Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Memphis, TN

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679
FNUS54 KMEG 131106
FWFMEG

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR THE MIDSOUTH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
506 AM CST SAT FEB 13 2016

.DISCUSSION...

CLEAR...COLD AND DRY TODAY.  CLOUDS WILL INCREASE OVERNIGHT
AND PRECIPITATION WILL MOVE IN FROM THE WEST EARLY TOMORROW.
TEMPERATURES WILL BE COLD ENOUGH EARLY TOMORROW FOR
PRECIPITATION TO FALL AS FREEZING RAIN OR SLEET IN NORTHERN
PORTIONS OF WEST TENNESSEE...THE MISSOURI BOOTHEEL AND
NORTHEAST ARKANSAS.  HOWEVER...SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL HELP
TEMPERATURES WARM ABOVE FREEZING BEFORE NOON. UP TO A
QUARTER OF AN INCH OF RAIN IS POSSIBLE SUNDAY.


ARZ008-009-017-018-026>028-MOZ113-115-132315-
CLAY-CRAIGHEAD-DUNKLIN-GREENE-LAWRENCE-MISSISSIPPI-PEMISCOT-
POINSETT-RANDOLPH-
INCLUDING...MISSOURI BOOTHEEL...NORTHEAST ARKANSAS
506 AM CST SAT FEB 13 2016

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY
PRECIP CHANCE (%)     0            0            60
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SLEET/RAIN
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN)    0.00         0.00         0.24
PRECIP DUR (HRS)                                6
PRECIP BEGINS                                   6 AM
PRECIP ENDS                                     CONTINUING
TEMP (24H TREND)      30 (-21)     22 (-2)      37
RH % (24H TREND)      29 (-10)     72 (+4)      58
AM 20 FT WIND (MPH)   NE 8-12                   SE 6-10
PM 20 FT WIND (MPH)   NE 5-9       E 4-8        S 5-9
MIXING HGT (M-AGL)    855                       373
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   2806                      1225
MIXING HGT (M-MSL)    941                       459
MIXING HGT (FT-MSL)   3088                      1507
TRANSPORT WND (M/S)   NE  4                     S  6
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NE  9                     S 14
VENT INDEX (M2/S)     3764                      2754
CATEGORY DAY          2                         2
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 24                        34
500M TSPT WIND (M/S)  NE  6                     S  7
500M TSPT WIND (MPH)  NE 12                     S 16
DISPERSION INDEX      36           25           30
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  4            3            2
STABILITY             C            E            C
STAGNATION INDEX      3            3            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SUNDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. SOUTH WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH BECOMING NORTHWEST AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.MONDAY...A CHANCE OF RAIN. MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS AROUND 50.
MINIMUM RH 68 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN
THE MID 30S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH
63 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. NORTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. MINIMUM RH
57 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH BECOMING EAST IN THE
AFTERNOON.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 56 PERCENT.
SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. SOUTH
WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH
65 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH.

$$

ARZ035-036-048-049-058-132315-
CRITTENDEN-CROSS-LEE AR-PHILLIPS-ST. FRANCIS-
INCLUDING...EAST-CENTRAL ARKANSAS...ST. FRANCIS NATIONAL FOREST
506 AM CST SAT FEB 13 2016

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHANCE (%)     0            0            50
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SLEET/RAIN
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN)    0.00         0.00         0.07
PRECIP DUR (HRS)                                2
PRECIP BEGINS                                   6 AM
PRECIP ENDS                                     CONTINUING
TEMP (24H TREND)      35 (-18)     25 (-3)      47
RH % (24H TREND)      27 (-12)     71 (-3)      52
AM 20 FT WIND (MPH)   NE 8-12                   SE 6-10
PM 20 FT WIND (MPH)   NE 5-9       NE 4-8       S 6-10
MIXING HGT (M-AGL)    911                       357
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   2989                      1170
MIXING HGT (M-MSL)    973                       418
MIXING HGT (FT-MSL)   3193                      1373
TRANSPORT WND (M/S)   NE  5                     S  8
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NE 12                     S 18
VENT INDEX (M2/S)     4865                      3344
CATEGORY DAY          3                         2
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 29                        43
500M TSPT WIND (M/S)  NE  6                     S 10
500M TSPT WIND (MPH)  NE 14                     S 21
DISPERSION INDEX      37           10           38
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  4            3            2
STABILITY             C            F            C
STAGNATION INDEX      3            3            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SUNDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH BECOMING NORTH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.MONDAY...A CHANCE OF RAIN. MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
50S. MINIMUM RH 71 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH
60 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. MINIMUM RH 57 PERCENT.
NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH BECOMING EAST IN THE AFTERNOON.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. SOUTHEAST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH 57 PERCENT.
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. SOUTH
WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH
65 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.

