Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS State College, PA

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000
FNUS71 KCTP 232001
FWSCTP

SPOT FORECAST FOR SGL 84...TNC
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
401 PM EDT WED APR 23 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EDT ON APRIL 25.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE.

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH
THURSDAY EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...
A WARM FRONT WILL APPROACH THE AREA FROM THE SOUTHWEST ON
FRIDAY...BRINGING MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES AND THE CHANCE OF
SHOWERS. THE MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY FRIDAY AFTERNOON WILL
BE AROUND 40 PERCENT.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 65.
MIN HUMIDITY........40 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-2300 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2500-3100 FT
                    AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 5 TO 14 MPH...INCREASING TO SOUTH 26
                    TO 28 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)          6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............56  56  71  71  71  71  71  71  71  71  71  71
WEATHER COV.........CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE........RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TSTM COV............
TEMP................40  40  44  47  51  54  56  58  60  62  64  62
RH..................69  73  63  58  53  49  46  44  43  41  40  44
20 FT WIND DIR......SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT WIND SPD......5   5   5   6   7   7   8   8   9   8   8   7
20 FT WIND GUST.....            10  10  10  10  10  15  10  10  10
MIX HGT (KFT).......0.5 0.8 1.2 1.5 1.9 2.1 2.3 2.5 2.6 2.9 3.1 3.1
TRANSP WIND DIR.....SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S
TRANSP WIND SPD.....5   7   9   12  14  16  18  21  23  25  26  28
LAL.................1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
HAINES INDEX........4   4   3   3   2   2   2   2   2   2   3   3

$$
FORECASTER...WFO CTP/FITZGERALD
REQUESTED BY...J  CASE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20140425.SGL84.01/CTP



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