Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Detroit/Pontiac, MI

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FNUS53 KDTX 281939
FWFDTX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
339 PM EDT THU APR 28 2016

.DISCUSSION...LOW PRESSURE TRACKING SLOWLY ACROSS THE OHIO VALLEY
TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY WILL HAVE LINGERING INFLUENCE OF SHOWERS OVER
SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN. THE SHOWER ACTIVITY WILL KEEP MINIMUM RH VALUES
ABOVE 50 PERCENT WITH ONLY MINOR LOWERING OF RH VALUES...INTO THE
UPPER 40S...OVER INTERIOR LOCATIONS BY SATURDAY. ANOTHER LOW TRACKS
INTO THE OHIO VALLEY SUNDAY TO BRING A REPEAT PERFORMANCE OF
INCREASED RAIN ACTIVITY.

MIZ047-048-053-060-061-291415-
MIDLAND-BAY-SAGINAW-SHIAWASSEE-GENESEE-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...MIDLAND-BAY CITY-SAGINAW-OWOSSO-FLINT
339 PM EDT THU APR 28 2016

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). SCATTERED RAIN
                    SHOWERS. POP...40 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....35-40.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........81-86 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......25 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......760-960 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 15 TO 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (70).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.05 IN.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SCATTERED RAIN
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 3 PM...THEN ISOLATED RAIN
                    SHOWERS. POP...50 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....47-52.
   24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........42-52 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3630-4130 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (660).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.06-0.10 IN.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (35-45 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....34-39.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........79-84 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......120-320 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF RAIN SHOWERS AFTER 6 PM. POP...30 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....53-58.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........43-51 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST 5 TO 10 MPH...BECOMING NORTHEAST AROUND 15
                    MPH LATE.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5550-6050 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 10 TO 15 MPH...INCREASING TO AROUND 20 MPH
                    LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (810).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.05 IN.


$$

MIZ049-054-055-062-291415-
HURON-TUSCOLA-SANILAC-LAPEER-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...BAD AXE-CARO-SANDUSKY-LAPEER
339 PM EDT THU APR 28 2016

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). SCATTERED RAIN
                    SHOWERS. POP...30 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....34-39.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........80-86 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......9 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......840-1040 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 20 MPH...BECOMING EAST 10 TO
                    15 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (10).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.05 IN.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SCATTERED RAIN
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 3 PM...THEN ISOLATED RAIN
                    SHOWERS. POP...50 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....45-50.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........46-56 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3710-4210 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`GOOD` (540).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.06-0.10 IN.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (35-45 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....32-37.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........86 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......480-680 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF RAIN SHOWERS AFTER 6 PM. POP...20 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....51-56.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........47-57 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST 5 TO 10 MPH...BECOMING NORTHEAST AROUND 15
                    MPH LATE.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5360-5860 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 15 TO 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (700).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.05 IN.


$$

MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-291415-
ST CLAIR-LIVINGSTON-OAKLAND-MACOMB-WASHTENAW-WAYNE-LENAWEE-MONROE-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...
PORT HURON-HOWELL-PONTIAC-WARREN-ANN ARBOR-DETROIT-ADRIAN-MONROE
339 PM EDT THU APR 28 2016

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). SCATTERED RAIN
                    SHOWERS. POP...40 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 40.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........80-90 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......16 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH...DIMINISHING TO AROUND
                    5 MPH LATE.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......990-1190 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 15 TO 20 MPH...BECOMING EAST AROUND
                    10 MPH LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (70).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.05 IN.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). SCATTERED RAIN
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 4 PM...THEN ISOLATED RAIN
                    SHOWERS. POP...50 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....49-54.
   24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........48-58 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2990-3490 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`GOOD` (450).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.06-0.10 IN.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....34-39.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........82-89 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400-600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS AFTER 6 PM. POP...50 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....55-60.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........47-57 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4610-5110 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (670).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN.


$$


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 15 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS
IN THE UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S.

$$

SF



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