Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Denver/Boulder, CO

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
000
FNUS75 KBOU 162355
FWSBOU

SPOT FORECAST FOR SWEDE...COUNTY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER/BOULDER CO
551 PM MDT WED APR 16 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 MDT ON APRIL 17.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...MODERATE AND DRIER NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL BE OVER
THE FORECAST AREA IN THE WAKE OF WEDNESDAY EVENINGS WEATHER
DISTURBANCE. THIS WILL BRING A RETURN OF SUNSHINE TO THE BURN SITE
AND BETTER MIXING BY THURSDAY.  THE DAY WILL START OFF
WITH AN INVERSION...BUT BY AFTERNOON MIXING HEIGHTS ARE EXPECTED TO
INCREASE WITH THE SUNSHINE AND THUS PROVIDE FAIR TO GOOD SMOKE
DISPERSION ESPECAILLY BY THE LATE AFTERNOON HOURS.  STRONGER HEATING
WILL OCCUR FRIDAY WITH VERY GOOD TO EXCELLENT SMOKE DISPERSION.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY UNTIL 0900...THEN PARTLY
                    CLOUDY(40-50%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 61.
MIN HUMIDITY........26%.
WIND (20 FT)........UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2100-3100 FT AGL UNTIL 1000. 7900-8900 FT AGL
                    AFTER 1200.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS UNTIL 1200...THEN SOUTHWEST AROUND
                    10 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1200...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1500...THEN
                    GOOD.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(30-40%).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 37.
MAX HUMIDITY........66%.
WIND (20 FT)........DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-8 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7200 FT AGL UNTIL 1900. 1200-1400 FT AGL AFTER
                    2100.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 10 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 1900. POOR AFTER 2100.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY UNTIL 1200...THEN PARTLY
                    CLOUDY(35-45%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 75.
MIN HUMIDITY........22%.
WIND (20 FT)........UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1200-1300 FT AGL UNTIL 1000. 11400-12400 FT AGL
                    AFTER 1400.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10-15 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN 20-30
                    MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000. EXCELLENT AFTER 1500.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN
THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS AROUND 70.


FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR SWEDE.

+++  DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE
     FORECAST DATABASE.  VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM
     INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST.  FEEDBACK WELCOME.  +++

FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH  20-FT  G H L  10KFT  MIXG  TRANS VENTL  AJTV
VALID AT  %  %  %  F  %   WIND  S I A   WIND   HGT   WIND  RATE RATNG
                           MPH  T   L    MPH   AGL    MPH KT-FT

