Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS

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000
FNAK51 PAFC 231452
FWFAER

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
652 AM AKDT SAT MAY 23 2015

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM AKDT THIS
EVENING FOR STRONG WIND AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR THE COPPER RIVER
BASIN...

.DISCUSSION...
THE APPROACHING WEAK FRONT OVER THE GULF WILL PUSH THE EXISTING
RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE AT THE SURFACE AGAINST THE COASTAL
MOUNTAINS TODAY. THIS WILL RESULT IN AN ENHANCEMENT OF SOUTHERLY
WINDS ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE COPPER BASIN. THESE WINDS WILL BE
STRONGER THAN PREVIOUS DAYS...LIKELY EXCEEDING 30 MPH...AND
WHEN COMBINED WITH ANOTHER DAY OF SUNSHINE AND EXTREMELY DRY
CONDITIONS THE RESULT WILL LIKELY BE AN EVEN MORE EXTREME RED
FLAG CONDITION DAY TODAY WHEN COMPARED TO PREVIOUS DAYS. THE GOOD
NEWS IS THAT CLOUDS AND EVEN A LITTLE RAIN WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA
FROM THE SOUTHWEST TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...KEEPING RELATIVE HUMIDITY
VALUES ABOVE CRITICAL VALUES. AT THE SAME TIME...A WEAK UPPER LEVEL
DISTURBANCE MOVING IN FROM CANADA WILL BRING INCREASED INSTABILITY
TO THE NORTHERN AND EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE COPPER BASIN TODAY...WHERE
A SLIGHT CHANCE OF A THUNDERSTORM OR TWO CANNOT BE RULED OUT LATE
TODAY INTO THIS EVENING. MEANWHILE...THE REMAINDER OF SOUTHCENTRAL WILL
SEE CLOUDY AND MOIST CONDITIONS DEVELOPING DURING THE DAY TODAY
AND CONTINUE THROUGH SUNDAY.

AKZ101-240415-
ANCHORAGE-
INCLUDING...ANCHORAGE...EAGLE RIVER...INDIAN...EKLUTNA
652 AM AKDT SAT MAY 23 2015

.ABOVE 1500 FT...
                   TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN

CLOUD COVER        MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE        RAIN         RAIN         SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP      70           70           30
TEMP (24H TREND)   49 (-21)     40 (-2)      49
RH % (24H TREND)   34-50 (+20)  95 (+18)     49-64
20FTWND(MPH)       SE 13-32     SE 11-28     SE 4-11
CWR                20           50           10
LAL                1            1            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.BELOW 1500 FT...
                   TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN

CLOUD COVER        MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE        RAIN         RAIN         SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP      70           70           30
TEMP (24H TREND)   58 (-13)     47 (+1)      59
RH % (24H TREND)   44-62 (+18)  85-91 (+9)   48-62
20FTWND(MPH)       SE 5-22      S 1-19       NW 1-8
CWR                20           50           10
LAL                1            1            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. LIGHT WINDS.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. LIGHT WINDS.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
50S. LIGHT WINDS.

$$

AKZ111-240415-
MATANUSKA VALLEY-
INCLUDING...PALMER...WASILLA...SUTTON...CHICKALOON
652 AM AKDT SAT MAY 23 2015

.ABOVE 1500 FT...
                   TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN

CLOUD COVER        MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE        RAIN         RAIN         RAIN
CHANCE PRECIP      40           80           60
TEMP (24H TREND)   48-56 (-17)  41 (0)       46-55
RH % (24H TREND)   31-44 (+13)  85-93 (+22)  45-60
20FTWND(MPH)       SE 3-9       S 4-8        LGT/VAR
CWR                20           60           20
LAL                1            1            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.BELOW 1500 FT...
                   TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN

CLOUD COVER        MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE        RAIN         RAIN         RAIN
CHANCE PRECIP      70           70           50
TEMP (24H TREND)   62 (-12)     47 (+2)      60
RH % (24H TREND)   34-54 (+15)  81-90 (+8)   41-59
20FTWND(MPH)       S 1-10       S 2-9        LGT/VAR
CWR                20           50           20
LAL                1            1            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. LIGHT WINDS.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

