Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, MO

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FNUS53 KEAX 202203
FWFEAX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast For NE Kansas/NW Missouri
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
403 PM CST Mon Feb 20 2017

.DISCUSSION...

Fire concerns will be the primary weather issues for Tuesday and
Wednesday as dry air moves in and temperatures warm well above
normal. Afternoon highs will range through the 70s both Tuesday and
Wednesday as a surface ridge slides in behind today`s trough. Mixing
under the ridge will be extensive, and given the dry air seen in
soundings just off the ground, thoughts are that boundary layer
mixing will allow humidity values to bottom out in the 20% range
both Tuesday and Wednesday, with some areas in far northwest
Missouri likely to see humidity values drop into the teens. These
humidity values are well within criteria for critical fire weather
conditions. However, surface winds will not be overly strong Tuesday
thanks to the surface ridge; but that could be different for
Wednesday when the surface ridge slides east allowing a tighter
pressure gradient to prevail, thus stronger winds. Currently,
Wednesday is looking like the worst fire weather day of the week
thus far.


KSZ025-102-MOZ001>005-011>014-020>022-211145-
Atchison KS-Doniphan-Atchison MO-Nodaway-Worth-Gentry-Harrison-
Holt-Andrew-De Kalb-Daviess-Buchanan-Clinton-Caldwell-
Including the cities of Atchison, Wathena, Elwood, Troy,
Highland, Tarkio, Rockport, Fairfax, Maryville, Grant City,
Albany, Stanberry, King City, Bethany, Mound City, Oregon,
Maitland, Forest City, Craig, Savannah, Country Club Villa,
Maysville, Stewartsville, Osborn, Union Star, Clarksdale,
Gallatin, Jamesport, St. Joseph Airport, St. Joseph, Cameron,
Plattsburg, Lathrop, Hamilton, Braymer, Polo, and Breckenridge
403 PM CST Mon Feb 20 2017

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud Cover           MClear       Clear        MClear       MClear
Precip Type           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0            0
Max/Min Temp          39           73           43           76
Min/Max RH %          100          24           86           19
20FT Wnd-AM(MPH)                   Lgt/Var                   SW 7-11 G20
20FT Wnd-PM(MPH)      W 4-8        SW 5-9       SW 4-8       SW 10-14 G22
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Mixing Hgt(FT-AGL)                 2990                      3948
Transport Wnd (MPH)                W  9                      SW 35
Vent Rate (KT-FT)                  23920                     118440
Vent Rate (M/S-M)                  3644                      18045
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Haines Index          5            5            6            6
Stability             Stbl         Stbl         Stbl         Stbl

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Northwest
winds 5 to 10 mph shifting to the northeast after midnight.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of rain
showers. Highs around 60. East winds 5 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Rain showers likely. Lows in the upper 30s.
Northeast winds 5 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of rain showers.
Colder. Highs in the mid 40s. Northwest winds 10 to 20 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of snow
showers and rain showers. Colder. Lows in the mid 20s. Northwest
winds 10 to 20 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 20s. Highs in the
upper 30s. East winds 5 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance
of snow showers and rain showers. Lows in the mid 20s. Highs in
the lower 40s. North winds 5 to 15 mph.

$$

MOZ006>008-015>017-023>025-211145-
Mercer-Putnam-Schuyler-Grundy-Sullivan-Adair-Livingston-Linn MO-
Macon-
Including the cities of Princeton, Mercer, Unionville, Lancaster,
Queen City, Greentop, Downing, Glenwood, Trenton, Milan,
Green City, Kirksville, Chillicothe, Brookfield, Marceline,
Macon, and La Plata
403 PM CST Mon Feb 20 2017

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud Cover           PCldy        Clear        MClear       MClear
Precip Type           showers      NONE         NONE         NONE
Chance Precip (%)     30           0            0            0
Max/Min Temp          42           70           43           75
Min/Max RH %          100          28           86           25
20FT Wnd-AM(MPH)                   NW 3-7                    SW 7-11 G20
20FT Wnd-PM(MPH)      SW 4-8       W 3-7        SW 3-7       SW 10-14 G24
Precip Amount         0.01         0.00         0.00         0.00
Mixing Hgt(FT-AGL)                 3171                      3781
Transport Wnd (MPH)                NW  9                     SW 30
Vent Rate (KT-FT)                  25368                     98306
Vent Rate (M/S-M)                  3868                      14976
LAL                   2            1            1            1
Haines Index          5            5            5            5
Stability             Slt Unstbl   Stbl         Stbl         Stbl

