Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Greer, SC

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000
FNUS72 KGSP 240826
FWSGSP

Spot Forecast for Lake James State Park Burn...N C Forest Service
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
426 AM EDT Fri Mar 24 2017

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 EDT on March 24.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
High pressure will move off the east coast today. A low pressure
system emerging from the Great Plains over the weekend will bring
moisture to the southeast Saturday through Sunday. Unsettled weather
will continue through Tuesday as another low pressure system moves
from the plains to the Ohio Valley, allowing Gulf of Mexico moisture
to persist over the southeast.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 64.
Min humidity........45 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds...becoming south 5 to 7 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......900-2700 ft AGL early...increasing to 2900-3800 ft
                    AGL in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southwest 5 to 10 mph...increasing to 15 to 22
                    mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to good (3700-52400 knot-ft)...increasing
                    to good (49600 knot-ft) late.
LVORI...............2.
ADI.................10 to 20 early...increasing to 50 to 60 in the
                    afternoon.
Stability class.....2.
Pcpn amount.........0.00 inches.
Ceiling (FT)........6000.
Visibility (SM).....9.

TIME (EDT)      8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........40  45  50  53  50  50  50  50  49  45
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............40  44  49  53  56  59  61  62  63  63
RH..............68  61  54  51  49  49  48  46  48  50
20 FT wind dir..W   SW  SW  S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..2   3   3   4   5   6   6   6   6   6
20 FT wind gust.5   5   5   5   10  10  10  10  10  10
Mix hgt (kft)...0.9 1.4 1.9 2.4 2.7 2.9 3.2 3.4 3.6 3.8
Transp wind dir.SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Transp wind spd.5   10  16  21  22  21  18  17  17  15
LVORI...........3   2   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
ADI.............6   19  39  58  65  65  61  59  61  54
VRate kt-ft/10004   13  27  43  51  52  51  51  54  50
Ceiling (hft)...50  50  60  60  60  60  60  60  60  60
Visibility (sm).9   9   9   9   9   9   9   9   9   9

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent)...then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (70-80 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 48.
Max humidity........98 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds around 5 mph.
Mixing height.......1700-3400 ft AGL...decreasing to 700-1400 ft
                    AGL after midnight.
Transport winds.....Southwest 3 to 12 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to good (4300-34100 knot-ft).
LVORI...............5.
ADI.................40...decreasing to 3.
Stability class.....4.
Pcpn amount.........0.00 inches.
Ceiling (FT)........7000...decreasing to 3000 after midnight.
Visibility (SM).....8.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........49  46  60  71  77  86  84  76  71  73  80  85
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............62  59  57  56  54  53  52  51  51  50  49  48
RH..............52  59  64  68  71  74  77  80  83  88  92  95
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   SW  W   W   W   W   W   W   SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..4   3   2   1   1   1   1   1   2   2   2   2
20 FT wind gust.10  5   5                       5       5
Mix hgt (kft)...3.4 3.0 2.6 2.3 2.0 1.7 1.4 1.2 1.0 0.9 0.8 0.7
Transp wind dir.SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Transp wind spd.12  8   5   3   3   3   3   5   6   7   7   8
LVORI...........1   3   3   3   3   3   4   5   5   6   6   8
ADI.............40  4   2   2   2   2   2   2   3   3   3   4
VRate kt-ft/100034  21  10  7   6   5   4   5   5   5   5   5
Ceiling (hft)...70  70  60  60  50  50  40  40  40  30  30  30
Visibility (sm).8   8   8   8   8   8   8   8

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). A slight chance
                    of showers late.
Max temperature.....Around 70.
Min humidity........50 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds...becoming south 5 to 7 mph late in
                    the morning.
Mixing height.......700-2600 ft AGL...increasing to 3500-5000 ft
                    AGL late in the morning.
Transport winds.....Southwest 7 to 13 mph...increasing to south 17
                    to 23 mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to good (4500-42200 knot-ft)...increasing
                    to excellent (66800 knot-ft) late in the
                    morning.
LVORI...............5.
ADI.................6...increasing to 58.
Stability class.....4.
Pcpn amount.........0.01 inches.
Ceiling (FT)........1500 to 2500 in the morning...
                    increasing to 3000 in the afternoon.
Visibility (SM).....7.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........83  82  85  85  84  84  84  84  84  84  84  84
Weather cov.....                                        SCH SCH
Weather type....                                        RW  RW
Tstm cov........
Temp............48  48  48  53  57  61  64  66  68  69  70  69
RH..............97  98  96  84  75  69  62  57  52  51  51  52
20 FT wind dir..SW  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..1   2   2   3   3   4   5   6   6   6   6   6
20 FT wind gust.        5   5   5   5   10  10  10  10  10  10
Mix hgt (kft)...0.7 0.8 0.9 1.8 2.6 3.5 3.8 4.2 4.5 4.7 4.9 5.0
Transp wind dir.SW  SW  S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  S   S
Transp wind spd.7   7   8   13  18  22  23  22  21  20  18  17
LVORI...........8   9   6   4   3   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
ADI.............3   6   8   28  55  57  62  62  60  58  56  53
VRate kt-ft/10005   5   6   19  42  67  77  79  80  79  78  74
Ceiling (hft)...24  24  17  24  24  24  30  30  40  30  30  30
Visibility (sm).

$$
Forecaster...Harry Gerapetritis
Requested by...Brent Triplett
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1705083.0/GSP



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