Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Denver/Boulder, CO

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000
FNUS75 KBOU 191859
FWSBOU

Spot Forecast for Turkey Track...Forest Service
National Weather Service Denver/Boulder CO
1159 AM MST Sun Feb 19 2017

Forecast is based on request time of 1100 MST on February 19.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

There is a weakening upper level storm centered over the four
corners at this time with plenty of cloud cover over the forecast
area. Temperatures will be above normals today.  Although there is
plenty of cloudiness, there will not be much moisture in the lower
levels and the chances of precipitation will be minimal today and
this evening. The low level winds will be south and southwesterly
today and speeds could be get up to 20 mph.  After the upper
trough moves across the eastern half of Colorado this evening,
there should be a wind shift to more west and northwesterly low
level winds. The wind shift should occur around mid evening.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of rain after
                    1400. slight chance of snow after 1600.
CWR.................5 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 52-56.
Min humidity........25-30%.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 7-13 mph with gusts to 20 mph.
Mixing height.......6600-7600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 20-30 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Very good.
Haines Index........3 very low.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy until 0100, then partly
                    cloudy(30-40%). Chance of rain and snow showers
                    until 2000, then slight chance of snow showers
                    until 2400.
CWR.................5 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 29.
Max humidity........57%.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 6-12 mph with gusts to 20 mph.
Mixing height.......7700 ft AGL until 1800. 1600-2100 ft AGL after
                    2000.
Transport winds.....West 15-25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent until 1800. poor after 0200.
Haines Index........4 low .

.WASHINGTONS BIRTHDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 53.
Min humidity........18%.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 6-12 mph.
Mixing height.......1800-2800 ft AGL until 1000, then 5800-6800 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....West 10-20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor until 1000, then fair until 1100, then
                    good.
Haines Index........5 moderate.


Fire Weather Table for Turkey Track.

+++  Data in the following table has been sampled directly from the
     forecast database.  Values in the table may vary slightly from
     information in the narrative forecast.  Feedback welcome.  +++

FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH  20-FT  G H L  15KFT  MIXG  TRANS VENTL  AJTV
VALID AT  %  %  %  F  %   WIND  S I A   WIND   HGT   WIND  RATE RATNG
                           MPH  T   L    MPH   AGL    MPH KT-FT

