Land Management Forecasts
Issued by NWS Los Angeles, CA

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ECCDA Discussions
National Weather Service Los Angeles/Oxnard CA
342 PM PDT Sat Oct 21 2017

ECC029-221645-
Los Padres National Forest-
Discussion for Vandenberg ECC Dispatch
342 PM PDT Sat Oct 21 2017

...Discussion from Los Angeles/Oxnard...

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM PDT SUNDAY FOR THE SANTA
BARBARA COUNTY MOUNTAINS DUE TO GUSTY NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS AND
LOW HUMIDITIES...

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM PDT TUESDAY FOR THE LOS
ANGELES AND VENTURA COUNTY MOUNTAINS AND SANTA CLARITA VALLEY DUE TO
GUSTY NORTHEAST WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITIES...

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM PDT SUNDAY UNTIL 6 PM PDT
TUESDAY FOR REMAINING COASTAL AND VALLEY AREAS OF LOS ANGELES AND
VENTURA COUNTIES DUE TO GUSTY NORTHEAST WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITIES...

...ELEVATED FIRE DANGER FOR MUCH OF SAN LUIS OBISPO AND SANTA
BARBARA COUNTIES THROUGH MONDAY DUE TO GUSTY NORTH TO NORTHEAST
WINDS AND LOWERING HUMIDITIES...

Gusty north to northeast winds and a drying trend will continue to
bring elevated fire danger to much of the region this afternoon
through tonight. The strongest winds during this period will  remain
focused across the mountains and Santa Clarita Valley,  where a Red
Flag Warning is already in effect. Brief critical fire weather
conditions will also be possible this afternoon and  tonight across
the valleys of Los Angeles and Ventura counties as  well as the
Santa Monica Mountains and Santa Barbara south coast.

From Sunday through Tuesday, a prolonged duration of gusty Santa Ana
winds with hot and very dry conditions is expected. Northeast winds
are expected to gust between 30 and 45 mph across wind favored
passes and canyons of Los Angeles and Ventura counties on Sunday.
The Santa Ana winds are expected to increase in areal coverage and
intensity Monday into Tuesday, with peak gusts between 45 and 60 mph
on Tuesday across wind favored passes and canyons. The hottest and
driest conditions are also expected on Monday and Tuesday, when
triple digit heat and humidities lowering into single digits and
lower teens will be common across coastal and valley areas.
Northeast winds gusting between 30 and 40 mph will also bring
elevated fire weather concerns to portions of the Central Coast and
higher terrain in San Luis Obispo County through Monday, however
humidities will not be sufficiently low to warrant Red Flag
Warnings.

Very warm and dry conditions during the overnight hours in the
mountains, foothills, and wind prone areas will add to the fire
weather threat. A Red Flag Warning is in effect Sunday through
Tuesday for much of Los Angeles and Ventura counties. The duration,
strength, and widespread nature of this Santa Ana wind event
combined with extreme heat will bring dangerous fire weather
conditions to Southwest California Sunday through Tuesday. If fire
ignition occurs, there will be the potential for very rapid spread
of wildfire with long range spotting and extreme fire behavior that
could lead to a threat to life and property.


...Discussion from Monterey...

...LOCALLY MODERATE AND GUSTY OFFSHORE WINDS IN THE HILLS  THROUGH
TUESDAY MORNING...ESPECIALLY SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY  MORNING...

...WARM AND VERY DRY FOR THE FIRST HALF OF NEXT WEEK...

A warming and drying trend will continue across the district into
early next week, especially Sunday night and Monday as moderate
offshore flow develops. North to northeast winds will increase in
the hills Sunday night and become gusty by late  Sunday night and
Monday morning, mainly at the higher elevations  of the North Bay
but also locally in the East Bay Hills and Santa Cruz Mountains.
Expect poor overnight humidity recoveries both  Sunday night and
Monday night. Another round of breezy conditions is forecast for the
North Bay Hills on Monday night/Tuesday  morning. Although winds on
Monday night are not expected to be as strong as Sunday night, fuels
will be drier by then.

