Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Quad Cities, IA IL

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788
FNUS73 KDVN 251341
FWSDVN

SPOT FORECAST FOR HORSESHOE PILES...USFWS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
841 AM CDT WED MAY 25 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 CDT ON MAY 25.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

ISOLATED TO AT TIMES SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE
POSSIBLE INTO THE WEEKEND AS IT REMAINS HUMID.

THE GRASSLAND FIRE DANGER INDEX -GFDI- DOES NOT ACCOUNT FOR
PRECIPITATION THAT OCCURS OR ANY SNOW ON THE GROUND. PLEASE
MAKE APPROPRIATE ADJUSTMENTS.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
TEMPERATURE.........70 AT IGNITION...MAX 83.
RH..................81 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 61 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS 7 TO 15 MPH.
WIND SHIFT..........NONE.
CWR.................20 PERCENT THIS MORNING INCREASING TO
                    40 PERCENT DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON.
LAL.................3.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400-2300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5300-7100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 6 TO 14 MPH INCREASING TO 23 TO 28 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY COVER.......MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY
WEATHER COV.....SCTTRD SCTTRD CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............70     76     80     83     82
RH..............81     71     65     61     61
EYE LEVEL WIND..S 5    S 7    S 10   S 10   S 10
EYE LVL WND GST.              20     20     20
MIX HGT (FT)....1100   2300   4100   6800   5300
TRANSPORT WIND..S 12   S 16   S 22   S 28   S 23
HAINES INDEX....3      3      4      3      3

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 67.
RH..................MAX 93 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH.
WIND SHIFT..........NONE.
CWR.................40 PERCENT.
LAL.................3.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2600 FT AGL DECREASING TO 500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 12 TO 20 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 22
                    TO 24 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING. CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 87.
RH..................MIN 52 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS 8 TO 10 MPH.
WIND SHIFT..........NONE.
CWR.................40 PERCENT.
LAL.................3.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400-1800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2800-3900 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN DECREASING TO
                    700-1800 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 12 TO 20 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 10
                    TO 16 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN SHIFTING
                    TO THE SOUTH 14 TO 20 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...UTTECH
REQUESTED BY...ERIK ACKER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20160525.HORSE.01/DVN



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