Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN

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000
FNUS54 KMRX 261917
FWFMRX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for East Tennessee...Southwest
Virginia...and Extreme Southwest North Carolina
National Weather Service Morristown TN
317 PM EDT Wed Apr 26 2017

.DISCUSSION...
CLOUDS WILL INCREASE TONIGHT AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING
FRONTAL BOUNDARY. THIS SYSTEM WILL SPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
ACROSS THE TENNESSEE VALLEY AND SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS THURSDAY
MORNING AND AFTERNOON. FRIDAY AND SATURDAY WILL GENERALLY BE WARM
AND DRY...WITH ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND JUST AN ISOLATED SHOWER
OR THUNDERSTORM POSSIBLE.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-272030-
Jefferson National Forest/Virginia District 6-
317 PM EDT Wed Apr 26 2017

                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Fri

Cloud cover           MClear       PCldy        PCldy        MClear
Temp (24h trend)      53-58 (+5)   73-78 (-2)   51-56        79-84
RH % (24h trend)      93-98 (-1)   47-52 (+3)   95-100       31-36
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  S  9 G27                  LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      SW 10 G27    LGT/VAR      SW  7 G17
Precip type           NONE         tstms        NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     0            40           0            0
Precip duration                    1
Precip begin                       8 AM
Precip end                         Continuing
Precip amount         0.00         0.14         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            3            1            1
LASI                               3                         5
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 6200                      6500
Transport wnd (mph)                SW 25                     S 17
Dispersion                         91 Good                   66 Good
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  S 11 G27                  S  5
33ft wind-PM(mph)     SE  5        SW 13 G27    SW  5        SW  9 G17

Remarks...None.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows near 60. South winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s to upper 80s.
South winds up to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s to mid 60s. South winds less
than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the lower 70s to mid 80s. South winds 5 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the upper
40s. Highs in the 60s to mid 70s. West winds 5 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows around 50. Highs in the upper 50s
to mid 70s. Southwest winds up to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the 60s to 70s. South winds less
than 10 mph.

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-272030-
Northern Cherokee National Forest-
317 PM EDT Wed Apr 26 2017

                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Fri

Cloud cover           MClear       PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      52-57 (+5)   70-75 (-3)   50-55        76-81
RH % (24h trend)      88-93 (-5)   48-53 (+3)   95-100       35-40
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  S  9 G26                  LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     SE  6 G19    SW  9 G25    LGT/VAR      S  6 G15
Precip type           NONE         tstms        tstms        NONE
Chance precip (%)     0            50           20           0
Precip duration                    1            1
Precip begin                       8 AM         Continuing
Precip end                         Continuing   11 PM
Precip amount         0.00         0.12         0.02         0.00
LAL                   1            4            2            1
LASI                               3                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 6100                      6700
Transport wnd (mph)                SW 24                     S 16
Dispersion                         68 Good                   54 Gen good
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  S 12 G26                  S  5
33ft wind-PM(mph)     SE  8 G19    SW 11 G25    LGT/VAR      S  8

Remarks...None.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows near 60. South winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the 70s to 80s. South winds up to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the 50s to mid 60s. South winds less than
10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the upper 60s to mid 80s. South winds 5 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the upper
40s. Highs in the lower 60s to mid 70s. West winds 5 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the
upper 50s to lower 70s. Southwest winds up to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the 60s to 70s. South winds less
than 10 mph.

$$

TNZ072-074-272030-
Tennessee Portion Of The Great Smoky Mountain National Park-
317 PM EDT Wed Apr 26 2017

                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Fri

Cloud cover           PCldy        MCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      53-58 (+6)   66-71 (-8)   49-54        75-80
RH % (24h trend)      86-91 (-6)   53-58 (+9)   89-94        34-39
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  SW 15 G40                 S  6 G18
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     S 10 G34     SW 12 G37    LGT/VAR      SW  8 G20
Precip type           NONE         tstms        NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     0            50           0            0
Precip duration                    1
Precip begin                       Continuing
Precip end                         Continuing
Precip amount         0.00         0.15         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            4            1            1
LASI                               3                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 6200                      6100
Transport wnd (mph)                SW 26                     S 21
Dispersion                         71 Good                   54 Gen good
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  SW 19 G40                 S  8 G18
33ft wind-PM(mph)     S 13 G34     SW 15 G37    S  5 G15     SW 10 G20

Remarks...None.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 50s to mid 60s. South winds 5 to
10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the 60s to upper 80s. South winds up to
10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the 50s to 60s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the 60s to mid 80s. South winds 5 to 20 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the upper
40s. Highs in the upper 50s to mid 70s. West winds 5 to 20 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the 50s
to mid 70s. Southwest winds up to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the 50s to upper 70s. Southwest
winds up to 10 mph.

$$

TNZ087-102-272030-
Southern Cherokee National Forest-
317 PM EDT Wed Apr 26 2017

                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Fri

Cloud cover           PCldy        MCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      54-59 (+5)   69-74 (-8)   50-55        78-83
RH % (24h trend)      91-96 (+1)   52-57 (+10)  95-100       42-47
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  S  9 G27                  S  7 G17
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     S  7 G25     SW  9 G27    LGT/VAR      S  9 G20
Precip type           tstms        tstms        NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     40           60           0            0
Precip duration       1            2
Precip begin          2 AM         Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   8 PM
Precip amount         0.02         0.12         0.00         0.00
LAL                   3            4            1            1
LASI                               3                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 5100                      5800
Transport wnd (mph)                SW 22                     S 23
Dispersion                         57 Gen good               73 Good
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  S 12 G27                  S  8 G17
33ft wind-PM(mph)     S 10 G25     SW 11 G27    S  5         S 11 G20