04/16-17 71 18  4 53 31  NE  9 14 2 1   W 36  7944   N  3 27706 P
04/16-18 91 18  4 51 33  NE  9 14 2 1   W 35  7328 NNE  3 22269 P
04/16-19 91 18  4 48 38  NE  8  8 2 1   W 32  6684  NE  3 22657 P
04/16-20 91 18  4 45 45 ENE  6  6 2 1   W 31  6040   E  5 23045 P
04/16-21 91 21  4 42 53 ENE  5  5 2 1   W 29  5397 ESE  5 23433 P
04/16-22 91 21  4 39 61   E  3  3 2 1   W 28  4802 ESE  6 23141 P
04/16-23 91 21  4 37 68  SE  3  3 2 1 WNW 28  4208  SE  7 22849 P
04/17-00 86 21  4 35 75   S  3  3 2 1 WNW 26  3613  SE  7 22556 P
04/17-01 86 19  4 34 79   S  3  3 2 1 WNW 28  3027 SSE  7 17957 P
04/17-02 86 17  3 34 80  SW  3  3 2 1 WNW 28  2440   S  6 13357 P
04/17-03 86 15  3 33 82 WSW  3  3 2 1 WNW 29  1853 SSW  6  8757 P
04/17-04 87 10  2 32 81 WSW  3  3 2 1 WNW 29  1681 SSW  5  7590 P
04/17-05 86 10  2 32 77   W  5  5 2 1 WNW 29  1508  SW  5  6422 P
04/17-06 79  7  1 33 72   W  5  5 2 1 WNW 29  1335  SW  5  5254 P
04/17-07 83  7  1 36 66  SW  5  5 2 1 WNW 29  2047  SW  5  7515 P
04/17-08 71  6  1 40 60   S  3  3 2 1  NW 28  2759   W  5  9775 P
04/17-09 67  5  1 44 53  SE  3  3 2 1  NW 28  3471   W  3 12036 P
04/17-10 62  6  1 48 45  SE  5  5 2 1  NW 29  4908   W  5 23095 P
04/17-11 59  5  1 52 37  SE  5  5 2 1  NW 29  6344   W  6 34155 P
04/17-12 55  5  1 55 32 SSE  6  6 2 1  NW 30  7781   W  7 45214  F
04/17-13 54  5  1 58 29 SSE  6  6 2 1  NW 30  8171   W  7 52135  F
04/17-14 52  5  1 60 27 SSE  6  6 2 1 WNW 30  8561 WSW  8 59056  F
04/17-15 48  5  1 61 26 SSE  6  6 2 1 WNW 30  8951  SW  8 65977   G
04/17-16 46  4  1 61 26 SSE  6  6 2 1 WNW 30  8354  SW  9 67887   G
04/17-17 47  4  1 59 28   S  5  5 2 1 WNW 29  7757 WSW 10 69798   G
04/17-18 46  1  0 59 28   S  5  5 2 1 WNW 29  7161 WSW 12 71709   G
04/17-19 46  1  0 56 33 SSW  5  5 2 1 WNW 29  5255 WSW  9 50360  F
04/17-20 46  1  0 53 39 WSW  3  3 2 1 WNW 29  3350 WSW  8 29010 P
04/17-21 46  1  0 50 48 WSW  3  3 2 1 WNW 29  1444 WSW  6  7661 P
04/17-22 46  1  0 47 52 WSW  3  3 2 1 WNW 29  1401 WSW  7  8888 P
04/17-23 46  1  0 45 52   W  5  5 2 1 WNW 30  1358 WSW  9 10116 P
04/18-00 21  0  0 43 53   W  6  6 2 1 WNW 30  1315 WSW 10 11344 P
04/18-01 21  0  0 41 57   W  6  6 2 1 WNW 30  1281 WSW  9 10692 P
04/18-02 21  0  0 40 59   W  7  7 3 1 WNW 29  1247   W  9 10039 P
04/18-03 21  0  0 39 62   W  7  7 3 1 WNW 29  1213   W  9  9387 P
04/18-04 21  0  0 37 66   W  7  7 3 1 WNW 26  1207   W  9  9405 P
04/18-05 21  0  0 37 65 WSW  7  7 3 1 WNW 24  1202   W  9  9423 P
04/18-06 21  0  0 38 62 WSW  7  7 3 1 WNW 22  1196   W  9  9441 P
04/18-07 21  0  0 42 53 WSW  7  7 3 1 WNW 22  1217 WSW  8  8933 P
04/18-08 21  0  0 48 44  SW  7  7 3 1   W 22  1239 WSW  8  8425 P
04/18-09 21  0  0 54 37  SW  7  7 3 1   W 22  1260  SW  7  7916 P
04/18-10 21  0  0 59 32 SSW  7  7 3 1   W 25  3681 WSW 12 55749  F
04/18-11 21  0  0 64 29   S  7  7 3 1   W 30  6101 WSW 16103581    V
04/18-12 38  3  1 68 26   S  7  7 3 1   W 35  8522 WSW 21151413     E
04/18-13 38  3  1 71 25   S  7  7 3 1   W 36 10146 WSW 22193355     E
04/18-14 38  3  1 73 24  SW  7  7 4 1 WSW 37 11770 WSW 23235296     E
04/18-15 38  3  1 75 22  SW  7  7 4 1 WSW 38 13394 WSW 24277238     E
