Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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000
FNUS52 KILM 271854
FWFILM

Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
254 PM EDT Thu Jul 27 2017

.DISCUSSION...
Showers and thunderstorms will increase in coverage and
intensity Friday into Saturday, with strong to severe
thunderstorms possible. This activity is due to an approaching
and unseasonably strong cold front, that will push across
the area late Saturday. Much drier air and below normal
temperatures will infiltrate the area during the early
to mid-week period of next week.

Fog potential for tonight...low.

NCZ105>110-281100-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover-
Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes,
Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
254 PM EDT Thu Jul 27 2017

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud amount          MClear       PCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            30           60           60
Precip type           None         Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   1            3            4            4
Min/Max Temp          74           90           73           87
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    S  6         SW  5        S  8         W  8
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW  4        S  9         SW  8        W  7
Precip amount         0.00         0.10         0.48         0.44
Precip duration                    1            5            6
Inversion             2100         80/0900      2100         76/0900
Dispersion            Fair                      Good
Max/Min RH (%)        97           57           96           55
DSI                                2                         2
Haines Index          4            3            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                5020                      4260
Transport wnd (mph)                S 13                      W 14
Ventilation rate                   65260                     59640
ADI early             39 Fair      22 Fair      25 Fair      50 Gen good
ADI late              3 Very poor  36 Fair      14 Gen poor  50 Gen good
Max LVORI early       6            7            6            5
Max LVORI late        8            2            6            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 89 percent.
Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with isolated showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 59 percent. Chance of
precipitation 20 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with isolated showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 88 percent. Chance
of precipitation 20 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with isolated showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 53 percent. Chance of precipitation
20 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with isolated showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 88 percent. Chance
of precipitation 20 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with isolated showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 58 percent. Chance of precipitation
20 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with isolated showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 91 percent. Chance
of precipitation 20 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with isolated showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 58 percent. Chance of precipitation
20 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with isolated showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 92 percent. Chance
of precipitation 20 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with scattered showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 58 percent. Chance of
precipitation 30 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

NCZ096-099-281100-
Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Elizabethtown, Bladenboro, Whiteville,
Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
254 PM EDT Thu Jul 27 2017

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        MCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            40           70           60
Precip type           None         Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   1            3            4            4
Min/Max Temp          73           91           73           87
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    S  6         SW  4        S  7         W  7
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     S  3         S  7         SW  7        W  6
Precip amount         0.00         0.11         0.52         0.40
Precip duration                    1            7            4
Inversion             2100         80/0900      2100         75/0900
Dispersion            Poor                      Good
Max/Min RH (%)        97           55           97           54
DSI                                2                         2
Haines Index          4            3            3            2
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                5290                      4550
Transport wnd (mph)                S 12                      W 12
Ventilation rate                   63480                     54600
ADI early             41 Gen good  20 Gen poor  27 Fair      51 Gen good
ADI late              3 Very poor  36 Fair      13 Gen poor  49 Gen good
Max LVORI early       5            8            5            5
Max LVORI late        9            2            6            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 89 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with isolated showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 55 percent. Chance of
precipitation 20 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
90 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 48 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
90 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with isolated showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 50 percent. Chance of
precipitation 20 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with isolated showers and
thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 94 percent. Chance of
precipitation 20 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with isolated showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 51 percent. Chance of
precipitation 20 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with isolated showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 94 percent. Chance
of precipitation 20 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with isolated showers and thunderstorms.
Highs around 90. Minimum RH 48 percent. Chance of precipitation
20 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.

$$

NCZ087-281100-
Robeson-
Including the city of Lumberton
254 PM EDT Thu Jul 27 2017

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud amount          PCldy        MCldy        MCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            50           70           50
Precip type           None         Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   1            3            4            4
Min/Max Temp          73           92           72           88
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    S  7         SW  5        S  7         W  7
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     S  4         SW  8        SW  9        W  7
Precip amount         0.00         0.15         0.52         0.35
Precip duration                    2            8            4
Inversion             2100         79/0900      2100         75/0900
Dispersion            Fair                      Good
Max/Min RH (%)        96           53           97           52
DSI                                3                         2
Haines Index          4            3            3            2
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                5480                      4760
Transport wnd (mph)                SW 12                     NW 13
Ventilation rate                   65760                     61880
ADI early             41 Gen good  22 Fair      27 Fair      48 Gen good
ADI late              5 Very poor  35 Fair      12 poor      62 Good
Max LVORI early       4            8            5            5
Max LVORI late        8            2            6            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 88 percent.
North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
51 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
89 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 44 percent. North
winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
91 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
45 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
93 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
46 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with isolated showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 92 percent. Chance
of precipitation 20 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with isolated showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 41 percent. Chance of
precipitation 20 percent. South winds around 5 mph.

