Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI

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FNUS53 KAPX 310950
FWFAPX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
550 AM EDT FRI OCT 31 2014

...VERY GUSTY NORTHERLY WINDS...

.DISCUSSION...A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL USHER IN AN EARLY TASTE OF WINTER WEATHER
TODAY...WITH AREAS OF SNOW SHOWERS...GUSTY WINDS...AND TEMPERATURES
THAT WILL BE SEVERAL DEGREES BELOW NORMAL. OTHER THAN A FEW
LINGERING FLURRIES TONIGHT AND EARLY SATURDAY NEAR THE GREAT
LAKES...DRY AND CHILLY WEATHER IS EXPECTED THIS WEEKEND.
TEMPERATURES WILL MODERATE HEADING INTO NEXT WEEK...WITH ADDITIONAL
RAIN CHANCES RETURNING MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY.


MIZ016-017-019-021>023-312015-
EMMET...CHEBOYGAN...CHARLEVOIX...ANTRIM...OTSEGO AND MONTMORENCY
COUNTIES-
550 AM EDT FRI OCT 31 2014

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). RAIN AND SNOW
                    UNTIL 1400...THEN CHANCE OF SNOW.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....32-37.
   24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........65-70 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 13 PERCENT DRIER ALONG
                    THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS AROUND 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........MISSING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 33 TO 36 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.06-0.18 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) UNTIL 2400...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SNOW
                    UNTIL 2000.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....23-28...EXCEPT AROUND 31 NEAR THE COAST.
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........81-86 PERCENT...EXCEPT 67-72 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......18 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........MISSING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 24 TO 33 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.01 IN.

.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....34-39.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........51-56 PERCENT...EXCEPT 61-66 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......17 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 10 PERCENT DRIER
                    ALONG THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........MISSING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 12 TO 18 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ018-024-030-036-042-312015-
PRESQUE ISLE...ALPENA...ALCONA...IOSCO AND ARENAC
COUNTIES...INCLUDING EASTERN HURON NF-
550 AM EDT FRI OCT 31 2014

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). RAIN UNTIL 1400. SNOW
                    AFTER 0700.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....35-40.
   24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........70-75 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........MISSING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 27 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 39 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.09-0.21 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). SNOW UNTIL
                    2000...THEN CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS UNTIL
                    0200...THEN SCATTERED FLURRIES.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....26-31.
   24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........82-87 PERCENT...EXCEPT 73-78 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......17 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS AROUND 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........MISSING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 30 TO 36 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.02 IN.

.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). SCATTERED
                    FLURRIES UNTIL 1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....36-41.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........49-54 PERCENT...EXCEPT 61-66 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......21 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........MISSING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 18 TO 24 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ020-025>027-312015-
LEELANAU...BENZIE...GRAND TRAVERSE AND KALKASKA
COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE SLEEPING BEAR DUNES NL-
550 AM EDT FRI OCT 31 2014

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). RAIN UNTIL 1400.
                    SNOW AFTER 0700 UNTIL 1400...THEN CHANCE OF
                    SNOW.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....34-39.
   24 HR TREND......10 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........67-72 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........MISSING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 36 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.08-0.17 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT) UNTIL 2400...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SNOW
                    UNTIL 2000...THEN CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS UNTIL
                    0200. SCATTERED FLURRIES AFTER 0200.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....26-31...EXCEPT 34-39 NEAR THE COAST.
   24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES COOLER...EXCEPT 3 DEGREES COOLER NEAR
                    THE COAST.
MAX HUMIDITY........80-85 PERCENT...EXCEPT 67-72 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......18 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........MISSING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 27 TO 33 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT). SCATTERED
                    FLURRIES UNTIL 1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....35-40.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........50-55 PERCENT...EXCEPT 59-64 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......18 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 12 PERCENT DRIER
                    ALONG THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........MISSING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 12 TO 21 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ031>033-312015-
MANISTEE...WEXFORD AND MISSAUKEE COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE
NORTHERN QUARTER OF MANISTEE NF-
550 AM EDT FRI OCT 31 2014

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). RAIN UNTIL 1000. SNOW
                    AFTER 0700 UNTIL 1400...THEN CHANCE OF SNOW.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....33-38.
   24 HR TREND......10 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........67-72 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS AROUND 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........MISSING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 36 TO 39 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.08-0.17 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT) UNTIL 2400...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SNOW
                    UNTIL 2000...THEN CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS UNTIL
                    0200. SCATTERED FLURRIES AFTER 0200.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....25-30...EXCEPT 32-37 NEAR THE COAST.
   24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........83-88 PERCENT...EXCEPT 70-75 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......13 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........MISSING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 27 TO 36 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT). SCATTERED
                    FLURRIES UNTIL 1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....36-41.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........49-54 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......17 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........MISSING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 15 TO 21 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ028-029-034-035-041-312015-
CRAWFORD...OSCODA...ROSCOMMON...OGEMAW AND GLADWIN
COUNTIES...INCLUDING WESTERN HURON NF-
550 AM EDT FRI OCT 31 2014

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). RAIN UNTIL 1000. SNOW
                    AFTER 0700 UNTIL 1400...THEN CHANCE OF SNOW.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....34-39.
   24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........70-75 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........MISSING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 24 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 39 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.07-0.15 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SNOW
                    UNTIL 2000.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....23-28.
   24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........84-89 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......15 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........MISSING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 27 TO 36 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.01 IN.

.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....35-40.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........48-53 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......22 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........MISSING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 15 TO 21 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

.EXTENDED...

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
40S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40.
HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

TL



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