Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Albuquerque, NM

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146
FNUS75 KABQ 291659
FWSABQ

SPOT FORECAST FOR VIRGIN...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
1059 AM MDT FRI JUL 29 2016

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

DISCUSSION...A WIND SHIFT APPROACHING FROM THE SOUTHEAST WILL MOVE
ONTO THE BURN AREA BY NOON. WINDS WILL REMAIN SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST FOR
THE REMAINDER OF THE DAY. A FEW SHOWERS AND STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO
BUILD NEAR THE AREA WITH ERRATIC OUTFLOWS LIKELY. RECOVERIES TONIGHT
WILL DEPEND ON WHETHER ANY RAINFALL CAN DEVELOP HOWEVER VALUES WILL
STILL BE GOOD. SATURDAY WILL FEATURE AN INCREASE IN STORM COVERAGE
AND HUMIDITIES...AND SLIGHTLY COOLER TEMPERATURES.

FOR TODAY
   CLOUDS/WEATHER......PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                       THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
   CHC OF PRECIP.......0 PERCENT INCREASING TO 30 PERCENT IN THE
                       AFTERNOON.
   TEMPERATURE.........MAX 80-84.
   RELATIVE HUMIDITY...MIN 23-28 PERCENT.
   20 FOOT WIND........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                       SOUTH 7 TO 11 MPH IN THE EARLY AFTERNOON.
                       GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                       THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
   MIXING HEIGHT.......14500 FT AGL.
   TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST 10 KNOTS.
   MAX VENT RATE.......VERY GOOD/130500 KNOT-FT AT 1500 LOCAL.
   VENTILATION TREND...POOR/20365 KNOT-FT AROUND MID MORNING AND
                       VERY GOOD/130500 KNOT-FT BY MID AFTERNOON.

FOR TONIGHT
   CLOUDS/WEATHER......PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                       THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. MOSTLY CLEAR
                       AFTER MIDNIGHT.
   CHC OF PRECIP.......30 PERCENT DECREASING TO 5 PERCENT AFTER
                       MIDNIGHT.
   TEMPERATURE.........MIN 52-57.
   RELATIVE HUMIDITY...MAX 59-64 PERCENT.
   20 FOOT WIND........SOUTH WINDS 7 TO 11 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                       SOUTHEAST 5 TO 9 MPH IN THE EVENING.
                       BECOMING TERRAIN DOMINATED LESS THAN 6 MPH
                       AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                       EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
   VENTILATION TREND...POOR/20000 KNOT-FT BY EARLY EVENING AND
                       POOR/6995 KNOT-FT BY LATE EVENING.

FOR SATURDAY
   CLOUDS/WEATHER......MOSTLY SUNNY IN THE MORNING BECOMING PARTLY
                       CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
                       IN THE AFTERNOON. MOSTLY CLOUDY BY LATE DAY.
   CHC OF PRECIP.......0 PERCENT INCREASING TO 40 PERCENT IN THE
                       AFTERNOON.
   TEMPERATURE.........MAX 78-83.
   RELATIVE HUMIDITY...MIN 26-31 PERCENT.
   20 FOOT WIND........TERRAIN DOMINATED WINDS LESS THAN 6 MPH IN
                       THE MORNING BECOMING SOUTHEAST 6 TO 9 MPH BY
                       LATE MORNING SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 6 TO 10
                       MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY
                       AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                       THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
   MIXING HEIGHT.......13500 FT AGL.
   TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST 7 KNOTS.
   MAX VENT RATE.......GOOD/92467 KNOT-FT AT 1600 LOCAL.
   VENTILATION TREND...POOR/12348 KNOT-FT AROUND MID MORNING AND
                       GOOD/92467 KNOT-FT BY MID AFTERNOON.

FORECASTS FOR WINDS ARE 20 FOOT WIND SPEEDS AND MUST BE ADJUSTED
ACCORDING TO FUEL TYPE AND SHELTERING TO GET EYE LEVEL WIND SPEED.

FORECASTER...42

$$

REQUESTED BY...ANDREW VALDEZ
REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20160729.VIRGI.01/ABQ



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