Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Phoenix, AZ

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6
000
FNUS55 KPSR 272045
FWFPSR

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southwest and South-Central
Arizona and Southeast California
National Weather Service Phoenix AZ
145 PM MST Thu Jul 27 2017

.DISCUSSION...

Thunderstorms return to the forecast with the mountains in Gila
County seeing good chances at seeing storms the next few days.
Lower desert locations throughout Arizona, and even somewhat into
southeast California, will also see improved chances for
thunderstorms. The increase in moisture will allow temperatures to
drop while keep minimum relative humidities above 15 percent with
good overnight recoveries. Winds will stay relatively light while
favoring typical diurnal tendencies.

...Thunderstorms imply gusty winds...

Note...Additional Fire Weather Forecast information can be found
in the Area Forecast Discussion. See product PHXAFDPSR.

AZZ132-280845-
West Central Deserts/Northwest Maricopa County/Greater Phoenix
Area/Southwest Deserts/Southwest Maricopa County/
Northwest and North-Central Pinal County-
Phoenix BLM/YUM BLM/CAZ-CRZ-
145 PM MST Thu Jul 27 2017

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.....................Partly cloudy. Slight chance of
  showers and thunderstorms after midnight.
* Min Temperature.................81-91.
*    24 hr trend..................Little change.
* Max Humidity....................37-53 pct.
*    24 hr trend..................Little RH change.
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph.
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............East 5 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip................0 percent.
* LAL.............................1 in the evening becoming 2 after
  midnight.

.FRIDAY...
* Sky/weather.....................Partly sunny. Slight chance of
  showers and thunderstorms.
* Max Temperature.................99-106.
*    24 hr trend..................4 degrees cooler.
* Min Humidity....................22-28 pct.
*    24 hr trend..................7 pct wetter.
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph.
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............Light and variable.
* Chance of Precip................0 percent.
* LAL.............................2.
* Haines High Level Index.........3 or very low potential for large
  plume dominated fire growth.
* Mixing Height for Phoenix.......8100 ft AGL.
* Transport Wind for Phoenix......West 5 knots.
* Dispersion for Phoenix..........Good.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.....................Partly cloudy. Slight chance of
  showers and thunderstorms .
* Min Temperature.................79-89.
*    24 hr trend..................Little change.
* Max Humidity....................46-62 pct.
*    24 hr trend..................10 pct wetter.
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph.
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............North 5 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip................20 percent.
* LAL.............................2.

.SATURDAY...
* Sky/weather.....................Partly sunny. Slight chance of
  showers and thunderstorms.
* Max Temperature.................95-102.
*    24 hr trend..................4 degrees cooler.
* Min Humidity....................26-35 pct.
*    24 hr trend..................5 pct wetter.
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph.
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............Light and variable in the morning
  becoming northwest 5 to 15 mph in the afternoon.
* Chance of Precip................20 percent.
* LAL.............................2.
* Haines High Level Index.........3 or very low potential for large
  plume dominated fire growth.
* Mixing Height for Phoenix.......8700 ft AGL.
* Transport Wind for Phoenix......West 8 knots.
* Dispersion for Phoenix..........Good.


.EXTENDED...
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy with slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 77-87. Highs 94-101. Southwest winds 5 to
15 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy with slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 78-88. Highs 98-104. Southwest winds 5 to
15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy with slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 79-89. Highs 101-107. Southwest winds 5 to
15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy with slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 80-90. Highs 101-107.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear with slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 80-90. Highs 101-107.

$$

AZZ133-280845-
Southern Gila County/Tonto National Forest Foothills-
Southern Tonto NF/West San Carlos BIA/South Portion Ft Apache BIA/
CAZ-
145 PM MST Thu Jul 27 2017

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.....................Partly cloudy in the evening
  becoming mostly cloudy after midnight. Chance of thunderstorms in
  the evening. chance of showers . slight chance of thunderstorms
  after midnight.
* Min Temperature.................64-81.
*    24 hr trend..................Little change.
* Max Humidity....................53-81 pct.
*    24 hr trend..................6 pct wetter.
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..North 5 to 10 mph in the evening
  becoming southeast after midnight.
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............Northwest 10 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip................30 percent.
* LAL.............................3 in the evening becoming 2 after
  midnight.