AKZ121-240415-
WESTERN KENAI PENINSULA-
INCLUDING...KENAI...SOLDOTNA...HOMER...COOPER LANDING
652 AM AKDT SAT MAY 23 2015

.INLAND AREAS...
                   TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN

CLOUD COVER        CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE        RAIN         SHOWERS      SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP      90           70           20
TEMP (24H TREND)   49-56 (-14)  44 (-3)      52-59
RH % (24H TREND)   45-59 (+19)  91 (+7)      41-53
20FTWND(MPH)       SE 2-7       S 2-6        LGT/VAR
CWR                80           30           0
LAL                1            1            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.COASTAL AREAS...
                   TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN

CLOUD COVER        CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE        RAIN         SHOWERS      NONE
CHANCE PRECIP      100          60           0
TEMP (24H TREND)   49-55 (-7)   43 (-3)      51-57
RH % (24H TREND)   59-71 (+10)  92 (+4)      50-62
20FTWND(MPH)       NW 2-8       SW 3-8       W 1-6
CWR                90           20           0
LAL                1            1            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS
IN THE LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

AKZ125-240415-
WESTERN PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
INCLUDING...WHITTIER...SEWARD...GIRDWOOD...MOOSE PASS
652 AM AKDT SAT MAY 23 2015

.INLAND AREAS...
                   TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN

CLOUD COVER        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE        RAIN         RAIN         RAIN
CHANCE PRECIP      100          80           50
TEMP (24H TREND)   43-53 (-16)  40 (-1)      44-55
RH % (24H TREND)   53-69 (+29)  94-100 (+8)  41-68
20FTWND(MPH)       E 7-11       E 5-9        SE 2-5
CWR                90           60           30
LAL                1            1            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.COASTAL AREAS...
                   TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN

CLOUD COVER        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE        RAIN         SHOWERS      RAIN
CHANCE PRECIP      100          90           80
TEMP (24H TREND)   49 (-9)      42 (-1)      45-52
RH % (24H TREND)   67-83 (+19)  100 (+5)     43-80
20FTWND(MPH)       E 3-9        E 5-8        SE 2-6
CWR                100          70           60
LAL                1            1            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

AKZ141-240415-
COPPER RIVER BASIN-
INCLUDING...GLENNALLEN...EUREKA...MCCARTHY...PAXSON...SLANA
652 AM AKDT SAT MAY 23 2015

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM AKDT THIS
EVENING FOR STRONG WIND AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR THE COPPER RIVER
BASIN...

                   TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN

CLOUD COVER        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE        TSTMS        TSTMS        RAIN
CHANCE PRECIP      20           30           60
TEMP (24H TREND)   66-77 (-5)   46 (+2)      57-65
RH % (24H TREND)   14-22 (+4)   69-80 (+6)   28-44
20FTWND(MPH)       S 5-17 G35   S 6-16 G35   S 3-8
CWR                0            10           30
LAL                2            2            1

REMARKS...STRONGEST GUSTS ALONG THE COPPER RIVER THIS AFTERNOON
AND EVENING. THERE IS ALSO A SLIGHT CHANCE OF A DRY THUNDERSTORM
NORTH AND EAST OF GLENNALLEN THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUING THROUGH
TONIGHT.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS AROUND 60. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

AKZ145-240415-
SUSITNA VALLEY-
INCLUDING...TALKEETNA...WILLOW...CANTWELL
652 AM AKDT SAT MAY 23 2015

.ABOVE 1500 FT...
                   TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN

CLOUD COVER        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE        RAIN         RAIN         SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP      70           70           70
TEMP (24H TREND)   54-68 (-5)   43 (0)       50-56
RH % (24H TREND)   14-45 (+12)  89-96 (+16)  39-64
20FTWND(MPH)       S 3-9        SW 4-10      SW 4-7
CWR                20           50           30
LAL                1            1            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.BELOW 1500 FT...
                   TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN

CLOUD COVER        MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE        RAIN         RAIN         SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP      80           70           60
TEMP (24H TREND)   55-61 (-13)  47 (-1)      60
RH % (24H TREND)   30-64 (+28)  93 (+8)      47-63
20FTWND(MPH)       SW 2-6       S 4-7        S 3-5
CWR                30           50           10
LAL                1            1            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS
IN THE MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS
IN THE MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$


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