Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN

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000
FNUS54 KMRX 150756
FWFMRX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for East Tennessee...Southwest
Virginia...and Extreme Southwest North Carolina
National Weather Service Morristown TN
256 AM EST Fri Dec 15 2017

.DISCUSSION...
High pressure continues to build into the Southern
Appalachian Region...allowing for a gradual warming trend through
Saturday. The next chance for rain will be Sunday.

VAZ001-002-005-006-008-160900-
Jefferson National Forest/Virginia District 6-
256 AM EST Fri Dec 15 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Sat

Cloud cover           PCldy        MClear       MClear
Temp (24h trend)      35-40 (-4)   22-27 (+1)   44-49
RH % (24h trend)      43-48 (-2)   91-96 (+10)  35-40
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     W  5 G19                  SW  7 G20
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     W 10 G24     W  7 G19     SW  8 G19
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI/Haines           3                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    6000                      4400
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*   3900                      2300
Transport wnd (mph)   W 15                      SW 16
Dispersion            51 Gen good               32 Fair
33ft wind-AM(mph)     W  6 G19                  SW  9 G20
33ft wind-PM(mph)     W 13 G24     W  9 G19     SW 10 G19

Remarks...None.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the 20s to mid 30s. South
winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain. Highs in the mid 40s to
lower 50s. Southwest winds up to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows near 40.
Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Highs in the 50s.
Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the lower
30s. Highs in the 50s. Northwest winds up to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the
40s to lower 50s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
upper 30s. Highs in the mid 40s to upper 50s. South winds less
than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-160900-
Northern Cherokee National Forest-
256 AM EST Fri Dec 15 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Sat

Cloud cover           PCldy        MClear       MClear
Temp (24h trend)      32-37 (-8)   20-25 (0)    44-49
RH % (24h trend)      51-56 (+2)   95-100 (+12) 34-39
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     W  6 G23                  W  6 G17
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     W 11 G28     W 11 G28     W  6 G16
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI/Haines           3                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    5900                      4800
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*   3100                      2000
Transport wnd (mph)   W 17                      W 15
Dispersion            44 Gen good               26 Fair
33ft wind-AM(mph)     W  8 G23                  W  7 G17
33ft wind-PM(mph)     W 15 G28     W 13 G28     W  7 G16

Remarks...None.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 20s to lower 30s.
Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain. Highs in the upper 40s.
Southwest winds up to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Not as cool.
Lows in the lower 40s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Highs in the 50s to
lower 60s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the mid 30s.
Highs in the 50s to lower 60s. Northwest winds up to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the
40s to lower 50s. South winds up to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
mid 30s. Highs in the mid 40s to lower 60s. South winds less than
10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ072-074-160900-
Tennessee Portion Of The Great Smoky Mountain National Park-
256 AM EST Fri Dec 15 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Sat

Cloud cover           PCldy        MClear       Clear
Temp (24h trend)      33-38 (-12)  20-25 (0)    47-52
RH % (24h trend)      44-49 (+2)   95-100 (+21) 26-31
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     W  7 G21                  W  5 G16
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     W  9 G23     W  5 G18     SW  5 G17
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI/Haines           3                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    5500                      5000
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*   2400                      2000
Transport wnd (mph)   W 15                      W 13
Dispersion            27 Fair                   20 Gen poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)     W  9 G21                  W  6 G16
33ft wind-PM(mph)     W 11 G23     W  7 G18     SW  7 G17

Remarks...None.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s to mid
30s. South winds up to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain. Highs in the mid 40s to
lower 50s. South winds 5 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the
lower to mid 40s. Southwest winds up to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Highs in the 50s to
lower 60s. Southwest winds up to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the mid 30s.
Highs in the upper 40s to lower 60s. Northwest winds up to
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the
lower 40s to mid 50s. South winds up to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the upper
30s. Highs in the mid 40s to upper 50s. Southwest winds up to
10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ087-102-160900-
Southern Cherokee National Forest-
256 AM EST Fri Dec 15 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Sat

Cloud cover           PCldy        MClear       Clear
Temp (24h trend)      36-41 (-11)  22-27 (0)    49-54
RH % (24h trend)      43-48 (+3)   91-96 (+11)  26-31
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     NW  7 G18    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI/Haines           3                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    4900                      4400
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*   2900                      2300
Transport wnd (mph)   NW 12                     W  8
Dispersion            28 Fair                   15 Gen poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)     NW  5                     LGT/VAR
33ft wind-PM(mph)     NW  9 G18    LGT/VAR      SW  5