$$

SCZ053>056-281100-
Inland Horry-Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-
Including the cities of Conway, Red Hill, Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown,
and Murrells Inlet
254 PM EDT Thu Jul 27 2017

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud amount          MClear       PCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            30           60           70
Precip type           None         Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   1            3            4            4
Min/Max Temp          72           91           74           87
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    S  6         SW  4        S  7         W  9
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     S  4         S  8         SW  7        W  8
Precip amount         0.00         0.06         0.38         0.43
Precip duration                    1            5            6
Inversion             2100         79/0900      2100         77/0900
Dispersion            Fair                      Good
Max/Min RH (%)        99           56           95           57
DSI                                2                         2
Haines Index          3            3            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                4890                      4130
Transport wnd (mph)                S  9                      W 14
Ventilation rate                   44010                     57820
ADI early             38 Fair      18 Gen poor  23 Fair      52 Gen good
ADI late              3 Very poor  25 Fair      13 Gen poor  52 Gen good
Max LVORI early       6            9            5            5
Max LVORI late        9            2            6            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 88 percent.
Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
56 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
87 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 52 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with isolated showers and
thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 88 percent. Chance of
precipitation 20 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with isolated showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 55 percent. Chance of precipitation
20 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with isolated showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 93 percent. Chance
of precipitation 20 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with isolated showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 58 percent. Chance of precipitation
20 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with isolated showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 95 percent. Chance
of precipitation 20 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with scattered showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 55 percent. Chance of
precipitation 30 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ032-033-039-281100-
Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree
254 PM EDT Thu Jul 27 2017

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            40           70           60
Precip type           None         Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   1            3            4            4
Min/Max Temp          72           92           74           88
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    S  6         SW  3        SW  6        W  7
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     S  3         SW  7        SW  7        W  6
Precip amount         0.00         0.07         0.36         0.40
Precip duration                    1            7            7
Inversion             2100         79/0900      2100         76/0900
Dispersion            Poor                      Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        100          55           96           53
DSI                                2                         2
Haines Index          4            3            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                5240                      4540
Transport wnd (mph)                SW  6                     W 10
Ventilation rate                   31440                     45400
ADI early             32 Fair      14 Gen poor  18 Gen poor  47 Gen good
ADI late              3 Very poor  20 Gen poor  13 Gen poor  44 Gen good
Max LVORI early       5            10           6            5
Max LVORI late        10           2            6            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 88 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 53 percent.
North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
88 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 48 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
91 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with isolated showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 50 percent. Chance of
precipitation 20 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with isolated showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 95 percent. Chance
of precipitation 20 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with isolated showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 51 percent. Chance of
precipitation 20 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with isolated showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 95 percent. Chance
of precipitation 20 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with scattered showers and thunderstorms.
Highs around 90. Minimum RH 48 percent. Chance of precipitation
30 percent. South winds around 5 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-281100-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, and Dillon
254 PM EDT Thu Jul 27 2017

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud amount          PCldy        MCldy        MCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            50           70           50
Precip type           None         Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   1            3            4            4
Min/Max Temp          73           91           72           88
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    S  6         SW  4        SW  8        W  7
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     S  4         SW  8        SW  9        NW  7
Precip amount         0.00         0.13         0.45         0.34
Precip duration                    1            8            4
Inversion             2100         78/0900      2100         76/0900
Dispersion            Fair                      Good
Max/Min RH (%)        97           53           96           49
DSI                                2                         2
Haines Index          3            3            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                5550                      4840
Transport wnd (mph)                SW 10                     NW 12
Ventilation rate                   55500                     58080
ADI early             33 Fair      20 Gen poor  29 Fair      46 Gen good
ADI late              4 Very poor  35 Fair      13 Gen poor  52 Gen good
Max LVORI early       4            8            5            5
Max LVORI late        7            2            5            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 87 percent.
North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 50 percent.
North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
88 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
90 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
44 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
93 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
45 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with isolated showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 92 percent. Chance
of precipitation 20 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with scattered showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 41 percent. Chance of
precipitation 30 percent. South winds around 5 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation above normal.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

15


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