.FRIDAY...
* Sky/weather.....................Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of
  showers and thunderstorms in the morning becoming chance of
  showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
* Max Temperature.................80-98.
*    24 hr trend..................7 degrees cooler.
* Min Humidity....................30-50 pct.
*    24 hr trend..................9 pct wetter.
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 10 mph in the morning
  becoming west in the afternoon.
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............Light and variable in the morning
  becoming northwest 5 to 15 mph in the afternoon.
* Chance of Precip................30 percent.
* LAL.............................2 in the morning becoming 3 in
  the afternoon.
* Haines High Level Index.........3 or very low potential for large
  plume dominated fire growth.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.....................Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers
  and thunderstorms.
* Min Temperature.................63-78.
*    24 hr trend..................Little change.
* Max Humidity....................62-84 pct.
*    24 hr trend..................7 pct wetter.
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Northeast 5 to 15 mph.
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............Northwest 10 to 20 mph in the
  evening becoming 20 to 30 mph after midnight.
* Chance of Precip................30 percent.
* LAL.............................3.

.SATURDAY...
* Sky/weather.....................Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers
  and thunderstorms.
* Max Temperature.................78-95.
*    24 hr trend..................3 degrees cooler.
* Min Humidity....................37-56 pct.
*    24 hr trend..................7 pct wetter.
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..West 5 to 15 mph.
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............Northwest 15 to 25 mph.
* Chance of Precip................40 percent.
* LAL.............................3.
* Haines High Level Index.........2 or very low potential for large
  plume dominated fire growth.


.EXTENDED...
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 62-77. Highs 79-95. West winds 5 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 63-78. Highs 83-100. South winds 5 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 63-80. Highs 86-103. Northwest winds 5 to
15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy with slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 64-80. Highs 85-103.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy with slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 63-80. Highs 84-102.

$$

AZZ131-CAZ231-280845-
Yuma/Martinez Lake and Vicinity/Lower Colorado River Valley AZ-
Lower Colorado River Valley CA-
145 PM MST Thu Jul 27 2017 /145 PM PDT Thu Jul 27 2017/

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.....................Mostly clear.
* Min Temperature.................83-88.
*    24 hr trend..................Little change.
* Max Humidity....................35-53 pct.
*    24 hr trend..................3 pct wetter.
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph.
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 5 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip................0 percent.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent.
* LAL.............................1.

.FRIDAY...
* Sky/weather.....................Partly sunny.
* Max Temperature.................103-109.
*    24 hr trend..................3 degrees cooler.
* Min Humidity....................20-26 pct.
*    24 hr trend..................7 pct wetter.
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph.
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 10 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip................0 percent.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent.
* LAL.............................1.
* Haines High Level Index.........3 or very low potential for large
  plume dominated fire growth.
* Mixing Height for Yuma..........9600 ft AGL.
* Transport Wind for Yuma.........South 10 knots.
* Dispersion for Yuma.............Very good.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.....................Partly cloudy. Slight chance of
  showers and thunderstorms after midnight.
* Min Temperature.................83-89.
*    24 hr trend..................Little change.
* Max Humidity....................40-55 pct.
*    24 hr trend..................5 pct wetter.
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph.
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southeast 5 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip................0 percent in the evening becoming
  10 percent after midnight.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent.
* LAL.............................1 in the evening becoming 2 after
  midnight.

.SATURDAY...
* Sky/weather.....................Partly sunny. Slight chance of
  showers and thunderstorms.
* Max Temperature.................100-106.
*    24 hr trend..................3 degrees cooler.
* Min Humidity....................23-28 pct.
*    24 hr trend..................3 pct wetter.
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph.
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............Light and variable.
* Chance of Precip................10 percent.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent.
* LAL.............................2.
* Haines High Level Index.........3 or very low potential for large
  plume dominated fire growth.
* Mixing Height for Yuma..........6400 ft AGL.
* Transport Wind for Yuma.........South 14 knots.
* Dispersion for Yuma.............Very good.


.EXTENDED...
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy with slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 81-87. Highs 100-104. South winds 5 to
15 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy with slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 82-88. Highs 102-106. Southwest winds 5 to
15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear with slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 83-89. Highs 105-109. South winds 5 to
15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 83-89. Highs 104-110.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 83-89. Highs 104-110.

$$

CAZ230-280845-
Joshua Tree National Park-
145 PM PDT Thu Jul 27 2017

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.....................Mostly clear.
* Min Temperature.................71-83.
*    24 hr trend..................Little change.
* Max Humidity....................24-29 pct.
*    24 hr trend..................15 pct drier.
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..West 5 to 15 mph.
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............Light and variable in the evening
  becoming east 5 to 15 mph after midnight.
* Chance of Precip................0 percent.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent.
* LAL.............................1.

