Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Jackson, KY

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FNUS53 KJKL 230834
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Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Eastern Kentucky
National Weather Service Jackson KY
434 AM EDT Tue May 23 2017

.DISCUSSION...An upper level disturbance will pass by and a low
pressure will develop south the the region. The best chances of
seeing showers and isolated thunderstorms will mainly be nearer
the VA border today. A larger scale system will move into the
region later tonight into Wednesday bringing a wetting rain to the
region.

KYZ044-050>052-058>060-068-069-079-080-083>088-104-106>120-232030-
Fleming-Montgomery-Bath-Rowan-Estill-Powell-Menifee-Rockcastle-
Jackson-Pulaski-Laurel-Wayne-McCreary-Whitley-Knox-Bell-Harlan-
Elliott-Morgan-Johnson-Wolfe-Magoffin-Floyd-Lee-Breathitt-Knott-
Owsley-Perry-Clay-Leslie-Letcher-Martin-Pike-
Including the cities of Flemingsburg, Camargo, Jeffersonville,
Mount Sterling, Owingsville, Morehead, Irvine, Ravenna,
Clay City, Stanton, Frenchburg, Brodhead, Mount Vernon, McKee,
Annville, Burnside, Somerset, London, Monticello, Stearns,
Whitley City, Corbin, Williamsburg, Barbourville, Middlesboro,
Pineville, Cumberland, Harlan, Sandy Hook, West Liberty,
Paintsville, Campton, Salyersville, Prestonsburg, Wheelwright,
Beattyville, Jackson, Hindman, Pippa Passes, Booneville, Hazard,
Manchester, Hyden, Jenkins, Whitesburg, Inez, Coal Run,
Elkhorn City, Pikeville, and South Williamson
434 AM EDT Tue May 23 2017

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Isolated rain showers in the
                    morning. Scattered rain showers in the
                    afternoon.
Max Temperature.....71-76.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........51-61 percent.
   24 hr trend......8 percent wetter.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds around 5 mph.
LAL.................2.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing Height.......3000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East around 5 mph.
Dispersion Index....22.
Vent Rate...........Poor (22400 knot-ft).
ADI.................12 increasing to 26 in the afternoon.
LVORI...............5.
Prob of precip......30 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.04 inches.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Isolated rain showers in the
                    evening, then a chance of rain showers.
Min Temperature.....Around 57.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........97 percent.
   24 hr trend......3 percent drier.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds around 5 mph.
LAL.................2.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
ADI.................28 decreasing to 3 late.
LVORI...............7.
Prob of precip......40 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.05 inches.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy. A chance of rain showers and a slight
                    chance of thunderstorms in the morning, then
                    rain showers and a chance of thunderstorms in
                    the afternoon.
Max Temperature.....68-73.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........62-72 percent.
   24 hr trend......11 percent wetter.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................3.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......3800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast around 5 mph increasing to south 10
                    to 20 mph in the afternoon.
Dispersion Index....70.
Vent Rate...........Good (69800 knot-ft).
ADI.................28 increasing to 57 in the afternoon.
LVORI...............5.
Prob of precip......80 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.32 - 0.74 inches.


$$

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers and
thunderstorms in the evening, then a chance of showers. Lows in
the lower 50s. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Highs in the
lower 60s. West winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers in the
evening, then a slight chance of showers. Lows in the lower 50s.
West winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Warmer. Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. West
winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. A slight chance of showers or
thunderstorms late. Lows around 60. Southwest winds around 5 mph
in the evening.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 80. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Southwest winds around
5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers and thunderstorms in
the morning, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms in the
afternoon. Highs in the upper 70s. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Southwest winds around
5 mph.
.MEMORIAL DAY...Partly sunny with a slight chance of showers or
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. Southwest winds around
5 mph.

$$

DJ


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