Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI

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FNUS53 KAPX 191845
FWFAPX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
245 PM EDT Tue Sep 19 2017

...Hot and humid weather on the way...

Discussion...High pressure over the Southeast U.S. will pump
increasingly hot and humid air into northern Michigan over the
next several days. Daytime RH levels will range through the 50 and
60 percent levels as temperatures rise into the 80s by Friday.
There will be a few chances of showers and thunderstorms, mainly
Wednesday night, Thursday and Friday.

MIZ016-017-019-021>023-200900-
Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency
Counties-
245 PM EDT Tue Sep 19 2017

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent) until 2400, then
                    mostly cloudy (50-60 percent). Patchy fog.
Min Temperature.....56-61.
   24 HR Trend......14 degrees warmer...except 6 degrees warmer
                    near the coast.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent.
   24 HR Trend......3 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......East winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 16 mph.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (60).
Mixing Height.......700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (45-55 percent). Patchy fog until
                    1200.
Max Temperature.....78-83.
   24 HR Trend......8 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........58-63 percent.
   24 HR Trend......4 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph .
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (640).
Mixing Height.......3500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 9 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent) until 2400, then
                    mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Chance of
                    showers after 2400.
Min Temperature.....62-67.
   24 HR Trend......7 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent.
   24 HR Trend......1 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (60).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........0.02-0.27 in.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent).
Max Temperature.....79-84...except 69-74 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
Min Humidity........64-69 percent...except 74-79 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......7 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Fair (150).
Mixing Height.......2600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........0.01-0.17 in.


$$

MIZ018-024-030-036-042-200900-
Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac
Counties...including Eastern Huron NF-
245 PM EDT Tue Sep 19 2017

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (50-60 percent). Patchy fog.
                    Slight chance of rain showers after 2400.
Min Temperature.....56-61...except 63-68 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......15 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
20-Foot Winds.......East winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (80).
Mixing Height.......800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.03 in.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent) until 1200, then
                    mostly sunny (45-55 percent). Patchy fog until
                    1200.
Max Temperature.....77-82...except around 70 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......8 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........61-66 percent...except 81-86 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......3 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph .
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Good (450).
Mixing Height.......2900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent) until 2400, then
                    mostly cloudy (50-60 percent). Chance of
                    showers after 2400.
Min Temperature.....61-66.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 16 mph.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (60).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........0.01-0.36 in.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (65-75 percent).
Max Temperature.....79-84...except 70-75 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........63-68 percent...except 76-81 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......2 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Fair (210).
Mixing Height.......2500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........0.01-0.26 in.


$$

MIZ020-025>027-200900-
Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska
Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL-
245 PM EDT Tue Sep 19 2017

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Patchy fog after
                    2400.
Min Temperature.....57-62.
   24 HR Trend......12 degrees warmer...except 7 degrees warmer
                    near the coast.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent...except 85-90 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......4 percent wetter...except 10 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 16 mph.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (50).
Mixing Height.......600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent). Patchy fog until
                    1200.
Max Temperature.....80-85...except 67-72 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......6 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........56-61 percent...except 76-81 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......13 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph .
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Good (500).
Mixing Height.......2900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 9 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent) until 2400, then
                    mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of
                    showers.
Min Temperature.....63-68.
   24 HR Trend......6 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent.
   24 HR Trend......2 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (60).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........0.01-0.21 in.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Chance of showers
                    until 1200.
Max Temperature.....79-84...except around 70 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged...except 5 degrees cooler near the
                    coast.
Min Humidity........61-66 percent...except 81-86 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......8 percent wetter...except 14 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph shifting to the
                    southwest in the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Fair (140).
Mixing Height.......2300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 3 to 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.07 in.


$$

MIZ031>033-200900-
Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the
northern quarter of Manistee NF-
245 PM EDT Tue Sep 19 2017

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent) until 2400, then
                    mostly cloudy (45-55 percent). Patchy fog after
                    2400.
Min Temperature.....56-61.
   24 HR Trend......11 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 HR Trend......2 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (60).
Mixing Height.......700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (45-55 percent). Patchy fog until
                    1200.
Max Temperature.....79-84.
   24 HR Trend......6 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........52-57 percent...except 62-67 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......7 percent wetter...except 15 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph .
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Good (480).
Mixing Height.......3000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 9 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent) until 2400, then
                    mostly cloudy (55-65 percent). Chance of
                    showers.
Min Temperature.....62-67.
   24 HR Trend......6 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent.
   24 HR Trend......1 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (50).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........0.01-0.11 in.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Chance of showers
                    until 1200.
Max Temperature.....79-84...except 72-77 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer...except 3 degrees cooler near
                    the coast.
Min Humidity........60-65 percent...except 69-74 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......8 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Good (300).
Mixing Height.......3200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.07 in.


$$

MIZ028-029-034-035-041-200900-
Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin
Counties...including Western Huron NF-
245 PM EDT Tue Sep 19 2017

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent). Patchy fog.
                    Slight chance of rain showers after 2400.
Min Temperature.....56-61.
   24 HR Trend......15 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
20-Foot Winds.......East winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (70).
Mixing Height.......700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.03 in.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent) until 1200, then
                    mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Patchy fog until
                    1200. Slight chance of rain showers until 1200.
Max Temperature.....77-82.
   24 HR Trend......7 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........58-63 percent.
   24 HR Trend......3 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph .
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (610).
Mixing Height.......3900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 6 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent) until 2400, then
                    mostly cloudy (50-60 percent). Chance of
                    showers after 2400.
Min Temperature.....60-65.
   24 HR Trend......5 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (50).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.19 in.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (65-75 percent). Chance of
                    showers.
Max Temperature.....80-85.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........60-65 percent.
   24 HR Trend......4 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Good (320).
Mixing Height.......3300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........0.01-0.18 in.


$$

.EXTENDED...

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID
80S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID
80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

KF



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