Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN

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000
FNUS54 KMRX 112033
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
333 PM EST THU FEB 11 2016

.DISCUSSION...
A WEAK UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM AND COLD FRONT WILL MOVE
ACROSS THE AREA TOMORROW...PRODUCING A CHANCE OF SNOW AND RAIN.
ARCTIC AIR WILL MOVE BACK INTO THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS THIS
WEEKEND...PROVIDING WELL BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-122145-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
333 PM EST THU FEB 11 2016

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      17-22 (+8)   30-35 (+1)   9-14         16-21
RH % (24H TREND)      91-96 (+5)   64-69 (+31)  95-100       41-46
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   NW  9 G19
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  7         W 10 G19     NW  8 G16
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         SNOW         SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           70           60           20
PRECIP DURATION       1            3            2            1
PRECIP BEGIN          4 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   11 AM
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.12         0.05         0.01
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               3                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3600                      6300
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 12                      NW 22
DISPERSION                         36 FAIR                   122 VERY GOOD
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   NW 12 G23
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  9 G18     W 12 G23     NW 10 G21

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 3 TO 11. NORTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. LIGHT
WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...SNOW LIKELY. NOT AS COLD. LOWS 18 TO 25. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...SNOW AND RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 30S. SOUTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S. HIGHS NEAR 40. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-122145-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
333 PM EST THU FEB 11 2016

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      17-22 (+9)   30-35 (0)    12-17        16-21
RH % (24H TREND)      94-99 (+11)  64-69 (+17)  87-92        42-47
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   NW 14 G27
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  8 G20     NW 14 G26    NW 11 G22
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         SNOW         SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           70           60           0
PRECIP DURATION       1            3            2
PRECIP BEGIN          4 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.11         0.07         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               3                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5400                      6400
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 12                      NW 28
DISPERSION                         52 GEN GOOD               152 VERY GOOD
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  5                      NW 17 G34
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W 11 G25     NW 17 G32    NW 14 G27

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 3 TO 12. NORTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. LIGHT
WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS 17 TO 25.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...SNOW AND RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 30S. SOUTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND RAIN. LOWS IN THE
MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ072-074-122145-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
333 PM EST THU FEB 11 2016

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      20-25 (+8)   34-39 (-3)   14-19        18-23
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+9)  56-61 (+13)  88-93        35-40
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   N 11 G23
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  7         NW 10 G21    N  8 G18
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         SNOW/RAIN    SNOW SHOWERS NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           40           30           0
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1
PRECIP BEGIN          4 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 AM
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.06         0.04         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               3                         4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5700                      5700
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 12                      N 23
DISPERSION                         56 GEN GOOD               115 VERY GOOD
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  5                     N 14 G28
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  8 G16     NW 13 G27    N 11 G23

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 5 TO 15. EAST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S. LIGHT WINDS
BECOMING SOUTHEAST LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...SNOW LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 20S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...SNOW AND RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ087-102-122145-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
333 PM EST THU FEB 11 2016

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR
TEMP (24H TREND)      23-28 (+6)   43-48 (+4)   18-23        26-31
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+13) 43-48 (+3)   74-79        26-31
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   N 10 G19
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  6         NW  8 G15    N  8 G16
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SNOW/RAIN    SNOW SHOWERS NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           10           0
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1
PRECIP BEGIN                       7 AM         CONTINUING
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   7 AM
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.01         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               3                         5
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4800                      5300
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 10                      N 21
DISPERSION                         44 GEN GOOD               94 GOOD
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   N 13 G24
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  8         NW 10 G19    N  9 G20

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 11 TO 17. NORTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...SNOW LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...RAIN AND SNOW LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SNOW. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

NCZ060-061-122145-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
333 PM EST THU FEB 11 2016

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR
TEMP (24H TREND)      23-28 (+6)   44-49 (+5)   19-24        28-33
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+16) 41-46 (+3)   71-76        23-28
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   N  9 G17
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  7         NW  9 G18    N  8 G16
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SNOW/RAIN    SNOW SHOWERS NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           10           0
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1
PRECIP BEGIN                       7 AM         CONTINUING
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   1 AM
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.01         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               3                         5
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4800                      5400
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  9                      N 21
DISPERSION                         40 FAIR                   97 GOOD
MAX LVORI                          4                         2
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   N 12 G21
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  9 G16     NW 11 G22    N 10 G20

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 11 TO 17. NORTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE 20S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...RAIN AND SNOW LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER
40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS AROUND
30. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-122145-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
333 PM EST THU FEB 11 2016

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      20-25 (+6)   32-37 (-1)   14-19        21-26
RH % (24H TREND)      93-98 (+14)  59-64 (+19)  80-85        36-41
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   NW  8 G17
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  7         W  9 G18     NW  7 G15
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         SNOW         SNOW SHOWERS NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           70           30           0
PRECIP DURATION       1            2            1
PRECIP BEGIN          4 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 AM
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.09         0.03         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               3                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3800                      6000
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 14                      NW 21
DISPERSION                         47 GEN GOOD               108 VERY GOOD
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   NW 10 G21
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  9 G17     W 11 G22     NW  9 G19

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 5 TO 14. NORTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. LIGHT
WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS 19 TO 27. SOUTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...SNOW AND RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 30S. SOUTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS AROUND
30. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO
LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-122145-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
333 PM EST THU FEB 11 2016

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      22-27 (+6)   36-41 (-2)   15-20        23-28
RH % (24H TREND)      92-97 (+10)  49-54 (+13)  77-82        28-33
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   N  8 G15
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  6         NW  7        N  5
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         SNOW/RAIN    SNOW SHOWERS NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           60           20           0
PRECIP DURATION       1            2            1
PRECIP BEGIN          4 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   1 AM
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.04         0.01         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               3                         4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4100                      5500
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 13                      N 18
DISPERSION                         47 GEN GOOD               85 GOOD
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   N 10 G19
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  7         NW  8 G17    N  7 G15

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 8 TO 17. NORTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...SNOW LIKELY. NOT AS COLD. LOWS IN THE 20S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...SNOW AND RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 30S.
WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS AROUND
30. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-122145-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
333 PM EST THU FEB 11 2016 /233 PM CST THU FEB 11 2016/

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR
TEMP (24H TREND)      24-29 (+6)   42-47 (+1)   17-22        27-32
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+15) 41-46 (+4)   67-72        22-27
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   N 11 G20
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  6        NW  7        N  7 G15
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0
PRECIP DURATION
PRECIP BEGIN
PRECIP END
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               3                         4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4400                      4900
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 13                      N 20
DISPERSION                         47 GEN GOOD               85 GOOD
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   N 13 G25
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  7        NW  8 G17    N  9 G19

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 13 TO 20. NORTHEAST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...SNOW LIKELY AND CHANCE OF RAIN. NOT AS COLD. LOWS
IN THE UPPER 20S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...RAIN WITH SNOW LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER
40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$


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