02/19-11 76  3  1 49 33 SSW  9 15 3 1 SSW 39  5557 SSW 31148656    V
02/19-12 78  5  1 52 29 SSW 12 18 3 1 SSW 37  6266 SSW 26146637    V
02/19-13 79  8  2 53 28   S 13 21 3 1 SSW 35  6976 SSW 23139859    V
02/19-14 80 12  2 53 28   S 14 22 3 1 SSW 32  7686 SSW 20128320    V
02/19-15 81 16  3 51 30   S 14 22 3 1 SSW 31  7705 SSW 21137661    V
02/19-16 82 21  4 49 33 SSW 13 20 3 1 SSW 29  7724 SSW 22147046    V
02/19-17 81 25  5 47 35 SSW 12 18 3 1 SSW 28  7743 SSW 23156475     E
02/19-18 78 25  5 44 41 SSW 12 17 3 1  SW 23  5760 SSW 23113102    V
02/19-19 78 25  5 41 47 SSW 10 17 3 1 WSW 18  3778 WSW 22 72006   G
02/19-20 78 23  5 39 52  SW 10 16 3 1 WSW 14  1795 WSW 21 33188 P
02/19-21 75 18  4 37 56  SW 10 16 3 1   W 17  1895   W 21 33169 P
02/19-22 68 13  3 36 56 WSW  9 15 3 1 WNW 21  1994   W 20 32955 P
02/19-23 65 11  2 35 56   W  9 15 3 1  NW 23  2094   W 18 32546 P
02/20-00 60  9  2 34 57   W  8 14 3 1  NW 22  1926   W 16 27884 P
02/20-01 50  8  2 33 57   W  8  8 3 1  NW 21  1759 WNW 15 23580 P
02/20-02 39  6  1 32 56   W  7  7 3 1  NW 18  1592 WNW 14 19635 P
02/20-03 29  5  1 31 52   W  7  7 4 1 NNW 18  1596 WNW 14 19808 P
02/20-04 19  3  1 30 49   W  7  7 4 1 NNW 18  1601 WNW 14 19982 P
02/20-05 14  1  0 29 46   W  7  7 5 1 NNW 18  1605 WNW 15 20157 P
02/20-06 14  1  0 29 45   W  7  7 5 1  NW 16  1582 WNW 14 19759 P
02/20-07 14  1  0 30 44 WSW  8  8 4 1 WNW 14  1558   W 14 19365 P
02/20-08 13  1  0 33 39 WSW  8 13 4 1 WNW 12  1535   W 14 18973 P
02/20-09 13  1  0 37 34 WSW  9 14 4 1   W 12  3005   W 14 34891 P
02/20-10 13  1  0 42 28   W 10 16 3 1   W 12  4476 WNW 13 48598  F
02/20-11 17  1  0 47 23   W 10 16 3 1   W 12  5946 WNW 12 60093   G
02/20-12 17  1  0 50 20   W 10 16 3 1   W 14  6568 WNW 12 66178   G
02/20-13 17  1  0 52 19   W  9 14 2 1   W 16  7191   W 12 72225   G
02/20-14 17  1  0 53 18   W  8 13 2 1   W 18  7813 WSW 12 78233   G
02/20-15 17  1  0 53 19 WSW  8 13 3 1   W 20  6554 WSW 13 71157   G
02/20-16 17  1  0 52 20 WSW  8 13 3 1   W 20  5296   W 14 61961   G
02/20-17 17  0  0 49 22 WSW  8 13 4 1   W 21  4038   W 15 50644  F
02/20-18 17  0  0 45 27 WSW  8 13 4 1   W 20  3019   W 13 34300 P
02/20-19 17  0  0 40 34  SW  7  7 5 1   W 20  2000   W 12 20361 P
02/20-20 17  0  0 37 40  SW  7  7 5 1   W 20   981   W 10  9140 P
02/20-21 17  0  0 36 43  SW  7  7 4 1   W 21   945   W 13 10122 P
02/20-22 17  0  0 36 43 WSW  7  7 4 1 WNW 23   909   W 14 11005 P
02/20-23 15  0  0 36 44 WSW  7  7 3 1 WNW 25   873   W 15 11788 P
02/21-00 15  0  0 36 45 WSW  7  7 3 1 WNW 24   857   W 15 11024 P
02/21-01 15  0  0 36 46 WSW  8 13 3 1 WNW 24   840   W 14 10282 P
02/21-02 15  0  0 36 48 WSW  8 13 3 1 WNW 24   824   W 14  9560 P
02/21-03 15  0  0 36 49 WSW  8 13 3 1 WNW 25   814   W 13  9294 P
02/21-04 15  0  0 35 51 WSW  7  7 4 1   W 28   803   W 13  9031 P
02/21-05 13  1  0 35 52 WSW  7  7 4 1   W 30   793   W 13  8771 P
02/21-06 13  1  0 35 52 WSW  7  7 4 1   W 26   844   W 13  8938 P
02/21-07 13  1  0 37 48 WSW  7  7 4 1 WNW 23   894   W 12  9058 P
02/21-08 13  1  0 40 42 WSW  7  7 4 1 WNW 20   945   W 12  9131 P
02/21-09 13  1  0 45 34 WSW  8 13 4 1   W 21  2134   W 13 22747 P
02/21-10 13  1  0 51 26   W  9 15 3 1   W 23  3323   W 14 38730 P
02/21-11 13  0  0 56 21   W 10 16 3 1 WSW 24  4512   W 15 57081  F
02/21-12 13  0  0 59 19   W 12 18 3 1 WSW 25  5392   W 16 73172   G
02/21-13 13  0  0 61 18   W 13 20 2 1   W 26  6273   W 16 90880   G
02/21-14 13  0  0 61 18   W 13 21 2 1   W 26  7153   W 17110206    V
02/21-15 13  0  0 60 19   W 12 18 2 1   W 32  6652   W 18103888    V
02/21-16 13  0  0 57 21 WSW  9 15 2 1   W 37  6152   W 18 97361   G
02/21-17 25  0  0 54 24 WSW  8 13 2 1   W 41  5651   W 18 90623   G
02/21-18 22  0  0 51 28 WSW  7  7 3 1   W 39  4441   W 17 67148   G
02/21-19 20  0  0 47 33 WSW  7  7 4 1   W 38  3232   W 16 45894  F
02/21-20 17  0  0 44 38 WSW  7  7 5 1   W 37  2022   W 15 26861 P
02/21-21 18  0  0 42 42 WSW  7  7 5 1   W 38  1633   W 17 24094 P
02/21-22 20  0  0 41 44 WSW  7  7 5 1   W 38  1244   W 18 20183 P
02/21-23 21  0  0 41 44 WSW  7  7 5 1 WSW 39   855   W 21 15127 P
02/22-00 20  0  0 41 45 WSW  7  7 5 1   W 43   939   W 22 17724 P
02/22-01 20  0  0 40 48 WSW  8 13 4 1   W 45  1023   W 23 20520 P
02/22-02 19  0  0 40 48 WSW  8 13 4 1   W 48  1107   W 24 23514 P
02/22-03 18  0  0 39 50 WSW  8  8 4 1   W 49  1127   W 26 25455 P
02/22-04 17  0  0 38 51 WSW  7  7 5 1   W 51  1147   W 28 27450 P
02/22-05 16  1  0 38 48 WSW  7  7 5 1   W 51  1167 WSW 29 29499 P
02/22-06 16  1  0 38 48 WSW  8 10   1
02/22-07 15  1  0 39 46 WSW  8 13   1
02/22-08 14  1  0 42 39 WSW  9 16   1
02/22-09 14  1  0 45 33 WSW 10 16   1
02/22-10 15  1  0 49 26 WSW 10 17   1
02/22-11 15  1  0 53 22 WSW 12 20   1
02/22-12 15  1  0 55 19 WSW 13 24   1
02/22-13 16  1  0 56 18 WSW 14 29   1
02/22-14 16  1  0 56 17 WSW 15 31   1
02/22-15 16  1  0 55 18 WSW 14 28   1
02/22-16 15  1  0 53 19 WSW 13 22   1
02/22-17 15  1  0 50 22 WSW 10 16   1

KEY:

FORECAST    - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST
VALID AT    - /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/
SC          - SKY COVER /PERCENT/
PP          - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/
WR          - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.10 INCH /PERCENT/
AT          - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/
RH          - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/
20-FT WIND  - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/
GST         - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/
HI          - HAINES INDEX
LAL         - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL
15KFT WIND  - 15000 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/
MIXG HGT    - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/
TRANS WIND  - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/
VENTL RATE  - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/
AJTV RATNG  - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING
                P - POOR  F - FAIR  G - GOOD
                V - VERY GOOD  E - EXCELLENT

$$
FORECASTER...RJK
REQUESTED BY...Austin Steinsick
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 1702448.0/BOU



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