Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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FNUS52 KILM 201937
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Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
237 PM EST Mon Nov 20 2017

.DISCUSSION...
A coastal trough just off the Carolina coasts and an approaching
cold front will combine to produce stratiform light rain late
Tuesday and Tuesday night ending with the cold frontal passage
early Wednesday. High pressure will slowly build in from the west
through Friday, the dissipate over the weekend.

Fog potential for tonight...Low

NCZ105>110-211145-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover-
Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes,
Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
237 PM EST Mon Nov 20 2017

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud amount          MClear       PCldy        MCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            40           50           0
Precip type           None         Rain         Rain         None
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          34           69           51           65
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    LGT/VAR      NE  3        SE  3        N  5
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     LGT/VAR      E  3         LGT/VAR      N  7
Precip amount         0.00         0.02         0.15         0.00
Precip duration                    1            2
Inversion             1700         47/0900      1700         57/0900
Dispersion            Very Poor                 Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        100          55           100          57
DSI                                2                         1
Haines Index          4            4            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                3410                      3340
Transport wnd (mph)                SE 12                     N 14
Ventilation rate                   40920                     46760
ADI early             2 Very poor  8 poor       4 Very poor  29 Fair
ADI late              1 Very poor  32 Fair      2 Very poor  44 Gen good
Max LVORI early       5            9            8            9
Max LVORI late        10           3            10           3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
86 percent. North winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THANKSGIVING DAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of rain.
Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 57 percent. Northeast winds 10 to
15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of rain.
Lows around 40. Maximum RH 95 percent. North winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of rain. Highs in
the upper 50s. Minimum RH 51 percent. North winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
91 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 48 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
87 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH
58 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH
69 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny, cooler. Highs in the upper 40s. Minimum RH
39 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-211145-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
237 PM EST Mon Nov 20 2017

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud amount          MClear       PCldy        MCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            30           40           0
Precip type           None         Rain         Rain         None
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          35           66           48           65
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      N  5
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     LGT/VAR      E  3         LGT/VAR      N  7
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.05         0.00
Precip duration                    0            2
Inversion             1700         43/0800      1700         55/0900
Dispersion            Very Poor                 Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        97           52           100          50
DSI                                2                         1
Haines Index          4            3            3            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                2940                      3680
Transport wnd (mph)                SE 10                     NE 15
Ventilation rate                   29400                     55200
ADI early             2 Very poor  7 poor       4 Very poor  30 Fair
ADI late              1 Very poor  27 Fair      2 Very poor  56 Gen good
Max LVORI early       4            7            8            9
Max LVORI late        8            3            10           2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
83 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THANKSGIVING DAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of rain.
Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 52 percent. Northeast winds 5 to
10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of rain.
Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH 94 percent. Northeast winds around
5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH
46 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
92 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
85 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 60. Minimum RH 54 percent. West
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH
66 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny, cooler. Highs around 50. Minimum RH 35 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ053>056-211145-
Inland Horry-Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-
Including the cities of Conway, Red Hill, Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown,
and Murrells Inlet
237 PM EST Mon Nov 20 2017

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud amount          MClear       PCldy        MCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            30           40           0
Precip type           None         Rain         Rain         None
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          37           69           50           65
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    E  3         NE  4        E  3         N  5
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     NE  3        E  4         LGT/VAR      N  7
Precip amount         0.00         0.03         0.05         0.00
Precip duration                    1            2
Inversion             1700         48/0800      1700         55/0900
Dispersion            Poor                      Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        100          58           100          59
DSI                                2                         1
Haines Index          4            3            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                2390                      3040
Transport wnd (mph)                SE  9                     N 14
Ventilation rate                   21510                     42560
ADI early             2 Very poor  7 poor       5 Very poor  24 Fair
ADI late              2 Very poor  21 Fair      2 Very poor  40 Fair
Max LVORI early       6            9            9            9
Max LVORI late        9            4            10           3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
89 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THANKSGIVING DAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of rain.
Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 58 percent. Northeast winds 10 to
15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of rain.
Lows around 40. Maximum RH 94 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of rain. Highs in
the upper 50s. Minimum RH 50 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
91 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 46 percent. West
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
89 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 58 percent. West
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH
71 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny, cooler. Highs in the lower 50s. Minimum RH
38 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ032-033-039-211145-
Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree
237 PM EST Mon Nov 20 2017

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud amount          MClear       PCldy        MCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            30           30           0
Precip type           None         Rain         Rain         None
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          36           67           49           65
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    LGT/VAR      NE  4        NE  3        N  5
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     NE  3        NE  4        LGT/VAR      N  7
Precip amount         0.00         0.01         0.02         0.00
Precip duration                    1            2
Inversion             1700         45/0900      1700         54/0900
Dispersion            Very Poor                 Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        98           55           100          53
DSI                                2                         1
Haines Index          4            3            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                2120                      3330
Transport wnd (mph)                E  8                      NE 13
Ventilation rate                   16960                     43290
ADI early             2 Very poor  7 poor       3 Very poor  27 Fair
ADI late              2 Very poor  15 Gen poor  2 Very poor  43 Gen good
Max LVORI early       5            6            9            9
Max LVORI late        7            3            10           2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
89 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THANKSGIVING DAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of rain.
Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 53 percent. Northeast winds 5 to
10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of rain.
Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH 93 percent. Northeast winds 5 to
10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH
45 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
92 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 43 percent. West
winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
88 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 55 percent. West
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH
70 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny, cooler. Highs in the lower 50s. Minimum RH
34 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-211145-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, and Dillon
237 PM EST Mon Nov 20 2017

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud amount          MClear       PCldy        MCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            20           30           0
Precip type           None         Rain         Rain         None
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          35           63           46           64
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SE  3        NE  3        NE  3        N  6
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     LGT/VAR      E  4         LGT/VAR      N  7
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.01         0.00
Precip duration                    0            1
Inversion             1700         42/0800      1700         53/0900
Dispersion            Very Poor                 Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        94           53           100          49
DSI                                1                         1
Haines Index          4            3            3            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                2170                      3700
Transport wnd (mph)                E  8                      NE 14
Ventilation rate                   17360                     51800
ADI early             2 Very poor  5 Very poor  3 Very poor  29 Fair
ADI late              1 Very poor  18 Gen poor  3 Very poor  50 Gen good
Max LVORI early       4            6            8            9
Max LVORI late        8            3            9            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
86 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THANKSGIVING DAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of rain.
Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 49 percent. Northeast winds 5 to
10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH
91 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH
43 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
92 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 43 percent. West
winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
86 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 60. Minimum RH 53 percent. West
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH
68 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 50s. Minimum RH 32 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures below normal.  Precipitation below normal.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

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