Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Little Rock, AR

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FNUS74 KLZK 202220
FWSLZK

Spot Forecast for Freedom Ops...USFS
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
520 PM CDT Fri Oct 20 2017

Forecast is based on request time of 1700 CDT on October 20.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service Immediately.

.DISCUSSION...Mostly dry weather is expected through Saturday,
with isolated to scattered showers and maybe a thunderstorm
in western Arkansas. Precipitation will become more widespread
late Saturday night, especially after midnight. It will be mostly
cloudy, with light/moderate southeast winds. It will be more
gusty at higher elevations. Humidity levels will be elevated
ahead of a cold front in the Plains.

.TONIGHT...

Temperature.........Min 64.
RH..................Max 84 percent.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
Transport winds.....Southeast 8 to 17 mph.
Stability class.....D.
20 Foot Winds.......Southeast winds 5 to 6 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms.
LVORI...............1.
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain and isolated thunderstorms.
Dispersion..........46 decreasing to 12 early in the evening.
Haines Index........2 to 5 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth to or moderate potential
                    for large plume dominated fire growth.
Eye level winds.....Southeast winds 5 to 6 mph.
Mixing height (AGL).Becoming 4700 ft AGL.
Mixing height (MSL).Becoming 6150 ft MSL.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky cover.......MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC
Weather cov.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN
Tstm cov........ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO
Temp............69  68  68  67  67  66  66  65  65  65  65  65
RH..............72  72  73  73  74  74  75  75  77  78  79  81
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6
20 FT wind gust.10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
Eye lvl wnd dir.SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
Eye lvl wnd spd.4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4
Eye lvl wnd gst.10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
Transp wind dir.SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
Transp wind spd.17  8   8   8   9   9   9   8   9   9   8   8
Chc of pcpn (%).20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20

.SATURDAY...

Temperature.........Max 73.
RH..................Min 73 percent.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Transport winds.....Southeast 6 to 10 mph.
Stability class.....B.
20 Foot Winds.......Southeast winds 5 to 7 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms.
LVORI...............1 early in the morning.
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain in the morning. Isolated thunderstorms
                    through the day. Chance of rain in the
                    afternoon.
Dispersion..........27 increasing to 56.
Haines Index........2 to 3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Eye level winds.....Southeast winds 5 to 7 mph.
Mixing height (AGL).Becoming 4300 ft AGL.
Mixing height (MSL).Becoming 5780 ft MSL.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky cover.......MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC
Weather cov.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN
Tstm cov........ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO
Temp............65  65  66  67  68  69  70  71  72  73  73  72
RH..............82  84  83  82  81  80  79  79  73  73  73  76
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..6   6   6   6   6   6   7   7   7   7   7   7
20 FT wind gust.10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
Eye lvl wnd dir.SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S
Eye lvl wnd spd.4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4
Eye lvl wnd gst.10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
Transp wind dir.SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SE
Transp wind spd.8   6   8   9   9   9   10  9   10  10  10  10
Chc of pcpn (%).20  20  20  20  20  20  30  30  30  30  30  30

$$
Forecaster...J Lewis
Requested by...Luke Ballard
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 1717641.0/LZK
.EMAIL aoiccdispatch@gmail.com



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