Text Products for FWS Issued by TSA

Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK
Versions: 1 2 3
000
FNUS74 KTSA 171329
FWSTSA

Spot Forecast for Hubbard Burn...Arkansas Department of Agriculture Forestry
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
829 AM CDT Wed Apr 17 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1200 CDT on April 22.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact NWS Tulsa at (918)838-7838, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...
Below normal temperatures and light to moderate southerly winds
are forecast for Monday across the burn area. Increasing surface
moisture will allow min RH values to hover around 50 percent
through the period with mostly clear skies.

.MONDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 66.
Min humidity........45 percent.
Dewpoint............42 increasing to 45 late in the afternoon.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds around 9 mph.
Mixing height.......4500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 14 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (55081 knot-ft).
Stability class.....MISSING.
1700FT Avg MIX T(F).MISSING.

TIME (CDT)      12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........5   10  10  10  10  10
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............60  62  64  65  66  66
Dewpoint........40  41  42  43  44  45
RH..............47  46  45  45  45  47
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..9   9   9   9   9   9
20 FT wind gust.12  13  13  13  13  13
Mix hgt (kft)...4.5 4.5 4.5 4.5 4.5 4.5
Transp wind dir.SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Transp wind spd.14  14  14  14  14  14
Vrate kt-ft/1K..55  55  55  55  55  55
Ventrate Cat....FR  FR  FR  FR  FR  FR
1700FT Mix T(F).60  60  60  60  60  60

.MONDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 50.
Max humidity........89 percent.
Dewpoint............46.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 6 to 8 mph.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 10 to 14 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (55081 knot-ft) early in the evening
                    decreasing to poor (4590 knot-ft) late in the
                    night.
Stability class.....MISSING.
1700FT Avg MIX T(F).MISSING.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........10  11  11  11  11  11  11  28  28  28  28  28
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............64  63  61  59  57  55  54  53  52  52  52  51
Dewpoint........46  47  47  47  47  47  46  46  46  47  47  47
RH..............52  56  60  64  69  74  74  77  80  83  83  86
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..8   8   7   7   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6
20 FT wind gust.12  12  11  10  10  10  10  10  8   8   7   7
Mix hgt (kft)...4.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5
Transp wind dir.SW  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.14  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
Vrate kt-ft/1K..55  5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
Ventrate Cat....FR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR
1700FT Mix T(F).60  60  60  60  60  60  60  60  60  60  60  60

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 70.
Min humidity........55 percent.
Dewpoint............49 increasing to 52 late in the afternoon.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds around 6 mph shifting to the
                    south 6 to 7 mph late in the morning, then
                    shifting to the southwest 8 to 9 mph in the
                    afternoon shifting to the south around 8 mph
                    late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......2700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 10 mph shifting to the northwest
                    around 12 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (4590 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to fair (28196 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
Stability class.....MISSING.
1700FT Avg MIX T(F).MISSING.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........28  45  45  45  45  45  45  42  42  42  42  42
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............50  50  52  55  58  61  64  66  68  69  70  70
Dewpoint........47  47  48  49  50  50  51  51  52  52  53  53
RH..............89  89  86  80  75  67  63  58  57  55  55  55
20 FT wind dir..SE  E   SE  S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..6   6   6   6   6   7   8   9   9   9   8   8
20 FT wind gust.7   7   8   8   10  10  12  13  13  12  12  11
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.7
Transp wind dir.S   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
Transp wind spd.10  12  12  12  12  12  12  12  12  12  12  12
Vrate kt-ft/1K..5   28  28  28  28  28  28  28  28  28  28  28
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR
1700FT Mix T(F).60  60  60  60  60  60  60  60  60  60  60  60

$$
Forecaster...M.BOWLAN
Requested by...Jerald McBride
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2411210.0/TSA
.DELDT 04/17/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL Jerald.McBride@agriculture.arkansas.gov
National Weather Service Weather Forecast Office
