Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI

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000
FNUS73 KAPX 161357
FWSAPX

SPOT FORECAST FOR MAPLE RIDGE...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
957 AM EDT WED APR 16 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1500 EDT ON APRIL 16.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...INCREASING CLOUDINESS THIS AFTERNOON WITH MINIMUM
HUMIDITY VALUES IN THE 37 TO 41 PERCENT RANGE. LIGHT WINDS
INCREASING FROM THE SOUTHEAST UP TO 10 MPH THIS AFTERNOON. A FEW
SPRINKLES OR FLURRIES POSSIBLE TONIGHT INTO EARLY THURSDAY BUT
CONDITIONS WILL LIKELY REMAIN PRECIPITATION FREE. GOOD RECOVERY OF
RELATIVE HUMIDITY TONIGHT. SOUTHEAST WINDS TONIGHT SHIFTING MORE
SOUTHERLY ON THURSDAY AND BECOMING GUSTY AT TIMES.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........38 AT IGNITION...MAX 40.
RH..................41 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 39 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTHEAST AT 6 MPH AT
                    IGNITION...OTHERWISE LIGHT WINDS BECOMING
                    SOUTHEAST 8 TO 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 8 TO 14 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5200 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 4300-5200
                    FT AGL.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 4.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (700) AT IGNITION. MAX...EXCELLENT
                    (700).

TIME (EDT)      3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........70  73  77
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............38  39  40
RH..............41  41  42
20 FT WIND DIR..SE  SE  SE
20 FT WIND SPD..6   7   7
20 FT WIND GUST.15  15  15
HAINES INDEX....4   4   4
SMOKE DISP......700 700 700

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 30.
RH..................MAX 78 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 14 MPH INCREASING TO 20 TO 29 MPH
                    EARLY IN THE EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......800-2200 FT AGL.
HAINES INDEX........MIN 2.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....MIN FAIR(200).

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........77  77  77  81  85  89  86  82  78  81  84  87
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............40  40  36  35  33  32  31  31  30  30  30  30
RH..............44  43  54  59  63  66  69  63  66  66  69  69
20 FT WIND DIR..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT WIND SPD..7   7   6   7   7   7   7   7   7   7   7   7
20 FT WIND GUST.15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  10  15  15  15
HAINES INDEX....4   3   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   3   3   2
SMOKE DISP......700 600 600 600 500 400 300 200 200 200 200 200

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 52.
RH..................MIN 48 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 20 TO 24 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......800-2000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3700 FT AGL LATE
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........MAX 4.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....MAX EXCELLENT(1100).

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........85     81     77     73     67     69
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............30     32     38     44     48     51
RH..............75     78     64     53     49     50
20 FT WIND......SE 7   SE 6   SE 6   SE 7   S 7    S 8
20 FT WIND GUST.15     10     10     15     20     20
HAINES INDEX....2      2      3      3      4      4
SMOKE DISP......200    200    300    500    700    1000

$$
FORECASTER...JAMES KEYSOR
REQUESTED BY...M KNIPE  RXB2-T
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20140416.MAPLE.01/APX







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