$$

TNZ001>004-019>022-132315-
BENTON TN-CARROLL-DYER-GIBSON-HENRY-LAKE-OBION-WEAKLEY-
INCLUDING...WEST TENNESSEE DISTRICT NORTH
506 AM CST SAT FEB 13 2016

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY
PRECIP CHANCE (%)     0            0            70
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SLEET/RAIN
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN)    0.00         0.00         0.21
PRECIP DUR (HRS)                                6
PRECIP BEGINS                                   6 AM
PRECIP ENDS                                     CONTINUING
TEMP (24H TREND)      29 (-15)     18 (-2)      36
RH % (24H TREND)      31 (-14)     72 (0)       50
AM 20 FT WIND (MPH)   N 5-9                     SE 4-8
PM 20 FT WIND (MPH)   NE 3-7       NE 2-6       S 4-8
MIXING HGT (M-AGL)    867                       348
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   2843                      1141
MIXING HGT (M-MSL)    988                       469
MIXING HGT (FT-MSL)   3240                      1538
TRANSPORT WND (M/S)   N  4                      SE  6
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N  8                      SE 14
VENT INDEX (M2/S)     3952                      2814
CATEGORY DAY          2                         2
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 21                        33
500M TSPT WIND (M/S)  N  5                      SE  8
500M TSPT WIND (MPH)  N 11                      SE 17
DISPERSION INDEX      36           24           31
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  4            4            2
STABILITY             B            D            C
STAGNATION INDEX      2            3            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SUNDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. SOUTH WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...A CHANCE OF RAIN. MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
40S. MINIMUM RH 71 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH BECOMING
NORTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON.
.MONDAY NIGHT...A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN
THE LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 50S. MINIMUM RH 65 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 50. MINIMUM RH
58 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 60. MINIMUM RH 53 PERCENT. SOUTH
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS
10 TO 15 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH
58 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.

$$

TNZ048>055-088>091-132315-
CHESTER-CROCKETT-DECATUR-FAYETTE-HARDEMAN-HAYWOOD-HENDERSON-
LAUDERDALE-MADISON-MCNAIRY-SHELBY-TIPTON-
INCLUDING...WEST TENNESSEE DISTRICT SOUTH
506 AM CST SAT FEB 13 2016

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY
PRECIP CHANCE (%)     0            0            50
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SLEET/RAIN
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN)    0.00         0.00         0.12
PRECIP DUR (HRS)                                2
PRECIP BEGINS                                   6 AM
PRECIP ENDS                                     CONTINUING
TEMP (24H TREND)      33 (-17)     21 (-3)      41
RH % (24H TREND)      27 (-11)     68 (-2)      44
AM 20 FT WIND (MPH)   N 6-10                    SE 5-9
PM 20 FT WIND (MPH)   NE 4-8       NE 3-7       S 5-9
MIXING HGT (M-AGL)    832                       324
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   2730                      1064
MIXING HGT (M-MSL)    953                       446
MIXING HGT (FT-MSL)   3128                      1462
TRANSPORT WND (M/S)   NE  4                     S  7
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NE  9                     S 16
VENT INDEX (M2/S)     3812                      3122
CATEGORY DAY          2                         2
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 24                        38
500M TSPT WIND (M/S)  NE  5                     S  9
500M TSPT WIND (MPH)  NE 12                     S 19
DISPERSION INDEX      36           23           30
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  4            3            2
STABILITY             C            E            C
STAGNATION INDEX      2            3            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SUNDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS AROUND 50. MINIMUM RH 70 PERCENT.
NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN
THE MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH 61 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. WEST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. MINIMUM RH
56 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 51 PERCENT.
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. SOUTH
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH 56 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.

