Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Little Rock, AR

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000
FNUS74 KLZK 121115
FWSLZK

Spot Forecast for Whitely...NPS
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
515 AM CST Tue Dec 12 2017

Forecast is based on request time of 0800 CST on December 12.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service Immediately.

.DISCUSSION...

Cooler temperatures and less strong winds are expected this
afternoon...which will bring slightly improved wild fire
conditions for today compared to the breezy...warm and extremely
dry conditions observed on Monday. Even so...humidity levels will
remain below 30 percent during the warmest part of the day. As a
result...the wild fire danger will remain high for all of Arkansas
for Tuesday.


.TODAY...

Temperature.........30 at request...Max 42.
RH..................59 percent at request...Min 23 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Transport winds.....Northwest 12 to 21 mph.
Stability class.....C.
20 Foot Winds.......Winds northwest at 10 mph at
                    request...otherwise Northwest winds 7 to 10
                    mph.
LVORI...............1 early in the morning.
Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-5 percent).
Dispersion..........34 decreasing to 27 in the late morning and
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth at request...max 4.
Eye level winds.....Northwest winds 7 to 10 mph.
Mixing height (AGL).Becoming 2600 ft AGL.
Mixing height (MSL).Becoming 4569 ft MSL.

TIME (CST)      8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky cover.......CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............30  30  30  35  37  39  41  42  40  38
RH..............59  56  46  38  32  28  23  23  25  29
20 FT wind dir..NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT wind spd..10  10  10  10  7   7   7   7   7   7
20 FT wind gust.15  15  15  15  10  10  10  10  10  10
Eye lvl wnd dir.NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
Eye lvl wnd spd.6   6   6   6   4   4   4   4   4   4
Eye lvl wnd gst.15  15  15  15  10  10  10  10  10  10
Transp wind dir.NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
Transp wind spd.18  17  15  13  12  12  13  14  15  16
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0

.TONIGHT...

Temperature.........Min 33.
RH..................Max 59 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Transport winds.....Southwest 13 to 16 mph.
Stability class.....F.
20 Foot Winds.......West winds 5 to 6 mph.
LVORI...............1.
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent).
Dispersion..........7 early in the evening.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Eye level winds.....West winds 5 to 6 mph.
Mixing height (AGL).Becoming 1700 ft AGL.
Mixing height (MSL).Becoming 3667 ft MSL.

TIME (CST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky cover.......MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............38  37  37  36  36  35  35  35  36  37  37  37
RH..............33  36  40  44  48  53  59  59  59  59  59  58
20 FT wind dir..W   W   W   W   W   W   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..6   6   6   6   6   6   5   5   5   5   5   5
20 FT wind gust.10  10  10  10  10  10
Eye lvl wnd dir.W   W   W   W   W   W   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Eye lvl wnd spd.4   4   4   4   4   4   3   3   3   3   3   3
Eye lvl wnd gst.10  10  10  10  10  10
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   SW
Transp wind spd.16  16  16  15  14  13  13  13  14  14  14  14
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0

.WEDNESDAY...

Temperature.........Max 56.
RH..................Min 29 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Transport winds.....Northwest 15 to 22 mph.
Stability class.....C.
20 Foot Winds.......West winds 5 to 10 mph.
LVORI...............1 early in the morning.
Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-5 percent).
Dispersion..........16 increasing to 33 late in the morning.
Haines Index........4 to 5 or low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth to or moderate potential
                    for large plume dominated fire growth.
Eye level winds.....West winds 5 to 10 mph.
Mixing height (AGL).Becoming 2100 ft AGL.
Mixing height (MSL).Becoming 4037 ft MSL.

TIME (CST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky cover.......CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............38  40  42  44  47  50  54  54  55  56  53  51
RH..............58  53  49  45  39  34  29  30  30  30  33  36
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
20 FT wind gust.15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15
Eye lvl wnd dir.SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   W   W   W
Eye lvl wnd spd.6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6
Eye lvl wnd gst.15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15
Transp wind dir.SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   W   NW
Transp wind spd.15  17  18  21  22  22  22  21  18  17  17  18
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0

$$
Forecaster...W Gilmore
Requested by...Tim Fondriest
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 1719788.2/LZK
.EMAIL timothy_fondriest@nps.gov



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