Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, MO

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752
FNUS73 KEAX 281256
FWSEAX

Spot Forecast for Unit 2...USFWS
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
756 AM CDT Tue Mar 28 2017

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 CDT on March 28.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at 1-800-438-0596, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...

Expect east winds to prevail through the day under cloudy skies.
Humidity values are expected to remain rather high through the
day under the cloudy skies. Otherwise, widespread rain will spread
across the region Wednesday.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Patchy fog late in the
                    morning.
CWR.................1 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 55.
Min humidity........64 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......East winds 5 to 8 mph.
Mixing height.......1800-3500 ft AGL increasing to 3200-3800 ft AGL
                    in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....East 8 to 17 mph.
Haines Index........2 to 3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (CDT)      9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........95  96  95  94  94  94  95  96  96
Weather cov.....PTY
Weather type....FOG
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............47  48  50  51  53  54  54  55  55
RH..............86  80  74  71  66  64  66  64  64
20 FT wind dir..E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
20 FT wind spd..5   5   6   6   6   6   6   7   8
20 FT wind gust.        10  10  10  10  10  10  15
Mix hgt (kft)...1.8 2.5 3.0 3.5 3.8 3.8 3.7 3.5 3.2
Transp wind dir.E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
Transp wind spd.8   8   8   8   9   12  13  15  17
Haines index....3   3   3   3   2   2   2   2   2

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (95-100 percent). Slight chance of rain
                    showers late in the evening. Rain showers
                    likely after midnight, then rain showers early
                    in the morning.
CWR.................1 percent increasing to 60 percent after
                    midnight.
Min temperature.....Around 47.
Max humidity........86 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......East winds 8 to 12 mph.
Mixing height.......1500-2900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 20 to 29 mph.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........96  96  96  97  97  98  98  99  99  99  99  99
Weather cov.....                SCH SCH SCH LKY LKY LKY DEF DEF
Weather type....                RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   50  50  50  60  60
Temp............55  55  54  53  52  51  50  50  49  49  48  48
RH..............64  64  64  69  71  74  77  80  83  83  86  86
20 FT wind dir..E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
20 FT wind spd..8   8   9   9   9   9   9   10  10  11  11  12
20 FT wind gust.15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  20  20  20
Mix hgt (kft)...2.9 2.6 2.4 2.3 2.1 2.0 1.9 1.8 1.7 1.6 1.5 1.5
Transp wind dir.E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
Transp wind spd.20  21  23  24  26  28  29  29  29  29  29  29
Haines index....2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (95-100 percent). Rain showers.
CWR.................60 percent increasing to 82 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 51.
Min humidity........80 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Northeast winds 11 to 13 mph with gusts to
                    around 25 mph.
Mixing height.......1200-1500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 22 to 29 mph.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........100 100 99  99  99  99  100 100 100 100 100 99
Weather cov.....DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........
CWR.............60  80  80  80  80  80  80  80  80  80  80  80
Temp............47  47  47  47  47  48  49  50  50  51  51  51
RH..............86  86  86  86  86  86  83  83  83  80  80  80
20 FT wind dir..E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   NE  NE  NE
20 FT wind spd..11  11  12  13  13  13  13  13  13  12  12  12
20 FT wind gust.20  20  25  25  25  25  25  25  25  25  25  25
Mix hgt (kft)...1.4 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.4 1.4 1.3 1.2
Transp wind dir.E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
Transp wind spd.28  28  28  28  28  29  28  28  26  25  24  22
Haines index....2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.THURSDAY...
Showers and slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 40s.
Highs in the lower 50s. Northeast winds around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...
Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the upper 30s.
Highs in the mid 50s. North winds around 8 mph.
.SATURDAY...
Mostly cloudy with chance of showers. Lows in the lower 40s.
Highs in the upper 50s. Northeast winds around 6 mph.

$$
Forecaster...Cutter
Requested by...Sam Vanourney
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1705347.0/EAX
.EMAIL sam_vanourney@fws.gov



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