Note : All winds are 20-foot Winds Unless otherwise specified.
Thunderstorms imply strong, gusty and erratic winds.



$$

ECC028-221645-
Santa Barbara County excluding Los Padres National Forest-
Discussion for Santa Barbara ECC Dispatch
342 PM PDT Sat Oct 21 2017

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM PDT SUNDAY FOR THE SANTA
BARBARA COUNTY MOUNTAINS DUE TO GUSTY NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS AND
LOW HUMIDITIES...

...ELEVATED FIRE DANGER FOR MUCH OF SAN LUIS Obispo AND SANTA
BARBARA COUNTIES THROUGH MONDAY DUE TO GUSTY NORTH TO NORTHEAST
WINDS AND LOWERING HUMIDITIES...

Gusty north to northeast winds and a drying trend will continue to
bring elevated fire danger to much of the region this afternoon
through tonight. The strongest winds during this period will  remain
focused across the mountains and Santa Clarita Valley,  where a Red
Flag Warning is already in effect. Brief critical fire weather
conditions will also be possible this afternoon and  tonight across
the valleys of Los Angeles and Ventura counties as  well as the
Santa Monica Mountains and Santa Barbara south coast.

From Sunday through Tuesday, a prolonged duration of gusty Santa Ana
winds with hot and very dry conditions is expected. Northeast winds
are expected to gust between 30 and 45 mph across wind favored
passes and canyons of Los Angeles and Ventura counties on Sunday.
The Santa Ana winds are expected to increase in areal coverage and
intensity Monday into Tuesday, with peak gusts between 45 and 60 mph
on Tuesday across wind favored passes and canyons. The hottest and
driest conditions are also expected on Monday and Tuesday, when
triple digit heat and humidities lowering into single digits and
lower teens will be common across coastal and valley areas.
Northeast winds gusting between 30 and 40 mph will also bring
elevated fire weather concerns to portions of the Central Coast and
higher terrain in San Luis Obispo County through Monday, however
humidities will not be sufficiently low to warrant Red Flag
Warnings.

Very warm and dry conditions during the overnight hours in the
mountains, foothills, and wind prone areas will add to the fire
weather threat. A Red Flag Warning is in effect Sunday through
Tuesday for much of Los Angeles and Ventura counties. The duration,
strength, and widespread nature of this Santa Ana wind event
combined with extreme heat will bring dangerous fire weather
conditions to Southwest California Sunday through Tuesday. If fire
ignition occurs, there will be the potential for very rapid spread
of wildfire with long range spotting and extreme fire behavior that
could lead to a threat to life and property.


$$

ECC031-221645-
Angeles National Forest-
Discussion for Lancaster ECC Dispatch
342 PM PDT Sat Oct 21 2017

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM PDT TUESDAY FOR THE LOS
ANGELES AND VENTURA COUNTY MOUNTAINS AND SANTA CLARITA VALLEY DUE TO
GUSTY NORTHEAST WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITIES...

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM PDT SUNDAY UNTIL 6 PM PDT
TUESDAY FOR REMAINING COASTAL AND VALLEY AREAS OF LOS ANGELES AND
VENTURA COUNTIES DUE TO GUSTY NORTHEAST WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITIES...

Gusty north to northeast winds and a drying trend will continue to
bring elevated fire danger to much of the region this afternoon
through tonight. The strongest winds during this period will  remain
focused across the mountains and Santa Clarita Valley,  where a Red
Flag Warning is already in effect. Brief critical fire weather
conditions will also be possible this afternoon and  tonight across
the valleys of Los Angeles and Ventura counties as  well as the
Santa Monica Mountains and Santa Barbara south coast.

From Sunday through Tuesday, a prolonged duration of gusty Santa Ana
winds with hot and very dry conditions is expected. Northeast winds
are expected to gust between 30 and 45 mph across wind favored
passes and canyons of Los Angeles and Ventura counties on Sunday.
The Santa Ana winds are expected to increase in areal coverage and
intensity Monday into Tuesday, with peak gusts between 45 and 60 mph
on Tuesday across wind favored passes and canyons. The hottest and
driest conditions are also expected on Monday and Tuesday, when
triple digit heat and humidities lowering into single digits and
lower teens will be common across coastal and valley areas.
Northeast winds gusting between 30 and 40 mph will also bring
elevated fire weather concerns to portions of the Central Coast and
higher terrain in San Luis Obispo County through Monday, however
humidities will not be sufficiently low to warrant Red Flag
Warnings.

