Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Jacksonville, FL

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FNUS72 KJAX 031220
FWSJAX

SPOT FORECAST FOR GUANA RIVER WMA...FWC
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
720 AM EST WED FEB 3 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 EST ON FEBRUARY 03.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH THE REGION FROM THE NORTHWEST
TODAY...AND PUSH SLOWLY ACROSS THE AREA ON THURSDAY. SHOWERS AND A
FEW THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AHEAD AND ALONG THIS
BOUNDARY THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY. SOUTH WINDS WILL BE BREEZY
WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 2O MPH.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS LATE
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 76.
MIN HUMIDITY........76 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 12 TO 17 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1700...THEN 2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 16 MPH INCREASING TO 21 TO 28 MPH
                    IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON...THEN
                    DECREASING TO 15 TO 17 MPH LATE IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
DISPERSION INDEX....14 INCREASING TO 42 LATE IN THE MORNING DECREASING
                    TO 28 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (EST)      9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%).........84     85     82     86     86
WEATHER COV.....                     S CHC  CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV........                            S CHC
TEMP............68     73     75     76     75
RH..............100    84     82     76     79
20 FT WIND......S 15   S 17   S 17   S 17   S 16
20 FT WIND GUST.25     25     25     25     25
DISPERSION IDX..28     42     45     31     21
CHC OF PCPN (%).10     10     10     20     30

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    THROUGH THE NIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 62.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 14 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    EVENING.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 0100...THEN 1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 6 TO 13 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.
LVORI...............7.

TIME (EST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........85     83     83     83     83     82
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV........S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
TEMP............73     68     66     65     64     63
RH..............81     97     100    100    100    100
20 FT WIND......S 14   S 10   S 10   S 9    S 8    S 6
20 FT WIND GUST.20     15     15     15     15     10
LVORI...........4      6      7      8      8      9
CHC OF PCPN (%).30     40     40     40     40     40

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN
                    THE MORNING...THEN SHOWERS LIKELY LATE IN THE
                    MORNING. SHOWERS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 66.
MIN HUMIDITY........81 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    NORTHWEST 5 TO 7 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST
                    LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (EST)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........84     86     87     87     89     93
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY DEFNTE
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV........
TEMP............62     62     64     65     66     66
RH..............100    100    100    97     87     81
20 FT WIND......S 6    S 6    S 7    S 6    SW 6   NW 5
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     10     10     10

$$
FORECASTER...STRUBLE
REQUESTED BY...JUSTIN ELLENBERGER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20160203.GUANA.01/JAX


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