Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
000
FNUS52 KILM 051015
FWFILM

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST
FOR NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
515 AM EST THU MAR 5 2015

.DISCUSSION...
UNSEASONABLY WARM TEMPERATURES WILL ABRUPTLY END LATE THIS
AFTERNOON AS A STRONG COLD FRONT BLASTS SOUTH ACROSS THE AREA.
RAIN BEHIND THIS FRONT MAY END AS A BIT OF SLEET LATE TONIGHT
INTO FRIDAY MORNING. ARCTIC HIGH PRESSURE WILL SETTLE ACROSS
THE CAROLINAS THIS WEEKEND...FOLLOWED BY A WEAK COLD FRONT
LATE SUNDAY. LOW PRESSURE MAY DEVELOP JUST SOUTH OF THE CAROLINAS
MONDAY.

WIND PROFILE ANALYSIS/FIRE CONTROL OVER FLAT TERRAIN IS FAVORABLE.

FOG POTENTIAL FOR TONIGHT...NONE.

NCZ105>110-060215-
INLAND PENDER-COASTAL PENDER-INLAND NEW HANOVER-COASTAL NEW HANOVER-
INLAND BRUNSWICK-COASTAL BRUNSWICK-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BURGAW...SURF CITY...TOPSAIL BEACH...
WILMINGTON...CAROLINA BEACH...WRIGHTSVILLE BEACH...LELAND...
BOLIVIA...SHALLOTTE...OCEAN ISLE BEACH...HOLDEN BEACH...OAK ISLAND...
SOUTHPORT
515 AM EST THU MAR 5 2015

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI

CLOUD AMOUNT          MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        80           80           30
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      RAIN         SLEET
LAL                   1            1            1
MAX/MIN TEMP          80           29           39
WND20FT/EARLY(MPH)    SW 11 G21    N 15 G27     N 13 G25
WND20FT/LATE(MPH)     W 13 G22     N 15 G27     N 10 G20
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.15         0.16         0.01
PRECIP DURATION       2            7            1
INVERSION             65/0800      NONE         NONE
MIN/MAX RH (%)        48           90           47
DSI                   2                         1
HAINES INDEX          4            2            2
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   3810                      2090
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 29                     N 23
VENTILATION RATE      110490                    48070
ADI EARLY             51 GEN GOOD  32 FAIR      44 GEN GOOD
ADI LATE              82 GOOD      35 FAIR      30 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY       5            4            3
MAX LVORI LATE        2            3            2

REMARKS...A POWERFUL COLD FRONT WILL SHIFT SOUTHWEST WINDS TO
THE NORTH BETWEEN 3-5 PM. TEMPERATURES WILL DROP 15 DEGREES IN
THE FIRST HOUR BEHIND THE FRONT.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. MAXIMUM RH
83 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. MINIMUM RH 35 PERCENT.
NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. MAXIMUM RH
91 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH
45 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS
IN THE LOWER 40S. MAXIMUM RH 93 PERCENT. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH 54 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS
IN THE LOWER 40S. MAXIMUM RH 95 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN
THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 55 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN.
LOWS IN THE MID 40S. MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO
15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS
IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH 68 PERCENT. EAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.

$$

NCZ096-099-060215-
BLADEN-COLUMBUS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ELIZABETHTOWN...WHITEVILLE
515 AM EST THU MAR 5 2015

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI

CLOUD AMOUNT          MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        90           90           20
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SLEET/RAIN   SLEET
LAL                   1            1            1
MAX/MIN TEMP          78           28           38
WND20FT/EARLY(MPH)    SW 12 G22    N 15 G24     NE 13 G23
WND20FT/LATE(MPH)     W 15 G24     N 14 G24     N 10
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.22         0.10         0.00
PRECIP DURATION       3            5            1
INVERSION             66/0800      NONE         NONE
MIN/MAX RH (%)        51           86           40
DSI                   2                         1
HAINES INDEX          3            2            2
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   3760                      2220
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 36                     N 15
VENTILATION RATE      135360                    33300
ADI EARLY             57 GEN GOOD  40 FAIR      46 GEN GOOD
ADI LATE              99 GOOD      36 FAIR      37 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY       5            3            3
MAX LVORI LATE        2            3            1

REMARKS...A POWERFUL COLD FRONT WILL SHIFT SOUTHWEST WINDS TO
THE NORTH BETWEEN 3-5 PM. TEMPERATURES WILL DROP 15 DEGREES IN
THE FIRST HOUR BEHIND THE FRONT.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. MAXIMUM RH
79 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. MINIMUM RH 35 PERCENT.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. MAXIMUM RH
92 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 60. MINIMUM RH 42 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS
IN THE LOWER 40S. MAXIMUM RH 93 PERCENT. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS
AROUND 60. MINIMUM RH 53 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS
IN THE LOWER 40S. MAXIMUM RH 95 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN
THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 53 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN.
LOWS IN THE MID 40S. MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS
IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH 64 PERCENT. EAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.

$$

NCZ087-SCZ017-023-024-060215-
ROBESON-MARLBORO-DARLINGTON-DILLON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUMBERTON...BENNETTSVILLE...DARLINGTON...
DILLON
515 AM EST THU MAR 5 2015

