Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Grand Junction, CO

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000
FNUS75 KGJT 211657 AAA
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR SAULS CREEK RX...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
1057 AM MDT SUN SEP 21 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0918 MDT ON SEPTEMBER 21.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM TO 9 AM MDT...

.DISCUSSION...AFTER LAST NIGHT`S SHOWERS... EXPECT A DRIER PERIOD
TODAY... THOUGH A SHOWER OR STORM IS POSSIBLE MAINLY THIS AFTERNOON.
THEN ANOTHER BAND OF WIDESPREAD SHOWERS IS EXPECTED OVERNIGHT AND
INTO MONDAY MORNING. MONDAY AFTERNOON STORMS SHOULD BE LIMITED TO THE
HIGHER TERRAIN TO THE NORTH OF THE FIRE SITE. THEN EXPECT A DRY AND
WARM WEEK WITH THE NEXT SURGE OF MOISTURE EXPECTED NEXT WEEKEND.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%). SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS...MAINLY THIS AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....71-76 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........36-41%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......VARIABLE WINDS 1-5 MPH. GUSTY ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR BECOMING GOOD MID-MORNING.
HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW.
LAL.................1 UNTIL NOON...THEN 4.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 7300 FT AGL EARLY IN
                    THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 10 MPH.

.TONIGHT AFTER SUNSET...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%). SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HEAVY RAIN IS POSSIBLE.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....47-52 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........86-91%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......VARIABLE MOSTLY SOUTHEAST 5-15 MPH. GUSTY
                    ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT IN SHOWERS BY DEFINITION.
HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW.
LAL.................4.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 TO 8000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 10 MPH.

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%) THEN BECOMING PARTLY
                    CLOUDY (40-50%). SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE LATE
                    MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....67-72 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........40-45%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL LATE
                    AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (78600 KNOT-FT).
HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW.
LAL.................4 BECOMING 2 IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 7300 FT AGL IN THE
                    LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...JOE RAMEY
REQUESTED BY...BRITTON QUINLAN
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20140921.SAULS.01/GJT


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