Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Los Angeles, CA

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FNUS76 KLOX 230104
FWSLOX

Spot Forecast for Wilson...CA-ANF
National Weather Service Los Angeles/Oxnard CA
604 PM PDT Sun Oct 22 2017

Forecast is based on request time of 1800 PDT on October 22.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM PDT WEDNESDAY...
...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 2 PM PDT
WEDNESDAY...

.DISCUSSION...Northeast winds will continue over the Wilson burn
area through Tuesday, and are expected to be strongest late Monday
night into Tuesday morning. While the burn area has been fairly well
sheltered from the northeast flow so far, winds are expected to
increase tonight through Tuesday - with a significant increase Monday
night into Tuesday morning at the burn location. Winds over the
higher ridges will be significantly stronger throughout the forecast
period. Daytime temperatures at the site will rise to around 90
degrees Monday and Tuesday. Humidities will remain quite low, with
single digits to just over 10 percent during the daytime, and teens
overnight as recoveries are expected to be very poor.

Breezy offshore winds will continue Tuesday night into Wednesday
morning, but at speeds around 10 to 15 mph lower than the previous
day. A very weak cooling and moistening trend is expected, with high
temperatures down 3 to 5 degrees and humidity up by a couple percent.
This gradual trend will continue into Thursday, with more significant
cooling and moistening expected on Friday.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Clear.
Min temperature.....66-68.
Max humidity........14-16 percent.
Eye level winds.....Northeast winds 2 to 4 mph increasing to 4 to 8
                    mph with gusts to 10 mph after midnight.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Northeast winds 4 to 8 mph, increasing to 8 to 15
                    mph with local gusts to 20 mph after midnight.
 Ridgetop...........Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts to 20 mph,
                    increasing to 10 to 20 mph with gusts to 30 mph
                    after midnight.
Mixing height.......5200 ft AGL decreasing to 1200 ft AGL overnight.
Transport winds.....Northeast 10 mph becoming east 15 to 20 mph.

.MONDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Max temperature.....90-92.
Min humidity........7-9 percent.
Eye level winds.....Northeast winds 4 to 8 mph with gusts to
                    10 mph...becoming variable 2 to 4 mph, then
                    increasing to 4 to 8 mph.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Northeast winds 8 to 15 mph with gusts to
                    20 mph decreasing to 4 to 8 mph by mid
                    afternoon...then increasing to 8 to 15 mph
                    late in the afternoon.
 Ridgetop...........Northeast winds 15 to 25 mph with gusts to
                    35 mph, diminishing to 10 to 20 mph with gusts
                    to 30 mph late.
Mixing height.......1500 ft AGL increasing to 7200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast to east 20 to 25 mph.

.MONDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Clear.
Min temperature.....Around 71.
Max humidity........12-14 percent.
Eye level winds.....Northeast winds 5 to 9 mph with gusts to
                    11 mph increasing to 6 to 10 mph with gusts
                    to 15 mph.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Northeast winds 10 to 18 mph with gusts to 22
                    mph increasing to 12 to 20 mph with gusts to
                    30 mph.
 Ridgetop...........Northeast winds 10 to 20 mph with gusts to
                    30 mph, increasing to 15 to 25 mph with gusts
                    to 40 mph late.
Mixing height.......4500 ft AGL decreasing to 2000 ft AGL
                    overnight.
Transport winds.....Northeast 20 to 30 mph.

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Max temperature.....90-93.
Min humidity........9-11 percent.
Eye level winds.....Northeast winds 8 to 12 mph with gusts to
                    17 mph diminishing to 5 to 8 mph with gusts to
                    10 mph.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Northeast winds 15 to 25 mph with gusts to
                    35 mph, diminishing to 10 to 15 mph with gusts
                    to 20 mph late in the afternoon.
 Ridgetop...........Northeast winds 25 to 30 mph with gusts to
                    45 mph, diminishing to 10 to 20 mph with gusts
                    to 30 mph late.
Mixing height.......1900 ft AGL increasing to 4200 ft AGL in
                    the afternoon.
Transport winds.....Northeast 35 mph becoming northeast 20 mph in
                    the afternoon.

$$
Forecaster...SMITH
Requested by...Chris Fry
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 1717704.0/LOX
.EMAIL cfry@fs.fed.us


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