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000
FNUS74 KMOB 150905
FWSMOB

Spot Forecast for GUIS Naval Live Oaks...National Park Service
National Weather Service Mobile AL
405 AM CDT Mon Apr 15 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 CDT on April 15.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...Dry weather conditions continue to prevail across
the burn area today through Tuesday. Afternoon minimum relative
humidity values will be around 75% today and between 70 to 75%
Tuesday. Transport winds will remain out of the south today and
Tuesday around 10 to 15mph. Afternoon dispersions today and
Tuesday will be fair.

Fog potential and other remarks...Fog is currently not expected
for the burn area.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 73.
Min humidity........76 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southeast 6 to 10 mph in
                    the late morning and afternoon.
Mixing height.......1300 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...213-396 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....South 7 to 13 mph.
Transport winds m/s.South 3 to 6 meters/second.
Dispersion index....10 increasing to 27.
LVORI...............4.
Stability class.....2.

TIME (CDT)      8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........22  17  21  16  18  24  15  15  13  14
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............67  68  70  71  72  72  72  73  72  71
RH..............90  87  81  79  76  76  79  76  79  81
20 FT wind dir..S   SSE SSE SE  SSE SSE SSE S   S   SSE
20 FT wind spd..3   5   7   8   10  12  10  12  12  12
20 FT wind gust.6   7   8   10  12  13  13  14  14  13
Mix hgt (kft)...0.7 0.7 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.3 1.0 0.9 0.8 0.8
Mix hgt (km)....0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   SSE SSE S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.7   7   7   8   10  12  12  12  13  12
Trans wind dir..S   S   S   S   SSE SSE S   S   S   S
Trans spd (m/s).3   3   3   4   4   5   5   5   6   5
Dispersion idx..6   8   13  16  21  25  27  27  27  27
LVORI...........6   4   4   3   3   3   2   2   2   3

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (20-30 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (45-55 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 67.
Max humidity........93 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 5 to 9 mph.
Mixing height.......600 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...183-305 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....South 8 to 13 mph.
Transport winds m/s.South 4 to 6 meters/second.
Dispersion index....27 decreasing to 6.
LVORI...............5.
Stability class.....4.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........20  24  17  24  26  27  29  22  24  36  51  53
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............71  70  69  69  69  68  68  68  68  67  68  68
RH..............81  81  87  87  84  90  87  87  90  93  87  87
20 FT wind dir..SSE SSE SSE SSE SSE SSE SSE SSE SSE SSE SSE SE
20 FT wind spd..10  8   7   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6
20 FT wind gust.12  10  10  10  8   8   9   9   9   8   8   9
Mix hgt (kft)...0.8 1.0 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.7 0.7 0.8 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.6
Mix hgt (km)....0.2 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SSE SSE
Transp wind spd.12  12  12  13  13  12  12  12  12  10  9   8
Trans wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SSE SSE
Trans spd (m/s).5   5   5   6   6   5   5   5   5   4   4   4
Dispersion idx..27  5   5   5   5   6   6   6   6   5   5   5
LVORI...........3   4   5   5   6   6   6   6   6   7   7   7

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 74.
Min humidity........73 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 5 to 12 mph.
Mixing height.......1100 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...152-335 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 7 to 16 mph.
Transport winds m/s.Southeast 3 to 7 meters/second.
Dispersion index....9 increasing to 32.
LVORI...............5.
Stability class.....2.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........53  62  47  37  46  47  46  44  46  50  52  53
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............67  67  68  69  71  72  73  73  73  74  74  73
RH..............90  93  87  87  79  76  73  73  73  74  74  76
20 FT wind dir..SE  ESE ESE ESE ESE SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..6   7   9   12  14  14  14  14  14  13  13  12
20 FT wind gust.8   8   10  13  15  15  16  17  17  17  16  15
Mix hgt (kft)...0.6 0.5 0.8 0.9 1.0 1.1 1.0 1.0 0.9 0.8 0.7 0.7
Mix hgt (km)....0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2
Transp wind dir.SSE ESE ESE ESE SE  SE  SE  SE  SSE SSE SSE SSE
Transp wind spd.7   8   10  14  15  15  15  16  16  15  15  15
Trans wind dir..SSE ESE ESE ESE SE  SE  SE  SE  SSE SSE SSE SSE
Trans spd (m/s).3   4   4   6   7   7   7   7   7   7   7   7
Dispersion idx..5   8   12  18  25  30  32  34  32  32  31  31
LVORI...........7   6   5   4   3   3   2   2   2   2   2   2

$$
Forecaster...25
Requested by...National Park Service
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2410621.2/MOB
.DELDT 04/15/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL robert_vick@nps.gov