Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Charleston, SC

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FNUS72 KCHS 311242
FWSCHS

SPOT FORECAST FOR C-71A...USDA FOREST SREVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
842 AM EDT THU JUL 31 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0930 EDT ON JULY 31.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
WHILE A SHOWER COULD DEVELOP OVER OR CLOSE TO THE BURN SITE AT ANY
TIME THIS MORNING...MOST/ALL OF THE MORNING COULD REMAIN RAIN-FREE.
THEN...THE CHANCE FOR SHOWERS WILL INCREASE MIDDAY THROUGH THIS
AFTERNOON. THE CHANCE FOR LIGHTNING IS LOW...BUT ANY SHOWERS COULD
PRODUCE HEAVY RAIN. BETWEEN HIGH PRESSURE TO THE NORTH AND A TROUGH
OF LOW PRESSURE OVER COASTAL WATERS...EAST TO NORTHEAST WINDS THIS
MORNING WILL TURN TOWARD EAST TO SOUTHEAST THIS AFTERNOON. A FEW
GUSTS AROUND 20 MPH ARE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON.

FOG POTENTIAL FOR TONIGHT...LOW.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE
                    MORNING. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 88.
MIN HUMIDITY........57 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST TO NORTHEAST 6 TO 10 MPH THIS MORNING...BECOMING
                    EAST TO SOUTHEAST 12 TO 16 MPH WITH GUSTS AROUND 20 MPH
                    THIS AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 4400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 8 TO 13 MPH THIS MORNING..INCREASING TO 12 TO 16 MPH
                    THIS AFTERNOON.
MAX ADI.............43.
MAX LVORI...........7.

TIME (EDT)          9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY COVER...........MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC
WEATHER COV.........SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE........RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TSTM COV............SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
TEMP................77  81  85  86  87  87  87  86  85
RH..................79  69  61  59  57  57  57  59  61
20 FT WIND DIR......NE  NE  E   E   E   E   E   E   E
20 FT WIND SPD......3   4   5   5   5   6   7   7   8
20 FT WIND GUST.....4       6   10  10  12  12  12  12
MIX HGT (KFT).......1.7 2.5 3.4 3.7 4.0 4.3 4.2 4.4 4.2
TRANSP WIND DIR.....E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
TRANSP WIND SPD.....16  16  16  14  14  14  14  14  14
LVORI...............5   4   4   3   2   1   1   2   2
ADI.................9   16  22  29  36  43  43  43  43

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 72.
MAX HUMIDITY........97 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH IN THE EVENING...BECOMING
                    LIGHT AND VARIABLE. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
INVERSION/DISPERSION...9 PM-8 AM/POOR
MAX ADI.............43.
MAX LVORI...........8.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 87.
MIN HUMIDITY........63 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5
                    TO 7 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 4100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHEAST AROUND 6 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX ADI.............16.
MAX LVORI...........7.

$$
FORECASTER...ROWLEY
REQUESTED BY...JOE BENTON
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20140731.C71A_.01/CHS





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