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI

CLOUD AMOUNT          MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        100          90           0
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      RAIN         NONE
LAL                   1            1            1
MAX/MIN TEMP          77           29           40
WND20FT/EARLY(MPH)    SW 13 G24    N 15 G24     NE 13 G22
WND20FT/LATE(MPH)     NW 16 G25    NE 15 G24    NE  9
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.21         0.07         0.00
PRECIP DURATION       3            4
INVERSION             65/0900      NONE         NONE
MIN/MAX RH (%)        54           86           37
DSI                   2                         1
HAINES INDEX          3            2            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   2990                      3040
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 36                     NE 13
VENTILATION RATE      107640                    39520
ADI EARLY             54 GEN GOOD  37 FAIR      46 GEN GOOD
ADI LATE              87 GOOD      34 FAIR      37 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY       5            3            3
MAX LVORI LATE        3            3            2

REMARKS...A POWERFUL COLD FRONT WILL SHIFT SOUTHWEST WINDS TO
THE NORTH BETWEEN 3-5 PM. TEMPERATURES WILL DROP 15 DEGREES IN
THE FIRST HOUR BEHIND THE FRONT.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. MAXIMUM RH
75 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. MINIMUM RH 36 PERCENT.
NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. MAXIMUM RH
90 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH
39 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS
IN THE LOWER 40S. MAXIMUM RH 91 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN
THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 48 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS
IN THE LOWER 40S. MAXIMUM RH 93 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN
THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 50 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN.
LOWS IN THE MID 40S. MAXIMUM RH 99 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO
15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS
IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH 61 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

SCZ053>056-060215-
INLAND HORRY-COASTAL HORRY-INLAND GEORGETOWN-COASTAL GEORGETOWN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CONWAY...MYRTLE BEACH...
NORTH MYRTLE BEACH...GARDEN CITY...ANDREWS...GEORGETOWN...
MURRELLS INLET
515 AM EST THU MAR 5 2015

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI

CLOUD AMOUNT          MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        70           80           30
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      RAIN         SLEET/RAIN
LAL                   1            1            1
MAX/MIN TEMP          80           30           39
WND20FT/EARLY(MPH)    SW 11 G22    N 15 G27     N 13 G26
WND20FT/LATE(MPH)     SW 15 G24    N 16 G27     N 10
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.17         0.10         0.00
PRECIP DURATION       1            4            1
INVERSION             69/1000      NONE         NONE
MIN/MAX RH (%)        50           93           47
DSI                   2                         1
HAINES INDEX          4            2            2
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   4000                      2250
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 26                      NE 22
VENTILATION RATE      104000                    49500
ADI EARLY             49 GEN GOOD  33 FAIR      46 GEN GOOD
ADI LATE              87 GOOD      35 FAIR      28 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY       5            4            3
MAX LVORI LATE        1            3            2

REMARKS...A POWERFUL COLD FRONT WILL SHIFT SOUTHWEST WINDS TO
THE NORTH BETWEEN 4-6 PM. TEMPERATURES WILL DROP 15 DEGREES IN
THE FIRST HOUR BEHIND THE FRONT.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. MAXIMUM RH
83 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. MINIMUM RH 39 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. MAXIMUM RH
92 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 60. MINIMUM RH 46 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS
IN THE MID 40S. MAXIMUM RH 94 PERCENT. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS
AROUND 60. MINIMUM RH 58 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS
IN THE MID 40S. MAXIMUM RH 99 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN
THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 62 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT. EAST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS
IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH 70 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

SCZ032-033-039-060215-
FLORENCE-MARION-WILLIAMSBURG-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLORENCE...MARION...KINGSTREE
515 AM EST THU MAR 5 2015

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI

CLOUD AMOUNT          MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        80           80           20
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      RAIN         SLEET
LAL                   1            1            1
MAX/MIN TEMP          81           31           40
WND20FT/EARLY(MPH)    SW 12 G24    N 16 G24     NE 13 G22
WND20FT/LATE(MPH)     W 16 G25     NE 15 G24    N  9
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.20         0.08         0.00
PRECIP DURATION       2            4            1
INVERSION             69/0900      NONE         NONE
MIN/MAX RH (%)        50           91           46
DSI                   2                         1
HAINES INDEX          4            2            2
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   3920                      2510
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 30                      NE 22
VENTILATION RATE      117600                    55220
ADI EARLY             57 GEN GOOD  36 FAIR      48 GEN GOOD
ADI LATE              93 GOOD      35 FAIR      32 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY       5            4            3
MAX LVORI LATE        1            3            2

REMARKS...A POWERFUL COLD FRONT WILL SHIFT SOUTHWEST WINDS TO
THE NORTH BETWEEN 4-6 PM. TEMPERATURES WILL DROP 15 DEGREES IN
THE FIRST HOUR BEHIND THE FRONT.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. MAXIMUM RH
79 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. MINIMUM RH 38 PERCENT.
NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. MAXIMUM RH
92 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH
42 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS
IN THE MID 40S. MAXIMUM RH 94 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN
THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 54 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS
IN THE MID 40S. MAXIMUM RH 97 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN
THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 56 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN.
LOWS IN THE MID 40S. MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS
IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH 65 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES ABOVE NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION ABOVE NORMAL.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.

$$

TRA




USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.