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000
FXUS64 KSHV 221958
AFDSHV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
258 PM CDT Mon Apr 22 2024

...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM...

.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Tuesday Night)
Issued at 233 PM CDT Mon Apr 22 2024

Quiet, slightly cooler weather will continue into the middle of
the week across the Four State Region. This is due to a broad
ridge axis that currently extends across the Mississippi River
Valley into the Appalachian Mountains. This ridging will gradually
progress eastward, reintroducing southerly winds, a chance of
precipitation (north of I-30) and increased fog potential by
tomorrow night. Temperature-wise, this means a gradual warm-up to
near-normal with maximums/minimums in the 70s/50s, respectively.
/16/

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Wednesday through next Sunday)
Issued at 233 PM CDT Mon Apr 22 2024

Chances of rain will accompany a warming trend across the Four
State Region through the rest of the week into the weekend. This
is due to northwesterly flow aloft that transitions to
southwesterly flow by the weekend, steering more disturbances
across the Southern Great Plains that graze parts of our area with
precipitation by midweek (along and north of I-30) with some
potential for severe thunderstorms by Friday and Saturday (mainly
for our western zones). This relatively active pattern will
maintain precipitation chances and continue into early next week.
In the process, temperatures will gradually increase from
maximums/minimums in the lower 60s/lower 80s into the lower
70s/upper 80s, respectively. /16/

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1221 PM CDT Mon Apr 22 2024

VFR flight conditions should generally prevail at all TAF sites
for the next 24 hours. A few high cirrus clouds will stream
overhead, and some clouds closer to 5 kft may begin to affect
portions of East Texas late in the period. Otherwise, light winds
should continue to prevail at all terminals until Tuesday morning.
After 23/15z, south or southwest winds should increase to between
7 and 12 kts areawide with the terminals across East Texas
possibly experiencing a few gusts between 15 and 20 kts.

CN

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  51  79  62  83 /   0   0   0  10
MLU  44  77  57  81 /   0   0   0  10
DEQ  45  76  58  75 /   0   0  20  30
TXK  50  78  61  78 /   0   0  10  20
ELD  45  77  57  78 /   0   0   0  20
TYR  52  78  62  82 /   0   0   0  10
GGG  49  78  60  82 /   0   0   0  10
LFK  48  80  60  83 /   0   0   0  10

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...None.
LA...None.
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...16
LONG TERM....16
AVIATION...09