Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Huntsville, AL

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000
FNUS74 KHUN 281256
FWSHUN

SPOT FORECAST FOR FLAT MTN. FIRE...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
756 AM CDT WED SEP 28 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0900 CDT ON SEPTEMBER 28.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE WILDFIRE AREA AROUND 7 PM THIS
EVENING. AT THIS TIME WIND WILL SHIFT FROM THE SW TO THE NW AROUND
10 MPH WITH GUSTS AROUND 15 MPH. ALSO WITH A DRY AIRMASS ACROSS THE
AREA, AFTERNOON HUMIDITIES VALUES WILL BE NEAR 25 PERCENT.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 83.
MIN HUMIDITY........26 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING WEST 5 TO 8 MPH LATE IN
                    THE MORNING.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......0-1300 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2500-4400 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO
                    5000-6700 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON...DECREASING
                    TO 4600 FT AGL LATE.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 2 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 10 TO 13
                    MPH.

TIME (CDT)      9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%).........CLEAR  CLEAR  CLEAR  MCLEAR MCLEAR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............67     77     81     83     81
RH..............50     35     28     26     30
20 FT WIND DIR..280    270    250    250    250
20 FT WIND SPD..3      5      6      8      8
20 FT WIND GUST.5             10     15     15
MIX HGT (FT)....2500   4400   5600   6700   4600
TRANSPORT WIND..W 6    W 8    W 10   W 13   SW 10
DISPERSION IDX..3      42     65     59     41
CWR.............10     10     10     10     10
CHC OF PCPN (%).10     10     10     10     10

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (20-30 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 51.
MAX HUMIDITY........93 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 6 TO 7 MPH.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2200 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 0-1500 FT AGL
                    EARLY IN THE EVENING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 3 TO 9 MPH...INCREASING TO NORTH 12
                    TO 20 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT...THEN DECREASING TO
                    AROUND 9 MPH LATE.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  MCLEAR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............77     71     67     62     58     54
RH..............36     47     56     72     83     90
20 FT WIND DIR..240    260    300    340    350    340
20 FT WIND SPD..7      6      6      7      7      6
20 FT WIND GUST.15     10     10     10     10     10
MIX HGT (FT)....2200   BLW100 100    1100   1400   800
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 8   S 5    SW 5   NW 15  N 18   N 12
DISPERSION IDX..23     1      1      10     12     5
CWR.............10     10     10     10     10     10
CHC OF PCPN (%).10     10     10     10     10     10

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73.
MIN HUMIDITY........40 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-1200 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 7200-7300 FT
                    AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 6 TO 15 MPH...INCREASING TO 17 TO 18
                    MPH LATE.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............51     54     61     69     73     72
RH..............93     80     65     47     40     44
20 FT WIND DIR..340    340    340    330    330    330
20 FT WIND SPD..6      7      8      8      9      9
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     15     15     15     15
MIX HGT (FT)....100    1200   3700   5000   6200   7300
TRANSPORT WIND..NW 7   NW 7   N 13   NW 13  NW 15  NW 18
DISPERSION IDX..3      5      8      52     68     89
CWR.............10     10     10     10     10     10
CHC OF PCPN (%).10     10     10     10     10     10

$$
FORECASTER...SHUMWAY
REQUESTED BY...CLARK
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 1600988.7/HUN
.EMAIL KERRYCLARK@FS.FED.US



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