Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Dallas/Fort Worth, TX

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000
FNUS74 KFWD 141530
FWSFWD

Spot Forecast for Colorado Bend Rx u4...Texas Parks and Wildlife Department
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
930 AM CST Thu Dec 14 2017

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 CST on December 14.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
North winds will prevail in the wake of last night`s cold front.
Sustained 20-foot winds will increase to 10-15 mph, but gusts may
approach 20 mph this afternoon. Daytime temperatures will be
noticeably cooler than Wednesday`s, peaking in the mid 60s, but
relative humidity values will still fall below 25 percent this
afternoon. Winds will diminish this evening and remain generally
below 10 mph through Friday. Gusty south winds will return on
Saturday.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent) then becoming partly
                    sunny (55-65 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 65.
Min humidity........23 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 7 to 12 mph.
Mixing height.......1100-2800 ft AGL increasing to 3000-4600 ft AGL
                    in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....Northeast 13 to 22 mph.
Haines Index........4 to 5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Eye level winds.....Northeast winds 7 to 12 mph.

TIME (CST)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........8   10  11  26  40  55  57  60
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............53  59  61  64  65  65  65  62
RH..............41  32  28  24  24  23  24  26
20 FT wind dir..N   N   NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
20 FT wind spd..7   8   9   12  12  12  10  9
20 FT wind gust.        10  14  14  14      10
Eye lvl wnd dir.N   N   NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
Eye lvl wnd spd.3   4   5   6   6   6   5   5
Eye lvl wnd gst.            7   7   7
Mix hgt (kft)...1.1 2.0 2.8 3.4 4.0 4.6 3.8 3.0
Transp wind dir.N   NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
Transp wind spd.13  16  20  21  22  22  22  21
Haines index....4   4   5   5   5   5   5   5

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 37.
Max humidity........75 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds 5 to 8 mph until early morning
                    becoming light.
Mixing height.......500-2200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 13 to 21 mph decreasing to 8 to 10 mph
                    early in the morning.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Eye level winds.....North winds 5 to 8 mph until early morning
                    becoming light.

TIME (CST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........62  64  67  70  73  75  78  75  72  69  61  53
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............57  54  52  49  48  46  45  44  43  42  41  40
RH..............33  38  41  48  49  53  55  57  60  62  65  64
20 FT wind dir..NE  N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
20 FT wind spd..8   8   8   8   8   8   8   7   6   5   3   3
20 FT wind gust.                                        4
Eye lvl wnd dir.NE  N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
Eye lvl wnd spd.4   4   4   4   4   4   4   3   3   3   2   2
Eye lvl wnd gst.
Mix hgt (kft)...2.2 1.6 1.1 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5
Transp wind dir.NE  NE  N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
Transp wind spd.21  18  17  16  16  17  17  15  13  10  8   8
Haines index....5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 58.
Min humidity........29 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming north 6 to 8 mph, then
                    becoming light late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......500-2300 ft AGL increasing to 3800-5600 ft AGL
                    late in the morning, then decreasing to 3300 ft
                    AGL late in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....North 8 to 17 mph decreasing to around 8 mph
                    late in the afternoon.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Eye level winds.....Light winds becoming north 6 to 8 mph, then
                    becoming light late in the afternoon.

TIME (CST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........45  49  53  56  54  51  48  42  37  31  32  33
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............39  37  37  43  46  52  55  57  58  58  56  54
RH..............67  75  75  62  53  41  35  31  29  29  30  32
20 FT wind dir..N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
20 FT wind spd..3   6   7   8   8   8   8   8   8   8   6   3
20 FT wind gust.4                                           4
Eye lvl wnd dir.N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
Eye lvl wnd spd.2   3   3   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   3   2
Eye lvl wnd gst.
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.6 0.8 0.9 2.3 3.8 5.2 5.3 5.4 5.6 4.4 3.3
Transp wind dir.N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
Transp wind spd.8   10  13  15  17  20  20  20  18  16  13  8
Haines index....5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5

$$
Forecaster...Huckaby
Requested by...Jeff Sparks
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1719987.0/FWD
.EMAIL Jeff.sparks@tpwd.texas.gov


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