.FRIDAY...
* Sky/weather.....................Mostly sunny.
* Max Temperature.................93-106.
*    24 hr trend..................Little change.
* Min Humidity....................15-20 pct.
*    24 hr trend..................Little change.
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph.
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southeast 5 to 15 mph in the
  morning becoming light and variable in the afternoon.
* Chance of Precip................0 percent.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent.
* LAL.............................1.
* Haines High Level Index.........4 or low potential for large
  plume dominated fire growth.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.....................Partly cloudy. Slight chance of
  showers and thunderstorms after midnight.
* Min Temperature.................70-82.
*    24 hr trend..................Little change.
* Max Humidity....................32-37 pct.
*    24 hr trend..................8 pct wetter.
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..West 5 to 15 mph.
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............Light and variable.
* Chance of Precip................0 percent.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent.
* LAL.............................1 in the evening becoming 2 after
  midnight.

.SATURDAY...
* Sky/weather.....................Partly sunny. Slight chance of
  showers and thunderstorms .
* Max Temperature.................91-104.
*    24 hr trend..................Little change.
* Min Humidity....................18-23 pct.
*    24 hr trend..................Little RH change.
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph.
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 5 to 15 mph in the morning
  becoming light and variable in the afternoon.
* Chance of Precip................10 percent.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent.
* LAL.............................2.
* Haines High Level Index.........3 or very low potential for large
  plume dominated fire growth.


.EXTENDED...
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy with slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 70-82. Highs 90-102. Southwest winds 5 to
15 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy with slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 71-82. Highs 90-103. West winds 5 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy with slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 72-85. Highs 93-105. West winds 5 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy with slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 72-85. Highs 92-105.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 72-85. Highs 92-105.

$$

CAZ232-280845-
Imperial County And Eastern Riverside County-
145 PM PDT Thu Jul 27 2017

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.....................Mostly clear.
* Min Temperature.................80-87.
*    24 hr trend..................Little change.
* Max Humidity....................27-55 pct.
*    24 hr trend..................4 pct drier.
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..West 5 to 15 mph.
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............Light and variable.
* Chance of Precip................0 percent.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent.
* LAL.............................1.

.FRIDAY...
* Sky/weather.....................Mostly sunny.
* Max Temperature.................99-110.
*    24 hr trend..................Little change.
* Min Humidity....................17-25 pct.
*    24 hr trend..................4 pct wetter.
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph.
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 10 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip................0 percent.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent.
* LAL.............................1.
* Haines High Level Index.........4 or low potential for large
  plume dominated fire growth.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.....................Partly cloudy. Slight chance of
  showers and thunderstorms after midnight.
* Min Temperature.................80-87.
*    24 hr trend..................Little change.
* Max Humidity....................35-60 pct.
*    24 hr trend..................7 pct wetter.
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph.
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 5 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip................0 percent.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent.
* LAL.............................1 in the evening becoming 2 after
  midnight.

.SATURDAY...
* Sky/weather.....................Partly sunny. Slight chance of
  showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
* Max Temperature.................97-107.
*    24 hr trend..................Little change.
* Min Humidity....................20-28 pct.
*    24 hr trend..................3 pct wetter.
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph.
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 5 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip................0 percent in the morning becoming
  10 percent in the afternoon.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent.
* LAL.............................1 in the morning becoming 2 in
  the afternoon.
* Haines High Level Index.........3 or very low potential for large
  plume dominated fire growth.


.EXTENDED...
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy with slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 78-86. Highs 96-106. South winds 5 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy with slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 79-87. Highs 97-107. Southwest winds 5 to
15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear with slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 81-89. Highs 99-109. Southwest winds 5 to
15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear with slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 81-89. Highs 99-110.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 81-89. Highs 99-110.

$$

.8 TO 10 DAY OUTLOOK...Friday August 4th through Sunday August
6th: Above normal temperatures and above median precipitation.



USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.