Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Denver/Boulder, CO

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000
FNUS75 KBOU 261733
FWSBOU

SPOT FORECAST FOR WAPIT RX FIRE...BOULDER COUNTY SHERIFFS OFFICE/PARKS AND OPEN SPA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER/BOULDER CO
1033 AM MST WED NOV 26 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 MST ON NOVEMBER 26.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

.TODAY...PRECIPITATION WILL END THIS MORNING WITH SOME LINGERING
CLOUDS THIS AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL STILL GUST FROM 30 TO 35 MPH
THIS AFTERNOON WITH GUSTS ONLY DROPPING TO 25 OVER THE NEXT FEW
DAYS. AS CEILINGS CLEAR OUT COMBINED WITH INCREASED WINDS SMOKE
DISPERSAL WILL BE BETTER. NOT LOOKING FOR ANOTHER ROUND OF
POSSIBLE SNOW UNTIL EARLY NEXT WEEK. TEMPERATURES WILL INCREASE
TOMORROW AND THROUGH THE WEEKEND WITH HIGHS REACHING INTO THE 60S
BY FRIDAY POSSIBLY.

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY UNTIL 1300...THEN PARTLY
                    CLOUDY(50-60%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 46.
MIN HUMIDITY........38%.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 9-13 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
CWR.................5 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500-3500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10-15 MPH UNTIL 1100...THEN NORTHWEST
                    20-25 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1100...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1300...THEN
                    GOOD UNTIL 1600...THEN FAIR.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(35-45%).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 34.
MAX HUMIDITY........49%.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 13-16 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-1700 FT AGL UNTIL 0300...THEN BELOW 1000
                    FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 20 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.

.THANKSGIVING DAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(30-40%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 58.
MIN HUMIDITY........24%.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 10-15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0900...THEN 2400-3400
                    FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 15-25 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1100...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1300...THEN
                    GOOD UNTIL 1600...THEN POOR.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S. WEST WINDS 10-13 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S. WEST WINDS 8-12 MPH.
.SUNDAY...COLDER. MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE MID
40S. WEST WINDS 8-10 MPH.


FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR WAPIT RX FIRE.

+++  DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE
     FORECAST DATABASE.  VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM
     INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST.  FEEDBACK WELCOME.  +++

FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH  20-FT  G H L  15KFT  MIXG  TRANS VENTL  AJTV
VALID AT  %  %  %  F  %   WIND  S I A   WIND   HGT   WIND  RATE RATNG
                           MPH  T   L    MPH   AGL    MPH KT-FT

