Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Grand Junction, CO

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000
FNUS75 KGJT 260925
FWSGJT

Spot Forecast for Gutzler Fire...USFS
National Weather Service Grand Junction CO
325 AM MDT Wed Jul 26 2017

Forecast is based on request time of 0600 MDT on July 26.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...A downward trend in coverage of showers and
thunderstorms is expected today and Thursday as high pressure drifts
westward and suppresses the flow of subtropical moisture. However,
residual moisture will remain over the area with locally heavy rain
and small hail still possible in the afternoon and early evening
hours.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70%). Scattered showers.
                    Isolated thunderstorms in the the morning,
                    then scattered thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....66-71 F.
Min humidity........48-53%.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 5-10 MPH. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair, increasing to good early in the
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........2 very low.
LAL.................2 until 1200, then 4.
Mixing height.......6100 ft AGL, increasing to 8300 ft AGL in the
                    afternoon.
Transport winds.....West 10 MPH.
Clearing Index......750, increasing to 1050 in the afternoon.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70%), then becoming partly
                    cloudy (30-40%). Scattered showers. Scattered
                    thunderstorms in the evening.
Min temperature.....48-53 F.
Max humidity........84-89%.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 MPH, becoming downslope winds
                    4-7 MPH by midnight. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms in the evening.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair, decreasing to poor (14000-29000 knot-ft)
                    in the late evening and overnight.
Haines Index........2 very low.
LAL.................4 until 2100, then 1.
Mixing height.......8000 ft AGL, decreasing to 3400 ft AGL after
                    midnight.
Transport winds.....Southwest 5 MPH.
Clearing Index......850, decreasing to 150 after midnight.

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60%). Isolated showers in the
                    morning, then scattered showers and
                    thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....68-73 F.
Min humidity........35-40%.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 5-8 MPH. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (24000 knot-ft), increasing to fair in the
                    late morning and good in the afternoon.
Haines Index........2 very low.
LAL.................1 until 1200, then 4.
Mixing height.......7800 ft AGL, increasing to 10100 ft AGL in the
                    afternoon.
Transport winds.....West 5 MPH.
Clearing Index......400, increasing to 700 in the afternoon.

$$
Forecaster...Jim Pringle
Requested by...Tim Filippone
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 1713158.3/GJT
.EMAIL tfilippone@blm.gov



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