3   3   2   2   2   1   1
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............70  72  73  73  74  73  73  72
RH..............63  59  55  55  53  55  55  57
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SW
20 FT wind spd..6   8   10  11  12  12  13  12
20 FT wind gust.9   11  11  16  16  16  20  16
Mix hgt (kft)...2.7 3.2 3.4 3.3 3.0 2.9 2.8 2.2
Transp wind dir.S   SW  SW  S   S   S   S   SW
Transp wind spd.8   8   9   10  12  14  16  17
LVORI...........2   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
ADI.............27  32  38  42  37  43  49  45
Haines index....3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
Vrate mph-ft/1K.22  26  31  35  35  39  45  37
Sfc pres (in)...030 030 029 028 027 025 023 022

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Clear.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 59.
Max humidity........93 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds around 10 mph. Gusts up to 20 mph
                    early in the evening.
Mixing Height.......Min 400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 9 to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Min 3794 mph-ft.
LVORI...............Max 6.
ADI.................Min 4.
Stability class.....4.
Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low to low potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.
Sfc pressure........30.15 to 30.21 inHg.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........1   3   5   4   3   2   3   4   4   4   4   4
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............71  69  67  65  64  64  63  62  61  61  60  60
RH..............61  66  70  75  78  81  87  87  93  90  93  93
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..10  9   7   7   7   7   7   6   7   6   6   6
20 FT wind gust.14  18  14  14  14  14  14  9   9   9   9
Mix hgt (kft)...1.4 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
Transp wind dir.SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W
Transp wind spd.18  17  16  15  15  14  14  13  12  12  9   9
LVORI...........1   3   3   4   4   4   5   5   6   6   6   6
ADI.............33  12  11  10  10  9   9   6   8   5   4   4
Haines index....3   3   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4
Vrate mph-ft/1K.26  9   7   7   7   6   6   5   5   5   4   4
Sfc pres (in)...021 020 020 020 020 020 019 018 017 016 015 015

.MONDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 80.
Min humidity........49 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 10 to 15 mph.
Mixing Height.......Max 2800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 10 to 20 mph.
Vent Rate...........Max 34270 mph-ft.
LVORI...............Max 6.
ADI.................Max 43.
Stability class.....4.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Sfc pressure........30.11 to 30.17 inHg.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........5      6      7      8      10     9
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
Temp............60     63     71     78     79     80
RH..............93     87     66     53     52     49
20 ft wind......W 6    W 6    SW 7   S 10   S 12   S 13
20 ft wind gust.9      9      9      16     16     16
Mix hgt (ft)....400    600    2100   2800   2000   1500
Transport wind..W 10   W 13   W 14   SW 12  SW 13  SW 17
LVORI...........6      4      3      1      1      1
ADI.............5      13     37     41     32     33
Haines index....4      4      4      4      4      4
Vrate mph-ft/1K.4      7      29     33     26     25
Sfc pres (in)...30.15  30.17  30.17  30.16  30.13  30.11

$$
Forecaster...Martin
Requested by...David Nelson
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2412619.0/MHX
.DELDT 04/28/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL david.l.nelson@usda.gov