11/26-10 69 17  4 35 57 WSW 10 10 2 1  NW 69  2293 WNW 17 39106 P
11/26-11 69 14  1 41 46   W 12 12 2 1  NW 70  2911 WNW 22 55056  F
11/26-12 62 10  1 44 42   W 13 13 2 1 NNW 70  3173 WNW 23 64023   G
11/26-13 56  6  1 46 39   W 14 22 2 1 NNW 69  3435 WNW 24 72989   G
11/26-14 50  6  1 46 38 WNW 15 24 2 1 NNW 66  3697 WNW 25 81955   G
11/26-15 48  6  1 44 41   W 15 24 2 1 NNW 63  3044 WNW 23 63841   G
11/26-16 46  6  1 42 44   W 15 24 3 1 NNW 59  2390 WNW 21 45726  F
11/26-17 44  2  0 39 48   W 15 24 3 1  NW 53  1736 WNW 18 27612 P
11/26-18 44  2  0 38 48   W 16 25 4 1  NW 46  1542 WNW 18 24506 P
11/26-19 44  2  0 38 46   W 16 26 4 1 NNW 39  1347   W 18 21401 P
11/26-20 44  2  0 37 46   W 17 28 5 1 NNW 33  1153   W 18 18295 P
11/26-21 44  2  0 36 47   W 17 28 5 1  NW 33  1096   W 18 17970 P
11/26-22 44  2  0 35 48   W 16 26 5 1  NW 35  1039   W 20 17645 P
11/26-23 39  1  0 34 49   W 16 25 5 1  NW 35   982   W 21 17320 P
11/27-00 39  1  0 34 48   W 16 25 5 1  NW 30   972   W 20 16691 P
11/27-01 39  1  0 34 47   W 15 24 5 1  NW 25   962   W 20 16062 P
11/27-02 39  1  0 35 43   W 15 24 5 1 WNW 23   952   W 18 15433 P
11/27-03 39  1  0 35 42   W 15 24 5 1  NW 26   904   W 18 14588 P
11/27-04 39  1  0 35 41   W 15 24 5 1  NW 33   857   W 18 13743 P
11/27-05 37  0  0 36 40   W 15 24 5 1  NW 40   810   W 18 12899 P
11/27-06 37  0  0 37 40   W 15 24 5 1  NW 43   848   W 20 14507 P
11/27-07 37  0  0 39 39   W 16 25 4 1  NW 44   886   W 21 16114 P
11/27-08 37  0  0 42 38   W 16 25 4 1  NW 45   924   W 22 17722 P
11/27-09 37  0  0 45 35   W 15 24 4 1  NW 48  1346   W 22 26308 P
11/27-10 37  0  0 50 31 WSW 13 21 3 1 WNW 52  1769   W 23 34894 P
11/27-11 35  0  0 54 27 WSW 12 18 3 1 WNW 55  2192   W 23 43480  F
11/27-12 35  0  0 57 25 WSW 12 17 3 1 WNW 61  2805   W 23 55967  F
11/27-13 35  0  0 58 24 WSW 12 18 2 1 WNW 66  3419   W 23 68453   G
11/27-14 35  0  0 57 24 WSW 12 18 2 1 WNW 69  4033   W 23 80940   G
11/27-15 35  0  0 54 27 WSW 12 18 2 1 WNW 69  3153   W 21 60001   G
11/27-16 35  0  0 49 32 WSW 12 18 3 1 WNW 68  2273   W 17 39062 P
11/27-17 42  0  0 45 37   W 12 18 3 1 WNW 64  1393   W 15 18124 P
11/27-18 42  0  0 42 40   W 12 18 3 1 WNW 62  1313   W 15 17379 P
11/27-19 42  0  0 40 42   W 13 20 3 1 WNW 59  1234   W 16 16635 P
11/27-20 42  0  0 38 44   W 13 21 3 1 WNW 55  1155   W 16 15891 P
11/27-21 42  0  0 37 44   W 13 21 3 1 WNW 53  1113   W 15 15037 P
11/27-22 42  0  0 35 45 WSW 13 21 3 1 WNW 51  1071   W 15 14184 P
11/27-23 32  0  0 33 47 WSW 13 21 3 1 WNW 49  1029   W 15 13330 P
11/28-00 32  0  0 33 46 WSW 13 21 3 1 WNW 53  1010   W 15 13400 P
11/28-01 32  0  0 33 45 WSW 14 22 4 1 WNW 55   992   W 16 13469 P
11/28-02 32  0  0 33 45 WSW 14 22 4 1 WNW 55   973   W 16 13539 P
11/28-03 32  0  0 33 45 WSW 14 22 4 1 WNW 48   976   W 17 14600 P
11/28-04 32  0  0 33 44 WSW 14 22 4 1 WNW 38   978   W 18 15660 P
11/28-05 32  0  0 33 45   W 14 22 4 1 WNW 30   981   W 20 16721 P
11/28-06 32  0  0 34 45   W 14 22 4 1 WNW 26   976   W 20 16507 P
11/28-07 32  0  0 35 46   W 13 21 4 1 WNW 28   971   W 20 16293 P
11/28-08 32  0  0 38 44   W 13 21 4 1   W 32   966   W 20 16079 P
11/28-09 32  0  0 42 40   W 13 20 4 1   W 39  1414   W 21 27810 P
11/28-10 32  0  0 47 34   W 12 18 4 1   W 48  1861   W 23 39541 P
11/28-11 36  0  0 52 29 WSW 12 18 4 1   W 56  2308   W 25 51272  F
11/28-12 36  0  0 55 27   W 12 20 4 1   W 60  2529   W 28 60605   G
11/28-13 36  0  0 56 26   W 13 21 4 1   W 62  2750   W 29 69938   G
11/28-14 36  0  0 55 26   W 14 22 4 1   W 63  2972   W 31 79272   G
11/28-15 36  0  0 53 28   W 15 23 4 1   W 64  2445   W 28 61501   G
11/28-16 36  0  0 51 29   W 15 24 4 1   W 63  1918   W 24 43731  F
11/28-17 37  0  0 48 31   W 15 24 4 1   W 62  1391   W 22 25960 P
11/28-18 37  0  0 45 34   W 15 24 4 1   W 61  1315   W 21 24332 P
11/28-19 37  0  0 44 33   W 14 23 4 1   W 60  1239   W 21 22703 P
11/28-20 37  0  0 42 35   W 14 22 4 1   W 60  1164   W 21 21074 P
11/28-21 37  0  0 40 35   W 14 22 4 1   W 61  1196   W 21 21285 P
11/28-22 37  0  0 38 37 WSW 13 21 4 1   W 63  1228   W 21 21496 P
11/28-23 30  0  0 37 37 WSW 13 21 4 1   W 66  1260   W 20 21706 P
11/29-00 30  0  0 36 38 WSW 13 20 4 1   W 68  1240   W 20 20542 P
11/29-01 30  0  0 35 39 WSW 12 20 4 1   W 70  1219   W 18 19378 P
11/29-02 30  0  0 35 40 WSW 12 18 4 1   W 71  1199   W 17 18214 P
11/29-03 30  0  0 35 40 WSW 12 17 4 1   W 73  1165   W 18 18765 P
11/29-04 30  0  0 35 41 WSW 10 17 4 1   W 73  1132   W 20 19317 P
11/29-05 24  0  0 36 40 WSW 10 16 4 1   W 73  1099   W 21 19868 P

KEY:

FORECAST    - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST
VALID AT    - /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/
SC          - SKY COVER /PERCENT/
PP          - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/
WR          - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.10 INCH /PERCENT/
AT          - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/
RH          - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/
20-FT WIND  - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/
GST         - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/
HI          - HAINES INDEX
LAL         - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL
15KFT WIND  - 15000 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/
MIXG HGT    - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/
TRANS WIND  - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/
VENTL RATE  - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/
AJTV RATNG  - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING
                P - POOR  F - FAIR  G - GOOD
                V - VERY GOOD  E - EXCELLENT

$$
FORECASTER...BOWEN
REQUESTED BY...JAY STALNACKER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20141126.WAPIT.01/BOU


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