Very warm and dry conditions during the overnight hours in the
mountains, foothills, and wind prone areas will add to the fire
weather threat. A Red Flag Warning is in effect Sunday through
Tuesday for much of Los Angeles and Ventura counties. The duration,
strength, and widespread nature of this Santa Ana wind event
combined with extreme heat will bring dangerous fire weather
conditions to Southwest California Sunday through Tuesday. If fire
ignition occurs, there will be the potential for very rapid spread
of wildfire with long range spotting and extreme fire behavior that
could lead to a threat to life and property.


$$

ECC024-221645-
San Luis Obispo County-
Discussion for San Luis Obispo ECC Dispatch
342 PM PDT Sat Oct 21 2017

...ELEVATED FIRE DANGER FOR MUCH OF SAN LUIS Obispo AND SANTA
BARBARA COUNTIES THROUGH MONDAY DUE TO GUSTY NORTH TO NORTHEAST
WINDS AND LOWERING HUMIDITIES...

Gusty north to northeast winds and a drying trend will continue to
bring elevated fire danger to much of the region this afternoon
through tonight. The strongest winds during this period will  remain
focused across the mountains and Santa Clarita Valley,  where a Red
Flag Warning is already in effect. Brief critical fire weather
conditions will also be possible this afternoon and  tonight across
the valleys of Los Angeles and Ventura counties as  well as the
Santa Monica Mountains and Santa Barbara south coast.

From Sunday through Tuesday, a prolonged duration of gusty Santa Ana
winds with hot and very dry conditions is expected. Northeast winds
are expected to gust between 30 and 45 mph across wind favored
passes and canyons of Los Angeles and Ventura counties on Sunday.
The Santa Ana winds are expected to increase in areal coverage and
intensity Monday into Tuesday, with peak gusts between 45 and 60 mph
on Tuesday across wind favored passes and canyons. The hottest and
driest conditions are also expected on Monday and Tuesday, when
triple digit heat and humidities lowering into single digits and
lower teens will be common across coastal and valley areas.
Northeast winds gusting between 30 and 40 mph will also bring
elevated fire weather concerns to portions of the Central Coast and
higher terrain in San Luis Obispo County through Monday, however
humidities will not be sufficiently low to warrant Red Flag
Warnings.

Very warm and dry conditions during the overnight hours in the
mountains, foothills, and wind prone areas will add to the fire
weather threat. A Red Flag Warning is in effect Sunday through
Tuesday for much of Los Angeles and Ventura counties. The duration,
strength, and widespread nature of this Santa Ana wind event
combined with extreme heat will bring dangerous fire weather
conditions to Southwest California Sunday through Tuesday. If fire
ignition occurs, there will be the potential for very rapid spread
of wildfire with long range spotting and extreme fire behavior that
could lead to a threat to life and property.


$$

ECC032-221645-
Ventura County excluding Los Padres National Forest-
Discussion for Ventura ECC Dispatch
342 PM PDT Sat Oct 21 2017

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM PDT TUESDAY FOR THE LOS
ANGELES AND VENTURA COUNTY MOUNTAINS AND SANTA CLARITA VALLEY DUE TO
GUSTY NORTHEAST WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITIES...

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM PDT SUNDAY UNTIL 6 PM PDT
TUESDAY FOR REMAINING COASTAL AND VALLEY AREAS OF LOS ANGELES AND
VENTURA COUNTIES DUE TO GUSTY NORTHEAST WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITIES...

Gusty north to northeast winds and a drying trend will continue to
bring elevated fire danger to much of the region this afternoon
through tonight. The strongest winds during this period will  remain
focused across the mountains and Santa Clarita Valley,  where a Red
Flag Warning is already in effect. Brief critical fire weather
conditions will also be possible this afternoon and  tonight across
the valleys of Los Angeles and Ventura counties as  well as the
Santa Monica Mountains and Santa Barbara south coast.