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. West
winds 5 to 10 mph shifting to the north after midnight.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of rain
showers. Highs in the lower 60s. East winds 5 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Rain showers likely and chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 40s. Southeast winds 5 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with chance of rain showers. Highs in the
lower 50s. West winds 10 to 20 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of snow
showers and rain showers. Colder. Lows in the mid 20s. Northwest
winds 10 to 20 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Colder. Lows in the mid 20s. Highs in
the upper 30s. Northeast winds 5 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of rain showers
and snow showers. Highs in the lower 40s. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of snow
showers and rain showers. Lows in the upper 20s. Northeast winds
5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Rain showers and snow showers likely. Highs in the mid
40s. North winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

KSZ057-060-103>105-MOZ028>030-037-038-043-044-053-054-211145-
Miami-Linn KS-Leavenworth-Wyandotte-Johnson KS-Platte-Clay-Ray-
Jackson-Lafayette-Cass-Johnson MO-Bates-Henry-
Including the cities of Paola, Osawatomie, Louisburg, Pleasanton,
La Cygne, Mound City, Fort Leavenworth, Leavenworth, Lansing,
Kansas City Kansas, Overland Park, Stanley, Olathe, Shawnee,
Lenexa, Parkville, Platte City, Riverside, Weatherby Lake,
Weston, Gladstone, Liberty, Excelsior Springs, Richmond, Lawson,
Kansas City, Independence, Odessa, Higginsville, Lexington,
Concordia, Belton, Raymore, Harrisonville, Pleasant Hill,
Warrensburg, Butler, Adrian, Rich Hill, Clinton, and Windsor
403 PM CST Mon Feb 20 2017

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud Cover           PCldy        Clear        Clear        MClear
Precip Type           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0            0
Max/Min Temp          43           73           42           77
Min/Max RH %          100          23           89           23
20FT Wnd-AM(MPH)                   N 3-7                     SW 6-10 G21
20FT Wnd-PM(MPH)      SW 3-7       NW 3-7       Lgt/Var      SW 9-13 G24
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Mixing Hgt(FT-AGL)                 3443                      3756
Transport Wnd (MPH)                NW 12                     S 25
Vent Rate (KT-FT)                  34430                     82632
Vent Rate (M/S-M)                  5245                      12595
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Haines Index          5            5            6            5
Stability             Slt Unstbl   Vry Stbl     Stbl         Stbl

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s.
Southwest winds up to 10 mph shifting to the east after midnight.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of rain
showers. Highs in the upper 60s. East winds 5 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with chance of rain showers and
slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 40s. South winds
5 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny. Cooler. Highs in the lower 50s. West
winds 10 to 20 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Cooler. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs
44 to 51. Northwest winds 5 to 20 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s. North
winds 5 to 10 mph shifting to the east after midnight.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of rain showers
and snow showers. Highs in the upper 40s. Southeast winds 5 to
10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 50 percent chance of rain showers and
snow showers. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the upper 40s.
North winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

MOZ031>033-039-040-045-046-211145-
Carroll-Chariton-Randolph-Saline-Howard-Pettis-Cooper-
Including the cities of Carrollton, Salisbury, Brunswick,
Keytesville, Moberly, Marshall, Fayette, Glasgow, New Franklin,
Sedalia, and Boonville
403 PM CST Mon Feb 20 2017

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud Cover           PCldy        Clear        Clear        MClear
Precip Type           showers      NONE         NONE         NONE
Chance Precip (%)     30           0            0            0
Max/Min Temp          45           72           43           77
Min/Max RH %          100          27           86           22
20FT Wnd-AM(MPH)                   N 3-7                     SW 6-10 G20
20FT Wnd-PM(MPH)      SW 3-7       NW 3-7       Lgt/Var      SW 10-14 G24
Precip Amount         0.01         0.00         0.00         0.00
Mixing Hgt(FT-AGL)                 3544                      4269
Transport Wnd (MPH)                N 12                      S 24
Vent Rate (KT-FT)                  35440                     89649
Vent Rate (M/S-M)                  5400                      14311
LAL                   2            1            1            1
Haines Index          4            5            5            5
Stability             Slt Unstbl   Stbl         Stbl         Stbl

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Southwest
winds 5 to 10 mph shifting to the north after midnight.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of rain
showers. Highs in the upper 60s. East winds 5 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 40s. South winds
10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny. Cooler. Highs in the mid 50s. West winds
10 to 20 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Colder. Lows in the upper 20s.
West winds 10 to 20 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Colder. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs
in the lower 40s. East winds 5 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of rain showers
and snow showers. Highs in the mid 40s. Southeast winds 5 to
10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of rain
showers and snow showers. Lows in the lower 30s. Northeast winds
5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Rain showers and snow showers likely. Highs in the
upper 40s. North winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$



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