Area Forecast Discussion
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FXUS64 KEPZ 041033
AFDEPZ

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service El Paso TX/Santa Teresa NM
333 AM MST Sun Dec 4 2016

.SYNOPSIS...
High pressure followed by westerly winds will bring mostly dry
weather with milder temperatures to southern New Mexico and west
Texas today through Wednesday. A cold front will result in cooler
but still dry weather on Thursday. Westerly winds will return and
produce warmer mostly sunny weather next weekend.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Upper low which brought rain and mountain snows on Saturday will
be moving eastward across north central and northeastern Mexico
today. As this system passes to our southeast it will pull
sufficient moisture into eastern Hudspeth County to produce a few
showers today and this evening. In addition combination of light
winds...wet ground and high humidity will cause fog to develop
over some locations early this morning. Otherwise dry continental
air from the north and northeast will flow into southern New
mexico and west Texas today resulting in clearing skies and milder
temperatures. Westerly winds will then bring dry weather and near
normal temperatures Tuesday and Wednesday.

Short wave trough axis will move across the cwa Tuesday evening
and will have little effect except for some increase in clouds.
However as trough moves into the plains an associated cold front
will move southward on Wednesday and subsequently push westward
through New Mexico/west Texas Wednesday evening. The easterly flow
behind the front will push cooler but dry air into the region
causing Thursday high temperatures to fall around 10 degrees.

Zonal flow and attendant westerly winds will sustain dry weather
and bring milder temperatures next weekend.

&&

.AVIATION...valid 04/12z-05/12z.
A few areas of mvfr or ifr ceilings and visibility from fog
through 15z otherwise mostly vfr conditions except for a few areas
of mvfr ceilings and visibility in rain showers over eastern
Hudspeth County. Surface winds generally less 10 kt.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
High pressure followed by westerly winds will bring mostly dry
weather with milder temperatures to southern New Mexico and west
Texas today through Wednesday. Possibly breezy Wednesday with
winds gusting around 25 mph. A cold front will result in cooler
but still dry weather on Thursday. Westerly winds will return and
produce warmer mostly sunny weather next weekend.


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
El Paso                 55  34  61  40 /   0   0   0   0
Sierra Blanca           50  34  57  38 /  20  10  20   0
Las Cruces              54  31  59  36 /   0   0   0   0
Alamogordo              56  30  57  36 /   0   0   0   0
Cloudcroft              39  23  42  26 /   0   0   0   0
Truth or Consequences   55  29  58  34 /   0   0   0   0
Silver City             46  26  52  31 /   0   0   0   0
Deming                  56  28  60  33 /   0   0   0   0
Lordsburg               56  29  61  33 /   0   0   0   0
West El Paso Metro      55  36  60  41 /   0   0   0   0
Dell City               53  31  61  34 /   0   0   0   0
Fort Hancock            55  35  62  39 /  10   0   0   0
Loma Linda              48  33  55  38 /   0   0   0   0
Fabens                  55  32  61  38 /   0   0   0   0
Santa Teresa            54  33  60  39 /   0   0   0   0
White Sands HQ          55  34  59  39 /   0   0   0   0
Jornada Range           56  28  59  32 /   0   0   0   0
Hatch                   55  30  59  35 /   0   0   0   0
Columbus                56  32  62  37 /   0   0   0   0
Orogrande               55  32  58  37 /   0   0   0   0
Mayhill                 43  23  51  28 /   0   0   0   0
Mescalero               44  24  49  28 /   0   0   0   0
Timberon                43  25  48  28 /   0   0   0   0
Winston                 45  20  54  24 /   0   0   0   0
Hillsboro               47  25  58  30 /   0   0   0   0
Spaceport               54  29  57  33 /   0   0   0   0
Lake Roberts            49  16  53  22 /   0   0   0   0
Hurley                  50  25  55  30 /   0   0   0   0
Cliff                   52  22  59  27 /   0   0   0   0
Mule Creek              53  22  57  25 /   0   0   0   0
Faywood                 52  26  56  31 /   0   0   0   0
Animas                  57  27  64  33 /   0   0   0   0
Hachita                 56  27  63  32 /   0   0   0   0
Antelope Wells          54  27  61  32 /   0   0   0   0
Cloverdale              50  29  59  35 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.EPZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

05 Rogash


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