$$

MSZ001-007-008-010>012-020-021-132315-
COAHOMA-DESOTO-PANOLA-QUITMAN-TALLAHATCHIE-TATE-TUNICA-YALOBUSHA-
INCLUDING...NORTHWEST MISSISSIPPI...
SOUTH UNIT HOLLY SPRINGS NATIONAL FOREST
506 AM CST SAT FEB 13 2016

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHANCE (%)     0            0            30
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         RAIN
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN)    0.00         0.00         0.01
PRECIP DUR (HRS)                                1
PRECIP BEGINS                                   12 PM
PRECIP ENDS                                     CONTINUING
TEMP (24H TREND)      38 (-17)     25 (-4)      50
RH % (24H TREND)      27 (-12)     70 (-5)      44
AM 20 FT WIND (MPH)   NE 7-11                   SE 5-9
PM 20 FT WIND (MPH)   NE 4-8       NE 2-6       S 6-10
MIXING HGT (M-AGL)    885                       379
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   2902                      1245
MIXING HGT (M-MSL)    956                       451
MIXING HGT (FT-MSL)   3138                      1481
TRANSPORT WND (M/S)   NE  5                     S  8
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NE 10                     S 18
VENT INDEX (M2/S)     4780                      3608
CATEGORY DAY          3                         2
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 31                        47
500M TSPT WIND (M/S)  NE  6                     S 10
500M TSPT WIND (MPH)  NE 13                     S 22
DISPERSION INDEX      37           10           37
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  4            4            2
STABILITY             C            F            C
STAGNATION INDEX      3            3            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SUNDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. MINIMUM RH
72 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH
59 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH
56 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. SOUTHEAST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH 53 PERCENT.
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. SOUTH
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH 59 PERCENT.
SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.

$$

MSZ002>006-009-013>017-022>024-132315-
ALCORN-BENTON MS-CALHOUN-CHICKASAW-ITAWAMBA-LAFAYETTE-LEE MS-
MARSHALL-MONROE-PONTOTOC-PRENTISS-TIPPAH-TISHOMINGO-UNION-
INCLUDING...NORTH MISSISSIPPI PORTION NATCHEZ TRACE PARKWAY...
NORTH UNIT HOLLY SPRINGS NATIONAL FOREST...
NORTH UNIT TOMBIGBEE NATIONAL FOREST...NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPI
506 AM CST SAT FEB 13 2016

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHANCE (%)     0            0            30
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         RAIN
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN)    0.00         0.00         0.01
PRECIP DUR (HRS)                                1
PRECIP BEGINS                                   12 PM
PRECIP ENDS                                     CONTINUING
TEMP (24H TREND)      38 (-20)     23 (-5)      48
RH % (24H TREND)      24 (-7)      65 (-5)      34
AM 20 FT WIND (MPH)   N 5-9                     SE 4-8
PM 20 FT WIND (MPH)   NE 3-7       NE 2-6       S 4-8
MIXING HGT (M-AGL)    836                       494
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   2743                      1620
MIXING HGT (M-MSL)    960                       618
MIXING HGT (FT-MSL)   3149                      2027
TRANSPORT WND (M/S)   NE  4                     S  8
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NE  9                     S 18
VENT INDEX (M2/S)     3840                      4944
CATEGORY DAY          2                         3
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 29                        42
500M TSPT WIND (M/S)  N  5                      S  8
500M TSPT WIND (MPH)  N 11                      S 19
DISPERSION INDEX      35           18           33
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  4            3            2
STABILITY             B            F            C
STAGNATION INDEX      3            3            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SUNDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...RAIN. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. MINIMUM RH 69 PERCENT.
SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH BECOMING NORTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON.
.MONDAY NIGHT...A CHANCE OF RAIN. PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND
60. MINIMUM RH 57 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. WEST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH
53 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH 49 PERCENT.
SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH 52 PERCENT.
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$



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