Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Jackson, KY

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519
FNUS53 KJKL 030924
FWFJKL

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST KENTUCKY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
524 AM EDT TUE MAY 3 2016

...DAMP AND COOL THE REST OF THE WEEK...

.DISCUSSION...CLOUDY AND COOLER CONDITIONS WILL BE SEEN TODAY
BEHIND A SLOWLY DEPARTING COLD FRONT. SOME ISOLATED SHOWERS WILL
REMAIN POSSIBLE THROUGH THE DAY...MAINLY ACROSS NORTHERN AND
NORTHEAST KENTUCKY. A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL PUSH SOUTHWARD ON
WEDNESDAY WITH WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND A FEW STORMS PUSHING THEIR
WAY ACROSS THE AREA. IN THE WAKE OF THIS FRONT...MUCH COOLER
WEATHER WILL SETTLE IN FOR WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY. HIGHS ON
THURSDAY COULD STRUGGLE TO REACH THE LOW 50S AS WE CONTINUE TO SEE
CLOUDY AND SHOWERY WEATHER. TEMPERATURES WILL SLOWLY REBOUND AS WE
HEAD INTO FRIDAY AND THE UPCOMING WEEKEND WITH HIGHS BACK INTO THE
70S BY SATURDAY. DRIER WEATHER SHOULD RETURN FOR THE START OF THE
WEEKEND.

KYZ068-079-083-084-032015-
ROCKCASTLE-PULASKI-WAYNE-MCCREARY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BROADHEAD...MOUNT VERNON...BURNSIDE...
SOMERSET...MONTICELLO...STEARNS...WHITLEY CITY
524 AM EDT TUE MAY 3 2016

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 65.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........54-62 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......21 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....83.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (82900 KNOT-FT).
ADI.................30 INCREASING TO 49 IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............5.
PROB OF PRECIP......10 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........NONE.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 50.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........85 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......16 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
ADI.................48 DECREASING TO 16 LATE.
LVORI...............4.
PROB OF PRECIP......10 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........NONE.

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. OCCASIONAL RAIN SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....60-65.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........49-59 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
LAL.................2.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST 10 TO 15 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 20 MPH
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....130.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (130000 KNOT-FT).
ADI.................48 INCREASING TO 75 IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............3.
PROB OF PRECIP......90 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.13 INCHES.


$$

KYZ044-050>052-058>060-104-106>109-119-032015-
FLEMING-MONTGOMERY-BATH-ROWAN-ESTILL-POWELL-MENIFEE-ELLIOTT-
MORGAN-JOHNSON-WOLFE-MAGOFFIN-MARTIN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLEMINGSBURG...CAMARGO...
JEFFERSONVILLE...MOUNT STERLING...OWINGSVILLE...MOREHEAD...
IRVINE...RAVENNA...CLAY CITY...STANTON...FRENCHBURG...
SANDY HOOK...WEST LIBERTY...PAINSVILLE...CAMPTON...SALYERSVILLE...
INEZ
524 AM EDT TUE MAY 3 2016

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. ISOLATED RAIN SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 65.
   24 HR TREND......10 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........60-68 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST
                    AROUND 15 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....83.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (83200 KNOT-FT).
ADI.................24 INCREASING TO 49 IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............5.
PROB OF PRECIP......30 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.03 INCHES.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. ISOLATED RAIN SHOWERS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 50.
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........87 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......13 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
ADI.................42 DECREASING TO 14 LATE.
LVORI...............4.
PROB OF PRECIP......20 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.02 INCHES.

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED RAIN SHOWERS IN THE
                    MORNING. OCCASIONAL RAIN SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....60-65.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........50-60 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......14 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
LAL.................2.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....121.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (121200 KNOT-FT).
ADI.................47 INCREASING TO 61 IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............3.
PROB OF PRECIP......90 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.12 INCHES.


$$

KYZ069-080-085>088-110>118-120-032015-
JACKSON-LAUREL-WHITLEY-KNOX-BELL-HARLAN-FLOYD-LEE-BREATHITT-KNOTT-
OWSLEY-PERRY-CLAY-LESLIE-LETCHER-PIKE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MCKEE...ANNVILLE...LONDON...CORBIN...
WILLIAMSBURG...BARBOURVILLE...MIDDLESBORO...PINEVILLE...
CUMBERLAND...HARLAN...PRESTONSBURG...WHEELWRIGHT...BEATTYVILLE...
JACKSON...HINDMAN...PIPPA PASSES...BOONEVILLE...HAZARD...
MANCHESTER...HYDEN...JENKINS...WHITESBURG...COAL RUN...
ELKHORN CITY...PIKEVILLE...SOUTH WILLIAMSON
524 AM EDT TUE MAY 3 2016

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. ISOLATED RAIN SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....63-68.
   24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........58-68 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....84.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (83800 KNOT-FT).
ADI.................25 INCREASING TO 49 IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............5.
PROB OF PRECIP......20 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.03 INCHES.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. ISOLATED RAIN SHOWERS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 50.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........87 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......13 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
ADI.................49 DECREASING TO 18 LATE.
LVORI...............4.
PROB OF PRECIP......20 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.01 INCHES.

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. ISOLATED RAIN SHOWERS IN THE MORNING.
                    OCCASIONAL RAIN SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....61-66.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........45-55 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
LAL.................2.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....103.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (103000 KNOT-FT).
ADI.................43 INCREASING TO 59 IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............3.
PROB OF PRECIP......90 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.12 INCHES.


$$

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
IN THE EVENING...THEN A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S.
WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S.
NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...WARMER. MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. LIGHT WINDS.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE MID 50S. LIGHT WINDS IN THE EVENING.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE MID 70S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE
MORNING...THEN A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
AFTERNOON. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$
KAS



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