04/18-16 38  3  1 75 23 WSW  7  7 4 1 WSW 38 12024 WSW 25262851     E
04/18-17 38  3  1 74 23   W  7  7 4 1 WSW 37 10655 WSW 28248464     E
04/18-18 68  3  1 72 25 WNW  7  7 4 1 WSW 36  9285 WSW 29234078     E
04/18-19 68  3  1 68 28   W  7  7 4 1 WSW 36  6670 WSW 24162150     E
04/18-20 68 10  2 63 33   W  7  7 4 1 WSW 37  4054 WSW 20 90221   G
04/18-21 68 10  2 60 36   W  7  7 4 1 WSW 37  1439 WSW 15 18293 P
04/18-22 68 10  2 57 40   W  7  7 4 1 WSW 36  1307 WSW 14 15901 P
04/18-23 68 10  2 56 40 WSW  8  8 4 1   W 35  1176 WSW 13 13508 P
04/19-00 77 10  2 55 41 WSW  8  8 4 1   W 33  1045 WSW 13 11116 P
04/19-01 77 10  2 53 44 WSW  8  8 4 1   W 29  1097   W 13 11816 P
04/19-02 77 10  2 51 48 WSW  9  9 3 1   W 23  1149   W 13 12515 P
04/19-03 77 10  2 49 52   W  9  9 3 1   W 18  1201   W 13 13215 P
04/19-04 77 10  2 48 53   W  9  9 3 1   W 16  1219   W 10 11476 P
04/19-05 77 10  2 47 55   W  9  9 3 1   W 14  1238   W  9  9736 P
04/19-06 66 10  2 47 56   W  9  9 3 1   W 12  1256   W  7  7997 P
04/19-07 66 10  2 49 53   W  8  8 3 1   W 10  2054 WSW  7  9951 P
04/19-08 66 10  2 52 49 NNW  8  8 3 1   W 10  2852   S  6 11905 P
04/19-09 66 10  2 56 43   N  7  7 3 1   W 10  3650 SSE  5 13859 P
04/19-10 66 10  2 59 40   N  7  7 3 1   W  9  4898   S  5 21960 P
04/19-11 66 10  2 62 37  NE  6  6 3 1   W  7  6147 SSW  6 30060 P
04/19-12 72 23  5 64 35 ENE  6  6 3 3   W  6  7395 SSW  6 38160 P
04/19-13 72 23  5 65 35 ENE  6  6 3 3   W  6  8080 SSW  6 36461 P
04/19-14 72 23  5 65 35 ENE  6  6 3 3 WNW  7  8766 SSW  5 34762 P
04/19-15 72 23  5 64 36 ENE  6  6 3 3 WNW  7  9451 SSW  3 33064 P
04/19-16 72 23  5 63 38 ENE  7  7 3 3 WNW  9  8737 SSW  3 26545 P
04/19-17 72 23  5 62 39 ENE  7  7 3 3  NW 10  8024   S  2 20027 P
04/19-18 66 18  4 60 42 ENE  7  7 3 3  NW 13  7311 SSE  2 13509 P

KEY:

FORECAST    - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST
VALID AT    - /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/
SC          - SKY COVER /PERCENT/
PP          - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/
WR          - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.10 INCH /PERCENT/
AT          - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/
RH          - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/
20-FT WIND  - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/
GST         - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/
HI          - HAINES INDEX
LAL         - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL
10KFT WIND  - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/
MIXG HGT    - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/
TRANS WIND  - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/
VENTL RATE  - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/
AJTV RATNG  - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING
                P - POOR  F - FAIR  G - GOOD
                V - VERY GOOD  E - EXCELLENT

$$
FORECASTER...BARJENBRUCH
REQUESTED BY...PAUL OSTROY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20140417.SWEDE.01/BOU



USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.