Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI

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FNUS53 KGRR 251902
FWFGRR

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southwest Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Grand Rapids MI
302 PM EDT Tue Jul 25 2017

...Dry for most areas Tonight...

.DISCUSSION...
Other than a few light rain showers towards Ludington the
region is forecasted to remain dry tonight.  Then as we
go into Wednesday night...the moisture will be on the increase
and that will result in an increase in the shower activity.



MIZ037>039-043>045-260830-
Mason-Lake-Osceola-Oceana-Newaygo-Mecosta-
Including the cities of Ludington, Baldwin, Reed City, Hart,
Fremont, and Big Rapids
302 PM EDT Tue Jul 25 2017

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent) until 0700, then
                    mostly cloudy (65-75 percent).
Min temperature.....58-63.
   24 hr trend......10 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......Near Lake Michigan, 1500-2000 ft AGL.
Mixing height....... inland, 3600-4100 ft AGL decreasing to 400-900
                    ft AGL overnight.
Transport winds.....South 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....100-500 (poor to good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers. slight chance of thunderstorms after
                    1400.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
Max temperature.....78-83.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........64-69 percent near Lake Michigan and 53-58
                    percent Inland.
   24 hr trend......13 percent wetter near Lake Michigan and 12
                    percent wetter Inland.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 8 to 13 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......1700-2200 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    3200-3700 ft AGL inland.
Transport winds.....South around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....400-600 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.15 in.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 66.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........99 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Light winds.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......200-700 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and 1400-1900
                    ft AGL inland.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 5 mph shifting to the east
                    overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....100-200 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........0.05-0.38 in.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
Max temperature.....77-82.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........58-63 percent near Lake Michigan and 49-54
                    percent Inland.
   24 hr trend......3 percent drier near Lake Michigan and
                    unchanged Inland.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......3600-4100 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    5400-5900 ft AGL inland.
Transport winds.....Northeast 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....600-900 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.31 in.


$$

MIZ040-046-260830-
Clare-Isabella-
Including the cities of Clare and Mount Pleasant
302 PM EDT Tue Jul 25 2017

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 59.
   24 hr trend......7 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........91-96 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......South winds 5 to 9 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......4000-4500 ft AGL decreasing to 100-600 ft AGL
                    overnight.
Transport winds.....South around 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....100-500 (poor to good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (65-75 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers. slight chance of thunderstorms after
                    1400.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 82.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........51-56 percent.
   24 hr trend......14 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 8 to 13 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......3200-3700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....400-600 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.08 in.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 65.
   24 hr trend......7 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........99 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Light winds.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......2100-2600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 mph shifting to the
                    northeast overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....100-300 (poor to good).
Pcpn Amount.........0.03-0.17 in.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 80.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........49-54 percent.
   24 hr trend......5 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 5 to 9 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......3500-4000 ft AGL increasing to 5900-6400 ft AGL
                    in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....Northeast 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....400 (good) increasing to 900 (excellent) in the
                    afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........0.02-0.14 in.


$$

MIZ050-056-064-071-260830-
Muskegon-Ottawa-Allegan-Van Buren-
Including the cities of Muskegon, Grand Haven, Jenison, Holland,
and South Haven
302 PM EDT Tue Jul 25 2017

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
Min temperature.....60-65.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3300-3800 ft AGL decreasing to 400-900 ft AGL
                    overnight.
Transport winds.....South around 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....100-400 (poor to good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent).
Max temperature.....79-84.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........53-58 percent.
   24 hr trend......12 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 6 to 11 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3500-4000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....400-500 (good to good).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.01 in.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 69.
   24 hr trend......7 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......South winds 5 to 6 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3000-3500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....200-300 (fair to good).
Pcpn Amount.........0.03-0.45 in.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
Max temperature.....77-82.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........53-58 percent.
   24 hr trend......12 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 5 to 9 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......4500-5000 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    5400-5900 ft AGL inland.
Transport winds.....East around 10 mph shifting to the northeast in
                    the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....500-800 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........0.10-0.56 in.


$$

MIZ051-052-057>059-260830-
Montcalm-Gratiot-Kent-Ionia-Clinton-
Including the cities of Greenville, Alma, Grand Rapids, Ionia,
and St. Johns
302 PM EDT Tue Jul 25 2017

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent).
Min temperature.....57-62.
   24 hr trend......8 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......South winds 5 to 9 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3900-4400 ft AGL decreasing to 0-400 ft AGL
                    overnight.
Transport winds.....South around 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....0-400 (poor to good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 84.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........49-54 percent.
   24 hr trend......12 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 8 to 13 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3600-4100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....400-600 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 68.
   24 hr trend......9 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2900-3400 ft AGL decreasing to 800-1300 ft AGL
                    overnight.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 5 mph shifting to the
                    southeast overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....100-400 (poor to good).
Pcpn Amount.........0.01-0.18 in.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 80.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........56-61 percent.
   24 hr trend......11 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......5600-6100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 5 mph shifting to the
                    northeast in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....400-600 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........0.07-0.51 in.


$$

MIZ065>067-072>074-260830-
Barry-Eaton-Ingham-Kalamazoo-Calhoun-Jackson-
Including the cities of Hastings, Charlotte, Lansing, Kalamazoo,
Battle Creek, and Jackson
302 PM EDT Tue Jul 25 2017

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent).
Min temperature.....57-62.
   24 hr trend......7 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........91-96 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......South winds 5 to 9 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3900-4400 ft AGL decreasing to 0-400 ft AGL
                    overnight.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....0-300 (poor to good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 84.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........48-53 percent.
   24 hr trend......9 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 6 to 11 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3300-3800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....400-500 (good to good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (65-75 percent) until 2100, then
                    mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 68.
   24 hr trend......10 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......South winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2700-3200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....300 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.32 in.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 80.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........60-65 percent.
   24 hr trend......16 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming northeast around 7 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......3600-4100 ft AGL increasing to 5600-6100 ft AGL
                    in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 mph shifting to the
                    northeast in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....500-800 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........0.12-0.46 in.


$$

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Chance of thunderstorms and a
slight chance of showers in the evening. Lows around 60. Northeast
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Northeast winds 7 to
12 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Northeast winds
5 to 9 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Northeast winds 5 to
10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Northeast
winds 5 to 6 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. West winds 5 to 9 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 60.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 60.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s.

$$



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