Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Albany, NY

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FNUS71 KALY 132214
FWSALY

SPOT FORECAST FOR FOR AMPHIBIAN...ALBANY PINE BUSH PRESERVE COMMISSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
614 PM EDT SUN APR 13 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1030 AM EDT ON APRIL 14.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
...SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH TOMORROW...

HIGH PRESSURE OFFSHORE WILL SUPPORT WARM SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS
OVER OUR REGION THROUGH MONDAY WITH UNSEASONABLY WARM TEMPERATURES.
A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL SLOWLY CROSS THE REGION TUESDAY WITH
SHOWERS...SOME OF WHICH COULD BE HEAVY...AND BRING A RETURN TO
COLDER WEATHER ON WEDNESDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN THURSDAY
THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK WITH DRY WEATHER EXPECTED.

A SOUTHERLY BREEZE WILL LIKELY PERSIST TONIGHT IN MANY AREAS...
ESPECIALLY THE CAPITAL REGION...MOHAWK VALLEY AND HIGHER TERRAIN.
THIS WILL PREVENT A FULL RECOVERY.

SOUTHERLY WINDS ON MONDAY WILL AGAIN AVERAGE 10 TO 20 MPH...BUT
GUST UP TO OR EVEN A LITTLE OVER 30 MPH AT TIMES. RH VALUES LOOK
TO BE BOTTOMING OUT IN THE 40 TO 50 PERCENT RANGE.

A SLOW MOVING COLD FRONT SHOULD BRING A SOAKING RAIN TO THE REGION
MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY...FOLLOWED BY MUCH COLDER WEATHER TUESDAY
NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY.

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 78.
MIN HUMIDITY........43 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........BREEZY. SOUTH WINDS 16 TO 23 MPH WITH GUSTS UP
                    TO 30 MPH...INCREASING TO AROUND 26 MPH WITH
                    GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH LATE.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.

.MONDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS WITH ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    EVENING...THEN SHOWERS LIKELY AND SCATTERED
                    THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 56.
MAX HUMIDITY........83 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........BREEZY. SOUTH WINDS 20 TO 25 MPH. GUSTS UP TO
                    30 MPH IN THE EVENING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE
                    EVENING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
CWR.................60 PERCENT.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). SCATTERED
                    THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING. SHOWERS.
                    SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 63.
MIN HUMIDITY........41 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDY. SOUTH WINDS 21 TO 28 MPH WITH GUSTS UP
                    TO 30 MPH...INCREASING TO AROUND 32 MPH WITH
                    GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH EARLY IN THE
                    AFTERNOON...THEN BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND 24
                    MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH LATE. GUSTY AND
                    ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY
                    IN THE MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
                    MORNING.
CWR.................90 PERCENT.

$$
FORECASTER...IRL
REQUESTED BY...TYLER BRIGGS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20140414.AMPHI.01/ALY






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