Remarks...None.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s to mid 60s. South winds 5 to
10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the 70s to 80s. South winds
5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the 50s to upper 60s. South winds 5 to
10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the upper 60s to mid 80s. South winds 5 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Cooler. Lows in the
upper 40s. Highs in the upper 50s to lower 70s. West winds 5 to
15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the
upper 50s to mid 70s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the 60s to 70s. South winds up to
10 mph.

$$

NCZ060-061-272030-
Nantahala National Forest-
317 PM EDT Wed Apr 26 2017

                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Fri

CLOUD COVER           PCldy        MCldy        PCldy        PCldy
TEMP (24H TREND)      52-57 (+4)   69-74 (-7)   48-53        77-82
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+5)  55-60 (+12)  95-100       45-50
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  6 G22                 S  6
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5 G15    W  7 G22     LGT/VAR      S  8 G18
PRECIP TYPE           tstms        tstms        tstms        tstms
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           50           20           20
PRECIP DURATION       1            2            1            1
PRECIP BEGIN          2 AM         Continuing   Continuing   5 PM
PRECIP END            Continuing   Continuing   11 PM        Continuing
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.15         0.01         0.01
LAL                   3            4            3            2
LASI                               3                         4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5400                      5900
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 20                     S 21
DISPERSION                         54 Gen good               67 Good
MAX LVORI                          4                         4
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  7 G22                 S  7
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6 G15    W  9 G22     LGT/VAR      S 10 G18

Remarks...None.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s to lower 60s. South winds less
than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the 70s to 80s. South winds up to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s to mid 60s. Southeast winds
5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Highs in
the upper 60s to lower 80s. South winds 5 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the upper
40s. Highs in the 60s to lower 70s. West winds 5 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the
lower 60s to mid 70s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the mid 60s to upper 70s. South
winds less than 10 mph.

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-272030-
East Tennessee District East-
317 PM EDT Wed Apr 26 2017

                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Fri

Cloud cover           MClear       PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      54-59 (+5)   73-78 (-5)   50-55        82-87
RH % (24h trend)      88-93 (-4)   44-49 (+2)   95-100       33-38
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  SW  6 G20                 LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      SW 10 G25    LGT/VAR      SW  6
Precip type           NONE         tstms        NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     0            50           0            0
Precip duration                    1
Precip begin                       8 AM
Precip end                         Continuing
Precip amount         0.00         0.12         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            3            1            1
LASI                               3                         5
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 6100                      6400
Transport wnd (mph)                SW 24                     S 16
Dispersion                         97 Good                   67 Good
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  SW  7 G20                 LGT/VAR
33ft wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      SW 12 G25    S  5         SW  7

Remarks...None.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s to mid 60s. South winds less
than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 70s to upper 80s. South winds up
to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the 50s to upper 60s.
Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the 70s to 80s. South winds up to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows around 50. Highs
in the 60s to mid 70s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the
lower 60s to mid 70s. Southwest winds up to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the mid 60s to upper 70s. South
winds less than 10 mph.

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-272030-
East Tennessee District West-
317 PM EDT Wed Apr 26 2017

                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Fri

Cloud cover           PCldy        PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      58-63 (+7)   72-77 (-5)   51-56        80-85
RH % (24h trend)      79-84 (-8)   47-52 (+4)   94-99        38-43
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  SW 10 G26                 LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     S  5 G21     SW 10 G27    LGT/VAR      S  9 G22
Precip type           tstms        tstms        NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     30           50           0            0
Precip duration       1            1
Precip begin          2 AM         Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   8 PM
Precip amount         0.03         0.10         0.00         0.00
LAL                   3            4            1            1
LASI                               3                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 5600                      5800
Transport wnd (mph)                SW 24                     S 22
Dispersion                         90 Good                   88 Good
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  SW 13 G26                 S  6
33ft wind-PM(mph)     S  7 G21     SW 13 G27    LGT/VAR      S 11 G22

Remarks...None.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower to mid 60s. South winds up to
10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the 70s to upper 80s. South
winds up to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the 60s. South winds
less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the upper 70s to mid 80s. South winds 5 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Cooler. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the lower 60s to mid 70s.
Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the mid
60s to upper 70s. Southwest winds up to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the upper 60s to lower 80s.
Southwest winds less than 10 mph.

$$

TNZ077-079>085-097>101-272030-
Cumberland District South-
317 PM EDT Wed Apr 26 2017 /217 PM CDT Wed Apr 26 2017/

                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Fri

Cloud cover           PCldy        PCldy        MClear       PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      60-65 (+8)   72-77 (-5)   51-56        81-86
RH % (24h trend)      82-87 (-4)   47-52 (+6)   95-100       45-50
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  S 10 G25                  S  5 G16
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     S  8 G23     SW 10 G25    LGT/VAR      S  9 G22
Precip type           tstms        tstms        NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     50           60           0            0
Precip duration       1            2
Precip begin          2 AM         Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   8 PM
Precip amount         0.17         0.07         0.00         0.00
LAL                   4            4            1            1
LASI                               3                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 5500                      5500
Transport wnd (mph)                SW 18                     S 23
Dispersion                         69 Good                   88 Good
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  S 12 G25                  S  7 G16
33ft wind-PM(mph)     S  9 G23     SW 12 G25    LGT/VAR      S 12 G22

Remarks...None.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower to mid 60s. South winds 5 to
10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the 80s. South winds 5 to
10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the 60s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Showers and chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the upper
70s to mid 80s. South winds 5 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Cooler. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the 60s to lower 70s.
West winds up to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the 60s to
upper 70s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the 70s to lower 80s. South winds
up to 10 mph.

$$



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