Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Jacksonville, FL

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
000
FNUS72 KJAX 031932
FWSJAX

SPOT FORECAST FOR COMP-3...USFWS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
332 PM EDT WED JUN 3 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 EDT ON JUNE 04.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO
DEVELOP REST OF THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. A FEW STORMS WILL BE
STRONG TO LOCALLY SEVERE AND PRODUCE STRONG GUSTY WINDS AND HAIL.
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL IS LIKELY DUE TO SLOW STORM MOVEMENT.

AFTERNOON AND EVENING STORMS WILL BE MORE ISOLATED TO SCATTERED
THURSDAY AND FRIDAY OVER SOUTHEAST GEORGIA. WINDS OUTSIDE OF
STORMS WILL LESS THAN 15 MPH. RH VALUES WILL REMAIN ABOVE
CRITICAL LEVELS.

FOG POTENTIAL AND OTHER REMARKS...SIGNIFICANT FOG IS NOT EXPECTED
TONIGHT. BUT AREAS OF LOW CLOUDS AND PATCHY SHALLOW FOG WILL BE
POSSIBLE OVER SOUTHEAST GEORGIA THURSDAY MORNING...SHOULD DISSIPATE
BY 9 TO 10 AM.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING...THEN CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 66.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL EARLY
                    MORNING.
LAL.................4 UNTIL 1900...THEN 3 UNTIL 2400...THEN 2 UNTIL
                    0200...THEN 1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2400-3600 FT AGL DECREASING TO 100-900 FT AGL
                    IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 12 TO 18 MPH BECOMING EAST 1 TO 8 MPH
                    LATE IN THE EVENING.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
DISPERSION INDEX....38 DECREASING TO 1.
LVORI...............6.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........82     72     70     69     69     65
WEATHER COV.....LIKELY CHANCE CHANCE S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE   NONE
TSTM COV........LIKELY CHANCE CHANCE S CHC
TEMP............83     78     73     71     69     67
RH..............57     67     81     90     100    100
20 FT WIND......SE 7   SE 8   SE 6   SE 2   SE 0   SE 0
20 FT WIND GUST.10     15     10     5
DISPERSION IDX..35     22     8      2      0      0
LVORI...........1      3      4      6      10     10
CHC OF PCPN (%).60     40     30     20     10     10

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE MORNING.
                    CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 88.
MIN HUMIDITY........48 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 0900...THEN 2 UNTIL 1000...THEN 3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-1300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3600-4800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 1 TO 8 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
DISPERSION INDEX....2 INCREASING TO 18 IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............6.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........60     54     54     55     60     67
WEATHER COV.....              S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV........              S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
TEMP............66     69     79     85     88     87
RH..............100    100    74     59     48     52
20 FT WIND......E 1    E 1    NE 3   NE 5   NE 5   E 7
20 FT WIND GUST.              5      7      8      10
DISPERSION IDX..0      1      13     19     19     20
LVORI...........10     10     3      2      2      2
CHC OF PCPN (%).5      10     20     30     40     30

$$
FORECASTER...SHASHY
REQUESTED BY...REGGIE FORCINE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150604.COMP3.01/JAX


USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.