Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Louisville, KY

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000
FNUS73 KLMK 271204
FWSLMK

SPOT FORECAST FOR SCHMIDT KILN...HOOSIER NATIONAL FOREST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
804 AM EDT MON OCT 27 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0825 CDT ON OCTOBER 27.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A WARM FRONT WILL BRING WARM TEMPERATURES AND GUSTY WINDS TO THE
REGION TODAY. AS IS OFTEN THE CASE...THIS TYPE OF SET-UP WILL LEAD
TO LOWERING RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES...WITH MINIMUM RH DURING THE
WARMEST MID-AFTERNOON HOURS. WIND GUSTS WILL BE STRONGEST IN THE
AFTERNOON AS WELL.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....68 AT IGNITION...MAX 82.
MIN HUMIDITY........78 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 38 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDS SOUTH AT 7 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......700 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 200-2100 FT
                    AGL INCREASING TO 1600-2600 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 6 TO 13 MPH INCREASING TO 21 TO 26 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR /6000 KNOT-FT/ AT IGNITION. MAX...GOOD
                    /37600 KNOT-FT/ INCREASING TO FAIR TO EXCELLENT
                    (29600-61800 KNOT-FT) IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (CDT)      8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM
SKY (%).........21     12     15     17     19     21
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............66     71     78     81     81     76
RH..............78     68     48     41     38     50
20 FT WIND......S 5    S 7    S 9    S 10   S 9    S 8
20 FT WIND GUST.10     15     15     20     20     15
MIX HGT (FT)....500    1000   2100   2600   2600   1600
TRANSPORT WIND..S 7    S 13   SW 21  SW 26  S 26   S 21

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 63.
MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 83 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 9 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      7 PM   9 PM   11 PM  1 AM   3 AM   5 AM
SKY (%).........22     25     30     33     51     76
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............73     72     72     70     68     66
RH..............55     61     62     66     70     76
20 FT WIND......S 8    S 8    S 8    S 8    S 8    SW 8
20 FT WIND GUST.15     10     10     10     10     10
MIX HGT (FT)....1100   1000   800    700    700    800
TRANSPORT WIND..S 18   S 18   S 18   SW 17  SW 17  SW 16

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY THEN BECOMING PARTLY SUNNY. SHOWERS AND
                    CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 70.
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 63 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 20
                    MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING. GUSTY AND
                    ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS...THEN GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-1800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 13 TO 20 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 10 MPH
                    EARLY IN THE EVENING.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (12400-27600 KNOT-FT).

TIME (CDT)      7 AM   9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%).........94     93     97     100    80     53
WEATHER COV.....S CHC  LIKELY LIKELY DEFNTE LIKELY CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............63     65     65     65     67     65
RH..............83     82     80     77     65     63
20 FT WIND......SW 8   SW 8   SW 7   W 6    W 5    W 5
20 FT WIND GUST.10     15     15     20     20     20
MIX HGT (FT)....1000   1300   1600   1800   1800   1700
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 15  SW 18  SW 20  W 17   W 13   W 10

$$
FORECASTER...MJ
REQUESTED BY...RYAN OTTO
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20141027.SCHMI.03/LMK






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