Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Detroit/Pontiac, MI

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FNUS73 KDTX 281952
FWSDTX

Spot Forecast for Fish Pointe 2...MDNR
National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI
352 PM EDT Fri Apr 28 2017

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1100 EDT on April 29.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...Dry conditions will continue this afternoon with min RH
in the 40s and modest southerly winds. Light showers will be
possible this evening and overnight, mainly affecting areas south of
M-59. A wet weather pattern will persist through the weekend, with
periods of steadier rainfall expected through Monday. The heaviest
rain looks to fall late Saturday through Monday afternoon, with
rainfall totals during this period looking to range between one and a
half and three inches.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Chance of showers
                    early in the evening...then numerous showers.
Min temperature.....40-45.
Max humidity........84 percent.
Eye level winds.....Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
Mixing height.......1200-2100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 20 to 26 mph increasing to around 30 mph
                    late.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair to good (20000-40000 knot-ft).
Haines Index........2 to 3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%)..........87  88  93  94  95  96  97  98  99  99  98  98
Weather cov......CHC CHC NUM NUM NUM NUM NUM NUM NUM NUM NUM NUM
Weather type.....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov.........
Temp.............45  44  44  43  43  43  44  45  46  46  45  44
RH...............67  69  70  74  77  79  78  77  76  78  81  81
Eye lvl wnd dir..NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  E
Eye lvl wnd spd..10  9   8   9   10  10  8   9   8   8   9   9
Eye lvl wnd gst..20      20  25  25  25  25  20  20  25  25  30
Mix hgt (kft)....2.1 1.9 1.7 1.7 1.8 1.8 1.6 1.4 1.2 1.2 1.3 1.4
Transp wind dir..NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  E   E   E   E
Transp wind spd..20  23  24  24  22  21  20  20  21  23  26  30
Haines index....3   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
VRate kt-ft/1000.40  40  40  40  30  30  30  20  20  20  30  40

.SUNDAY...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (95-100 percent). Periods of showers.
                    Scattered thunderstorms early in the morning.
Max temperature.....Around 50.
Min humidity........81 percent.
Eye level winds.....Northeast winds 11 to 16 mph.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%)..........99     100    100    99     100    100
Weather cov......NUMRUS PERIOD PERIOD PERIOD PERIOD PERIOD
Weather type.....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov.........       SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD
Temp.............44     44     45     46     47     50
RH...............82     87     86     88     89     85
Eye level wind...E 10   E 10   E 10   E 10   E 8    NE 9
Eye lvl wnd gst..30     30     30     30     25     25

$$
Forecaster...Schultz
Requested by...Don Klingler
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1707981.0/DTX
.EMAIL klinglerd@michigan.gov


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