Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Detroit/Pontiac, MI

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FNUS53 KDTX 020748
FWFDTX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
345 AM EDT THU OCT 2 2014

.DISCUSSION...WARMER TEMPERATURES WILL PERSIST TODAY IN ADVANCE OF A
COLD FRONT. WIDESPREAD SHOWERS WILL MOVE ACROSS THE REGION TONIGHT
THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT. TURNING COLDER AND REMAINING UNSETTLED WITH
SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS OVER THE WEEKEND.

MIZ047-048-053-060-061-022100-
MIDLAND-BAY-SAGINAW-SHIAWASSEE-GENESEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MIDLAND-BAY CITY-SAGINAW-OWOSSO-FLINT
345 AM EDT THU OCT 2 2014

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT) UNTIL 6 AM...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). AREAS OF FOG
                    UNTIL 10 AM. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    AFTER 9 AM UNTIL 11 AM...THEN CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS. POP...50 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....66-71.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........52-62 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1090-1590 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`FAIR` (260).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS
                    UNTIL 1 AM...THEN SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS. POP...80 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....61-66.
   24 HR TREND......12 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........89-97 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......520-720 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 15 TO 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (20).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.51-0.75 IN.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 9 AM. SHOWERS.
                    SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 9 AM UNTIL 5 PM.
                    POP...100 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....65-70.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........68-76 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......14 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 15 TO 20 MPH...BECOMING WEST AROUND 10
                    MPH LATE.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3060-3560 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 25 MPH...BECOMING WEST LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (820).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.51-0.75 IN.


$$

MIZ049-054-055-062-022100-
HURON-TUSCOLA-SANILAC-LAPEER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BAD AXE-CARO-SANDUSKY-LAPEER
345 AM EDT THU OCT 2 2014

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT) UNTIL 10 AM...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). AREAS OF FOG
                    UNTIL 10 AM. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    AFTER 11 AM UNTIL 1 PM...THEN CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS. POP...30 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....66-71.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........54-64 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1530-2030 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH...INCREASING TO AROUND 20
                    MPH LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`GOOD` (360).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.05 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS
                    UNTIL 6 AM...THEN SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS. POP...70 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....61-66.
   24 HR TREND......13 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........87-97 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......420-620 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 15 TO 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (20).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). SHOWERS LIKELY AND A
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL
                    9 AM...THEN SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 5 PM.
                    OCCASIONAL SHOWERS AFTER 9 AM. POP...100
                    PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....66-71.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........69-79 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......16 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 15 TO 20 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHWEST LATE.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3190-3690 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 25 TO 30 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHWEST LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1170).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.51-0.75 IN.


$$

MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-022100-
ST CLAIR-LIVINGSTON-OAKLAND-MACOMB-WASHTENAW-WAYNE-LENAWEE-MONROE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...
PORT HURON-HOWELL-PONTIAC-WARREN-ANN ARBOR-DETROIT-ADRIAN-MONROE
345 AM EDT THU OCT 2 2014

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT) UNTIL 8 AM...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). AREAS OF FOG
                    UNTIL 10 AM. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    AFTER 10 AM UNTIL NOON...THEN CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS. POP...50 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....69-74.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........46-56 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1250-1750 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`GOOD` (360).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.05 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS
                    UNTIL 2 AM...THEN SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS. POP...70 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....61-66.
   24 HR TREND......12 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........89-99 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......600-800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (10).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.26-0.50 IN.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). SHOWERS
                    LIKELY AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS
                    UNTIL 9 AM...THEN SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL
                    5 PM. OCCASIONAL SHOWERS AFTER 9 AM.
                    POP...100 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....66-71.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MIN HUMIDITY........65-75 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......15 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 15 TO 20 MPH...BECOMING WEST AROUND 10
                    MPH LATE.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3530-4030 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 20 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHWEST
                    AROUND 30 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON...THEN...BECOMING WEST LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1300).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.51-0.75 IN.


$$


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SATURDAY...OCCASIONAL SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS AROUND
50. WEST WINDS AROUND 15 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS
IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S.

$$

SF






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