Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Los Angeles, CA

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FNUS76 KLOX 022326
FWSLOX

SPOT FORECAST FOR FLAME FRONT SIMULATOR NOV 28 - DEC 8...FOREST SERVICE - NTDP, SAN DIMAS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOS ANGELES/OXNARD CA
326 PM PST FRI DEC 2 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 PST ON DECEMBER 03.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM PST SATURDAY...
...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM PST SATURDAY...

.DISCUSSION...STRONG AND GUSTY NORTHEAST WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE OVER THE INCIDENT AREA THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON...WITH
EYE LEVEL GUSTS AROUND 20 MPH AND RIDGETOP GUSTS AROUND 40 MPH.
HUMIDITIES WILL CONTINUE TO FALL WITH AFTERNOON MINIMUM VALUES IN
THE SINGLE DIGITS. CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE THE RESULT
OF THE COMBINATION OF STRONG GUSTY OFFSHORE WINDS AND VERY LOW
HUMIDITY.

WEAKER OFFSHORE FLOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH SUNDAY...BUT STILL
BREEZY WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH IN THE MORNING.

AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH IS FORECAST TO MOVE INTO THE PACIFIC
NORTHWEST ON MONDAY WITH A COOLING TREND EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY
ALONG WITH BREEZY NORTHWEST WINDS. WARMER CONDITIONS WILL FOLLOW
WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY AS WEAK RIDGING AND OFFSHORE FLOW RETURN.


.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....47 AT IGNITION...MAX 67.
MIN HUMIDITY........22 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 5-9 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
                    20 MPH.
 RIDGETOP...........NORTHEAST WINDS 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
                    AROUND 40 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7500 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHEAST 30 TO 40 MPH.



$$
FORECASTER...SMITH
REQUESTED BY...KEN KEMPTER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1603696.4/LOX
.EMAIL KKEMPTER@FS.FED.US



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