Remarks...None.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s to mid
30s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain. Highs in the lower 50s.
Southeast winds up to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Not as cool.
Lows in the mid 40s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Highs in the mid 50s
to lower 60s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the upper
30s. Highs in the 50s to lower 60s. Northwest winds less than
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the 40s
to mid 50s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows around 40.
Highs in the upper 40s to lower 60s. South winds up to 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

NCZ060-061-160900-
Nantahala National Forest-
256 AM EST Fri Dec 15 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Sat

CLOUD COVER           PCldy        MClear       Clear
TEMP (24H TREND)      38-43 (-9)   20-25 (-2)   49-54
RH % (24H TREND)      44-49 (+2)   95-100 (+12) 26-31
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  7 G19    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0
PRECIP DURATION
PRECIP BEGIN
PRECIP END
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI/Haines           3                         4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5000                      4800
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)*   2800                      2600
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 13                     W  9
DISPERSION            29 Fair                   19 Gen poor
MAX LVORI             4                         5
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  5                     LGT/VAR
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 10 G19    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR

Remarks...None.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 20s to lower
30s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain. Highs in the upper 40s
to mid 50s. Southeast winds up to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Not as cool.
Lows in the lower to mid 40s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Highs in the mid 50s
to lower 60s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the upper
30s. Highs in the mid 50s to lower 60s. Northwest winds less than
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the
upper 40s to mid 50s. East winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the upper
30s. Highs in the 40s to upper 50s. South winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-160900-
East Tennessee District East-
256 AM EST Fri Dec 15 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Sat

Cloud cover           PCldy        MClear       MClear
Temp (24h trend)      37-42 (-8)   22-27 (0)    47-52
RH % (24h trend)      41-46 (-1)   95-100 (+16) 36-41
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     W  6 G21                  SW  5 G15
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     W 10 G25     W  6 G17     SW  6 G15
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI/Haines           3                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    5600                      4200
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*   4100                      2700
Transport wnd (mph)   W 15                      W 13
Dispersion            53 Gen good               29 Fair
33ft wind-AM(mph)     W  8 G21                  SW  6 G15
33ft wind-PM(mph)     W 13 G25     W  8 G17     SW  7 G15

Remarks...None.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 20s to lower 30s.
Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain. Highs in the mid 40s to
lower 50s. East winds less than 10 mph shifting to the south in
the afternoon.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the
upper 30s to mid 40s. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Highs in the 50s to
lower 60s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the mid 30s.
Highs in the 50s to lower 60s. Northwest winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the
40s to lower 50s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
upper 30s. Highs in the upper 40s to lower 60s. South winds less
than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-160900-
East Tennessee District West-
256 AM EST Fri Dec 15 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Sat

Cloud cover           PCldy        MClear       Clear
Temp (24h trend)      37-42 (-7)   23-28 (0)    48-53
RH % (24h trend)      39-44 (-3)   87-92 (+10)  33-38
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     W  5 G17                  S  5
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     W  7 G18     LGT/VAR      SW  6
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI/Haines           3                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    5000                      4100
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*   3700                      2900
Transport wnd (mph)   W 12                      SW 12
Dispersion            39 Fair                   29 Fair
33ft wind-AM(mph)     W  7 G17                  S  6
33ft wind-PM(mph)     W  9 G18     LGT/VAR      SW  8

Remarks...None.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s to mid
30s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain. Highs in the mid 40s to
lower 50s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the 30s
to upper 40s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Highs in the mid 50s
to lower 60s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the mid 30s.
Highs in the mid 50s to lower 60s. Northwest winds less than
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the 40s
to mid 50s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows around
40. Highs in the 50s. Southwest winds up to 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ077-079>085-097>101-160900-
Cumberland District South-
256 AM EST Fri Dec 15 2017 /156 AM CST Fri Dec 15 2017/

                      Today        Tonight      Sat

Cloud cover           PCldy        MClear       MClear
Temp (24h trend)      38-43 (-9)   24-29 (0)    49-54
RH % (24h trend)      40-45 (-2)   84-89 (+7)   33-38
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     NW  7 G20                 LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     NW  7 G19    LGT/VAR      S  5
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI/Haines           3                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    4500                      3800
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*   3300                      2600
Transport wnd (mph)   NW 12                     SW  9
Dispersion            32 Fair                   20 Gen poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)     NW  8 G20                 S  5
33ft wind-PM(mph)     NW  9 G19    LGT/VAR      S  6

Remarks...None.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the 20s to upper 30s.
Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Cloudy. Chance of rain. Highs in the mid 40s to lower
50s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the
40s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Warmer. Highs near
60. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the upper
30s. Highs near 60. Northwest winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the 50s.
Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the lower
40s. Highs in the 50s to lower 60s. South winds up to 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$


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