Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI

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000
FNUS73 KGRR 301339
FWSGRR

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR BROHMAN RX...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
939 AM EDT SAT APR 30 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 EDT ON APRIL 30.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
CLOUDS WILL THICKEN THROUGH THE COURSE OF THE DAY WITH CHANCES FOR
RAIN SPREADING IN THIS EVENING. ANY RAIN SHOULD HOLD OFF UNTIL
NEAR SUNSET OR AFTER. HIGHS TODAY WILL TOP OUT NEAR 60...BUT THAT
WILL BE DEPENDANT ON THE THICKNESS OF THE MID AND HIGH CLOUDS
STREAMING IN FROM THE SOUTHWEST. WINDS WILL BE EASTERLY TODAY
AROUND 10 MPH.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN LATE IN
                    THE DAY.
TEMPERATURE.........49 AT IGNITION...MAX 58.
RH..................52 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 39 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS EAST AT 16 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    EAST WINDS 11 TO 16 MPH.
MIXING WINDS........EAST 14 TO 22 MPH INCREASING TO 24 TO 25 MPH
                    LATE IN THE DAY.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3900 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 4600-5100
                    FT AGL.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 3.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....100-1100 (POOR TO EXCELLENT).

TIME (EDT)      NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM
SKY (%).........57     67     76     88
WEATHER COV.....              S CHC  CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   RAIN   RAIN
TEMP............49     52     56     56
RH..............52     48     44     45
20 FT WIND......E 16   E 15   E 16   E 15
20 FT GUST......20     20     20     20
HAINES INDEX....2      2      2      2

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). RAIN.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 42.
RH..................MAX 85 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 11 TO 16 MPH.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHEAST 20 TO 26 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000-2500 FT AGL.
HAINES INDEX........2 TO 3 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....200-700 (FAIR TO EXCELLENT).

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 52.
RH..................MIN 57 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 11 TO 16 MPH.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHEAST 22 TO 25 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000-3500 FT AGL.
HAINES INDEX........2 TO 3 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....300-800 (GOOD TO EXCELLENT).

$$
FORECASTER...DUKE
REQUESTED BY...KEVIN SHERRETZ
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20160430.BROHM.01/GRR


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