From Sunday through Tuesday, a prolonged duration of gusty Santa Ana
winds with hot and very dry conditions is expected. Northeast winds
are expected to gust between 30 and 45 mph across wind favored
passes and canyons of Los Angeles and Ventura counties on Sunday.
The Santa Ana winds are expected to increase in areal coverage and
intensity Monday into Tuesday, with peak gusts between 45 and 60 mph
on Tuesday across wind favored passes and canyons. The hottest and
driest conditions are also expected on Monday and Tuesday, when
triple digit heat and humidities lowering into single digits and
lower teens will be common across coastal and valley areas.
Northeast winds gusting between 30 and 40 mph will also bring
elevated fire weather concerns to portions of the Central Coast and
higher terrain in San Luis Obispo County through Monday, however
humidities will not be sufficiently low to warrant Red Flag
Warnings.

Very warm and dry conditions during the overnight hours in the
mountains, foothills, and wind prone areas will add to the fire
weather threat. A Red Flag Warning is in effect Sunday through
Tuesday for much of Los Angeles and Ventura counties. The duration,
strength, and widespread nature of this Santa Ana wind event
combined with extreme heat will bring dangerous fire weather
conditions to Southwest California Sunday through Tuesday. If fire
ignition occurs, there will be the potential for very rapid spread
of wildfire with long range spotting and extreme fire behavior that
could lead to a threat to life and property.


$$

ECC030-221645-
Los Angeles County excluding Angeles National Forest-
Discussion for Los Angeles ECC Dispatch
342 PM PDT Sat Oct 21 2017

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM PDT TUESDAY FOR THE LOS
ANGELES AND VENTURA COUNTY MOUNTAINS AND SANTA CLARITA VALLEY DUE TO
GUSTY NORTHEAST WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITIES...

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM PDT SUNDAY UNTIL 6 PM PDT
TUESDAY FOR REMAINING COASTAL AND VALLEY AREAS OF LOS ANGELES AND
VENTURA COUNTIES DUE TO GUSTY NORTHEAST WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITIES...

Gusty north to northeast winds and a drying trend will continue to
bring elevated fire danger to much of the region this afternoon
through tonight. The strongest winds during this period will  remain
focused across the mountains and Santa Clarita Valley,  where a Red
Flag Warning is already in effect. Brief critical fire weather
conditions will also be possible this afternoon and  tonight across
the valleys of Los Angeles and Ventura counties as  well as the
Santa Monica Mountains and Santa Barbara south coast.

From Sunday through Tuesday, a prolonged duration of gusty Santa Ana
winds with hot and very dry conditions is expected. Northeast winds
are expected to gust between 30 and 45 mph across wind favored
passes and canyons of Los Angeles and Ventura counties on Sunday.
The Santa Ana winds are expected to increase in areal coverage and
intensity Monday into Tuesday, with peak gusts between 45 and 60 mph
on Tuesday across wind favored passes and canyons. The hottest and
driest conditions are also expected on Monday and Tuesday, when
triple digit heat and humidities lowering into single digits and
lower teens will be common across coastal and valley areas.
Northeast winds gusting between 30 and 40 mph will also bring
elevated fire weather concerns to portions of the Central Coast and
higher terrain in San Luis Obispo County through Monday, however
humidities will not be sufficiently low to warrant Red Flag
Warnings.

Very warm and dry conditions during the overnight hours in the
mountains, foothills, and wind prone areas will add to the fire
weather threat. A Red Flag Warning is in effect Sunday through
Tuesday for much of Los Angeles and Ventura counties. The duration,
strength, and widespread nature of this Santa Ana wind event
combined with extreme heat will bring dangerous fire weather
conditions to Southwest California Sunday through Tuesday. If fire
ignition occurs, there will be the potential for very rapid spread
of wildfire with long range spotting and extreme fire behavior that
could lead to a threat to life and property.


$$



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